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Predictions › United States › New Orleans Pelicans vs Utah Jazz
NBAFri 23 Oct, 21:30 United States time

New Orleans Pelicans vs Utah Jazz prediction

Delta Center

New Orleans PelicansAway
123.0 : 123.5
projected points
Utah JazzHome
51%Pelicans
49%Jazz
Eagle safe pickJazz +7.5
-295

Quick answer

Our prediction for New Orleans Pelicans vs Utah Jazz is New Orleans Pelicans to win, with a 51% chance, but it is a close call. We project New Orleans Pelicans 123.0 and Utah Jazz 123.5. Our best bet is Jazz +7.5 at -295.

Prediction
New Orleans Pelicans to win
Chance
51%
Projected score
New Orleans Pelicans 123, Utah Jazz 124
Projected total
246.6 points
Best bet
Jazz +7.5 at -295

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Jazz +7.5
75% chanceFair price -2951 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Utah Jazz 49% and New Orleans Pelicans 51%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Utah Jazz won 3 of their last 5 and New Orleans Pelicans won 2 of their last 5. Utah Jazz come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Utah Jazz won 3 of their last 10 games at home. New Orleans Pelicans won 1 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Utah Jazz score 117.2 points a game and let in 126.8. New Orleans Pelicans score 116.9 and let in 119.3. Their recent games average 244.1 and 236.2 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 3 meetings, Utah Jazz won 0 and New Orleans Pelicans won 3. The last one ended New Orleans Pelicans 156, Utah Jazz 137.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Jazz +7.5 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Jazzrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

New Orleans Pelicans vs Utah Jazz: New Orleans Pelicans shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Utah Jazz host New Orleans Pelicans in the NBA on Fri 23 Oct, 21:30 at Delta Center. Our prediction for New Orleans Pelicans vs Utah Jazz is New Orleans Pelicans to win, with a 51% chance, but it is a close call. We project New Orleans Pelicans 123.0 and Utah Jazz 123.5. Our best bet is Jazz +7.5 at -295.

Utah Jazz form

Utah Jazz have 4 wins and 16 losses in their last 20 games, with 2344 points scored and 2537 conceded. At home they have 3 wins and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, W, newest first.

New Orleans Pelicans form

New Orleans Pelicans have 7 wins and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 2338 points scored and 2385 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win and 10 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 3 times in our records. Utah Jazz won 0, New Orleans Pelicans won 3. Last time out it finished New Orleans Pelicans 156, Utah Jazz 137.

Our call

We expect New Orleans Pelicans to score about 123.0 points and Utah Jazz about 123.5. That points to New Orleans Pelicans to win. Our safest bet is Jazz +7.5 at -295.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

JazzPelicans
Games played2020
Wins47
Losses1613
Points scored23442338
Points conceded25372385
Scored per game117.2116.9
Conceded per game126.8119.3
Home record3W 7L6W 3L
Away record1W 9L1W 10L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Jazz spreadCoversFair
Jazz -6.532%+217
Jazz -3.541%+147
Jazz -0.550%-100
Jazz +2.560%-147
Jazz +5.568%-217
Total pointsOverUnder
240.563%37%
243.557%43%
246.550%50%
249.544%56%
252.537%63%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Jazz +3.5 wins if Jazz win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win New Orleans Pelicans vs Utah Jazz?

Our prediction for New Orleans Pelicans vs Utah Jazz is New Orleans Pelicans to win, with a 51% chance, but it is a close call. We project New Orleans Pelicans 123.0 and Utah Jazz 123.5. Our best bet is Jazz +7.5 at -295.

What is the projected score for New Orleans Pelicans vs Utah Jazz?

We project New Orleans Pelicans 123.0 and Utah Jazz 123.5, about 246.6 points in total.

How are Utah Jazz playing?

Utah Jazz have 4 wins and 16 losses in their last 20 games, with 2344 points scored and 2537 conceded. At home they have 3 wins and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, W, newest first.

How are New Orleans Pelicans playing?

New Orleans Pelicans have 7 wins and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 2338 points scored and 2385 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win and 10 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, W, newest first.

What happened when Utah Jazz and New Orleans Pelicans last met?

It ended New Orleans Pelicans 156, Utah Jazz 137. In the last 3 meetings Utah Jazz won 0 and New Orleans Pelicans won 3.

What is the best bet for New Orleans Pelicans vs Utah Jazz?

Jazz +7.5 at -295, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Jazz against Pelicans. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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