Predictions › United States › New Orleans Pelicans vs Memphis Grizzlies
NBAMon 2 Nov, 20:00 United States time

New Orleans Pelicans vs Memphis Grizzlies prediction

FedExForum

New Orleans PelicansAway
117.5 : 119.3
projected points
Memphis GrizzliesHome
48%Pelicans
52%Grizzlies
Eagle safe pickGrizzlies +6.5
-312

Quick answer

Our prediction for New Orleans Pelicans vs Memphis Grizzlies is Memphis Grizzlies to win, with a 52% chance, but it is a close call. We project New Orleans Pelicans 117.5 and Memphis Grizzlies 119.3. Our best bet is Grizzlies +6.5 at -312.

Prediction
Memphis Grizzlies to win
Chance
52%
Projected score
New Orleans Pelicans 118, Memphis Grizzlies 119
Projected total
236.9 points
Best bet
Grizzlies +6.5 at -312

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Grizzlies +6.5
76% chanceFair price -3122 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Pelicans to win
43% chanceFair price +1311 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Memphis Grizzlies 52% and New Orleans Pelicans 48%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Memphis Grizzlies won 4 of their last 5 and New Orleans Pelicans won 3 of their last 5. Memphis Grizzlies come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Memphis Grizzlies won 4 of their last 12 games at home. New Orleans Pelicans won 2 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Memphis Grizzlies score 112.6 points a game and let in 124.7. New Orleans Pelicans score 114.5 and let in 118.2. Their recent games average 237.3 and 232.7 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 4 meetings, Memphis Grizzlies won 2 and New Orleans Pelicans won 2. The last one ended New Orleans Pelicans 114, Memphis Grizzlies 106.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Grizzlies +6.5 has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Grizzliesrest between games-2%
  • Pelicansrest between games-2%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

New Orleans Pelicans vs Memphis Grizzlies: Memphis Grizzlies shade it

The big picture

Memphis Grizzlies host New Orleans Pelicans in the NBA on Mon 2 Nov, 20:00 at FedExForum. Our prediction for New Orleans Pelicans vs Memphis Grizzlies is Memphis Grizzlies to win, with a 52% chance, but it is a close call. We project New Orleans Pelicans 117.5 and Memphis Grizzlies 119.3. Our best bet is Grizzlies +6.5 at -312.

Memphis Grizzlies form

Memphis Grizzlies have 6 wins and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 2252 points scored and 2494 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 8 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, W, newest first.

New Orleans Pelicans form

New Orleans Pelicans have 7 wins and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 2290 points scored and 2364 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 9 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 4 times in our records. Memphis Grizzlies won 2, New Orleans Pelicans won 2. Last time out it finished New Orleans Pelicans 114, Memphis Grizzlies 106.

Our call

We expect New Orleans Pelicans to score about 117.5 points and Memphis Grizzlies about 119.3. That points to Memphis Grizzlies to win. Our safest bet is Grizzlies +6.5 at -312. Our bold bet is Pelicans to win at +131.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

GrizzliesPelicans
Games played2020
Wins67
Losses1413
Points scored22522290
Points conceded24942364
Scored per game112.6114.5
Conceded per game124.7118.2
Home record4W 8L5W 4L
Away record2W 6L2W 9L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Grizzlies spreadCoversFair
Grizzlies -7.532%+208
Grizzlies -4.542%+141
Grizzlies -1.551%-104
Grizzlies +1.560%-153
Grizzlies +4.569%-226
Total pointsOverUnder
230.564%36%
233.557%43%
236.551%49%
239.544%56%
242.538%62%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Grizzlies +3.5 wins if Grizzlies win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win New Orleans Pelicans vs Memphis Grizzlies?

Our prediction for New Orleans Pelicans vs Memphis Grizzlies is Memphis Grizzlies to win, with a 52% chance, but it is a close call. We project New Orleans Pelicans 117.5 and Memphis Grizzlies 119.3. Our best bet is Grizzlies +6.5 at -312.

What is the projected score for New Orleans Pelicans vs Memphis Grizzlies?

We project New Orleans Pelicans 117.5 and Memphis Grizzlies 119.3, about 236.9 points in total.

How are Memphis Grizzlies playing?

Memphis Grizzlies have 6 wins and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 2252 points scored and 2494 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 8 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, W, newest first.

How are New Orleans Pelicans playing?

New Orleans Pelicans have 7 wins and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 2290 points scored and 2364 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 9 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, W, newest first.

What happened when Memphis Grizzlies and New Orleans Pelicans last met?

It ended New Orleans Pelicans 114, Memphis Grizzlies 106. In the last 4 meetings Memphis Grizzlies won 2 and New Orleans Pelicans won 2.

What is the best bet for New Orleans Pelicans vs Memphis Grizzlies?

Grizzlies +6.5 at -312, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Grizzlies against Pelicans. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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