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Predictions › United States › New Orleans Pelicans vs Oklahoma City Thunder
NBATue 6 Oct, 20:00 United States time

New Orleans Pelicans vs Oklahoma City Thunder prediction

BOK Center

New Orleans PelicansAway
107.8 : 122.2
projected points
Oklahoma City ThunderHome
14%Pelicans
86%Thunder
Eagle safe pickThunder to win
-592

Quick answer

Our prediction for New Orleans Pelicans vs Oklahoma City Thunder is Oklahoma City Thunder to win, with a 86% chance. We project New Orleans Pelicans 107.8 and Oklahoma City Thunder 122.2. Our best bet is Thunder to win at -592.

Prediction
Oklahoma City Thunder to win
Chance
86%
Projected score
New Orleans Pelicans 108, Oklahoma City Thunder 122
Projected total
230.0 points
Best bet
Thunder to win at -592

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Thunder to win
86% chanceFair price -5922 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Oklahoma City Thunder 86% and New Orleans Pelicans 14%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Oklahoma City Thunder won 2 of their last 5 and New Orleans Pelicans won 1 of their last 5. Oklahoma City Thunder come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Oklahoma City Thunder won 7 of their last 10 games at home. New Orleans Pelicans won 1 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Oklahoma City Thunder score 117.0 points a game and let in 109.8. New Orleans Pelicans score 116.9 and let in 119.0. Their recent games average 226.8 and 235.9 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 3 meetings, Oklahoma City Thunder won 3 and New Orleans Pelicans won 0. The last one ended Oklahoma City Thunder 104, New Orleans Pelicans 95.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Thunder to win has a 86% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Thunderrest between games-3%
  • Pelicansrest between games-3%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

New Orleans Pelicans vs Oklahoma City Thunder: Oklahoma City Thunder are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Oklahoma City Thunder host New Orleans Pelicans in the NBA on Tue 6 Oct, 20:00 at BOK Center. Our prediction for New Orleans Pelicans vs Oklahoma City Thunder is Oklahoma City Thunder to win, with a 86% chance. We project New Orleans Pelicans 107.8 and Oklahoma City Thunder 122.2. Our best bet is Thunder to win at -592.

Oklahoma City Thunder form

Oklahoma City Thunder have 14 wins and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 2340 points scored and 2196 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, W, newest first.

New Orleans Pelicans form

New Orleans Pelicans have 7 wins and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 2338 points scored and 2380 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win and 10 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 3 times in our records. Oklahoma City Thunder won 3, New Orleans Pelicans won 0. Last time out it finished Oklahoma City Thunder 104, New Orleans Pelicans 95.

Our call

We expect New Orleans Pelicans to score about 107.8 points and Oklahoma City Thunder about 122.2. That points to Oklahoma City Thunder to win. Our safest bet is Thunder to win at -592.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

ThunderPelicans
Games played2020
Wins147
Losses613
Points scored23402338
Points conceded21962380
Scored per game117.0116.9
Conceded per game109.8119.0
Home record7W 3L6W 3L
Away record7W 3L1W 10L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Thunder spreadCoversFair
Thunder -20.531%+220
Thunder -17.540%+149
Thunder -14.550%+102
Thunder -11.559%-144
Thunder -8.568%-213
Total pointsOverUnder
224.562%38%
227.556%44%
230.549%51%
233.542%58%
236.536%64%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Thunder +3.5 wins if Thunder win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win New Orleans Pelicans vs Oklahoma City Thunder?

Our prediction for New Orleans Pelicans vs Oklahoma City Thunder is Oklahoma City Thunder to win, with a 86% chance. We project New Orleans Pelicans 107.8 and Oklahoma City Thunder 122.2. Our best bet is Thunder to win at -592.

What is the projected score for New Orleans Pelicans vs Oklahoma City Thunder?

We project New Orleans Pelicans 107.8 and Oklahoma City Thunder 122.2, about 230.0 points in total.

How are Oklahoma City Thunder playing?

Oklahoma City Thunder have 14 wins and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 2340 points scored and 2196 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, W, newest first.

How are New Orleans Pelicans playing?

New Orleans Pelicans have 7 wins and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 2338 points scored and 2380 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win and 10 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Oklahoma City Thunder and New Orleans Pelicans last met?

It ended Oklahoma City Thunder 104, New Orleans Pelicans 95. In the last 3 meetings Oklahoma City Thunder won 3 and New Orleans Pelicans won 0.

What is the best bet for New Orleans Pelicans vs Oklahoma City Thunder?

Thunder to win at -592, with a 86% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Thunder against Pelicans. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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