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Predictions › United States › New Orleans Pelicans vs Oklahoma City Thunder
NBAFri 20 Nov, 20:00 United States time

New Orleans Pelicans vs Oklahoma City Thunder prediction

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New Orleans PelicansAway
108.2 : 123.2
projected points
Oklahoma City ThunderHome
11%Pelicans
89%Thunder
Eagle safe pickPelicans +23.5
-313

Quick answer

Our prediction for New Orleans Pelicans vs Oklahoma City Thunder is Oklahoma City Thunder to win, with a 89% chance. We project New Orleans Pelicans 108.2 and Oklahoma City Thunder 123.2. Our best bet is Pelicans +23.5 at -313.

Prediction
Oklahoma City Thunder to win
Chance
89%
Projected score
New Orleans Pelicans 108, Oklahoma City Thunder 123
Projected total
231.5 points
Best bet
Pelicans +23.5 at -313

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Pelicans +23.5
76% chanceFair price -3132 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Oklahoma City Thunder 89% and New Orleans Pelicans 11%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Oklahoma City Thunder won 4 of their last 5 and New Orleans Pelicans won 2 of their last 5. Oklahoma City Thunder come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Oklahoma City Thunder won 7 of their last 10 games at home. New Orleans Pelicans won 3 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Oklahoma City Thunder score 109.8 points a game and let in 109.0. New Orleans Pelicans score 117.8 and let in 121.5. Their recent games average 218.9 and 239.2 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 4 meetings, Oklahoma City Thunder won 3 and New Orleans Pelicans won 1. The last one ended Oklahoma City Thunder 110, New Orleans Pelicans 116.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Pelicans +23.5 has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Pelicansrest between games-5%
  • Thunderteam news-1%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

New Orleans Pelicans vs Oklahoma City Thunder: Oklahoma City Thunder are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Oklahoma City Thunder host New Orleans Pelicans in the NBA on Fri 20 Nov, 20:00 at Paycom Center. Our prediction for New Orleans Pelicans vs Oklahoma City Thunder is Oklahoma City Thunder to win, with a 89% chance. We project New Orleans Pelicans 108.2 and Oklahoma City Thunder 123.2. Our best bet is Pelicans +23.5 at -313.

Oklahoma City Thunder form

Oklahoma City Thunder have 11 wins and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 2197 points scored and 2181 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, L, newest first.

New Orleans Pelicans form

New Orleans Pelicans have 8 wins and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 2355 points scored and 2429 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 8 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 4 times in our records. Oklahoma City Thunder won 3, New Orleans Pelicans won 1. Last time out it finished Oklahoma City Thunder 110, New Orleans Pelicans 116.

Our call

We expect New Orleans Pelicans to score about 108.2 points and Oklahoma City Thunder about 123.2. That points to Oklahoma City Thunder to win. Our safest bet is Pelicans +23.5 at -313.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

ThunderPelicans
Games played2020
Wins118
Losses912
Points scored21972355
Points conceded21812429
Scored per game109.8117.8
Conceded per game109.0121.5
Home record7W 3L5W 4L
Away record4W 6L3W 8L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Thunder spreadCoversFair
Thunder -21.530%+231
Thunder -18.539%+156
Thunder -15.548%+106
Thunder -12.558%-138
Thunder -9.567%-203
Total pointsOverUnder
225.563%37%
228.557%43%
231.550%50%
234.543%57%
237.537%63%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Thunder +3.5 wins if Thunder win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
NBA

Thunder Acquire Nique Clifford From Kings for Draft Picks

The Oklahoma City Thunder traded two future second round draft picks to the Sacramento Kings for second year wing Nique Clifford.

8 Nov 2026
NBA

Oklahoma City Adds Dalen Terry to Two Year Deal After Injuries

The Oklahoma City Thunder signed swingman Dalen Terry to a two year contract after several key players suffered serious injuries.

3 Nov 2026
NBA

Gilgeous Alexander Scores 43 to Lead Thunder Past Cavaliers

Shai Gilgeous Alexander scored 43 points as the Oklahoma City Thunder defeated the Cleveland Cavaliers 117-112 on Monday night.

3 Nov 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win New Orleans Pelicans vs Oklahoma City Thunder?

Our prediction for New Orleans Pelicans vs Oklahoma City Thunder is Oklahoma City Thunder to win, with a 89% chance. We project New Orleans Pelicans 108.2 and Oklahoma City Thunder 123.2. Our best bet is Pelicans +23.5 at -313.

What is the projected score for New Orleans Pelicans vs Oklahoma City Thunder?

We project New Orleans Pelicans 108.2 and Oklahoma City Thunder 123.2, about 231.5 points in total.

How are Oklahoma City Thunder playing?

Oklahoma City Thunder have 11 wins and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 2197 points scored and 2181 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, L, newest first.

How are New Orleans Pelicans playing?

New Orleans Pelicans have 8 wins and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 2355 points scored and 2429 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 8 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Oklahoma City Thunder and New Orleans Pelicans last met?

It ended Oklahoma City Thunder 110, New Orleans Pelicans 116. In the last 4 meetings Oklahoma City Thunder won 3 and New Orleans Pelicans won 1.

What is the best bet for New Orleans Pelicans vs Oklahoma City Thunder?

Pelicans +23.5 at -313, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Thunder against Pelicans. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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