Quick answer
Our prediction for New Orleans Saints vs Chicago Bears is Chicago Bears to win, with a 78% chance. We project New Orleans Saints 19.0 and Chicago Bears 27.9. Our best bet is Bears to win at -485.
- Prediction
- Chicago Bears to win
- Chance
- 78%
- Projected score
- New Orleans Saints 19, Chicago Bears 28
- Projected total
- 46.9 points
- Best bet
- Bears to win at -485
Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.
The eagle's three picks
✓ Eagle safe pick
Bears to win
78% chancePrice -4851 unit
Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.
Why we think this
- 1
What our numbers sayThe model gives Chicago Bears 78% and New Orleans Saints 22%. The bookmakers agree and make Chicago Bears the favourite at -485.
- 2
Recent formChicago Bears won 4 of their last 5 and New Orleans Saints won 2 of their last 5. Chicago Bears come in with the better run.
- 3
Home and awayChicago Bears won 8 of their last 11 games at home. New Orleans Saints won 6 of their last 11 on the road.
- 4
ScoringChicago Bears score 25.4 points a game and let in 20.3. New Orleans Saints score 20.5 and let in 23.6. Their recent games average 45.7 and 44.1 points in total, and the market line is 48.5.
- 5
Head to headIn the last 1 meeting, Chicago Bears won 1 and New Orleans Saints won 0. The last one ended Chicago Bears 26, New Orleans Saints 14.
- 6
The safest betBears to win has a 78% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.
Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.
What moved our number
Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.
Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.
Match previewNew Orleans Saints vs Chicago Bears: Chicago Bears are favourites
By the EagleEyeOdds desk
The big picture
Chicago Bears host New Orleans Saints in the NFL on Sun 22 Nov, 13:00 at Soldier Field. Our prediction for New Orleans Saints vs Chicago Bears is Chicago Bears to win, with a 78% chance. We project New Orleans Saints 19.0 and Chicago Bears 27.9. Our best bet is Bears to win at -485.
Chicago Bears form
Chicago Bears have 13 wins and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 508 points scored and 406 conceded. At home they have 8 wins and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, L, newest first.
New Orleans Saints form
New Orleans Saints have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 410 points scored and 472 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, L, newest first.
Head to head
These two have met 1 time in our records. Chicago Bears won 1, New Orleans Saints won 0. Last time out it finished Chicago Bears 26, New Orleans Saints 14.
Our call
We expect New Orleans Saints to score about 19.0 points and Chicago Bears about 27.9. That points to Chicago Bears to win. Our safest bet is Bears to win at -485.
Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.
Team records
Last 20 games in all competitions.
Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.
Price check against Draft Kings
Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.
Spread and total at every line
Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Bears +3.5 wins if Bears win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.
Questions people ask
Who will win New Orleans Saints vs Chicago Bears?
Our prediction for New Orleans Saints vs Chicago Bears is Chicago Bears to win, with a 78% chance. We project New Orleans Saints 19.0 and Chicago Bears 27.9. Our best bet is Bears to win at -485.
What is the projected score for New Orleans Saints vs Chicago Bears?
We project New Orleans Saints 19.0 and Chicago Bears 27.9, about 46.9 points in total.
How are Chicago Bears playing?
Chicago Bears have 13 wins and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 508 points scored and 406 conceded. At home they have 8 wins and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, L, newest first.
How are New Orleans Saints playing?
New Orleans Saints have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 410 points scored and 472 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, L, newest first.
What happened when Chicago Bears and New Orleans Saints last met?
It ended Chicago Bears 26, New Orleans Saints 14. In the last 1 meeting Chicago Bears won 1 and New Orleans Saints won 0.
What is the best bet for New Orleans Saints vs Chicago Bears?
Bears to win at -485, with a 78% chance.
Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.
Important, please read before you bet
- These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Bears against Saints. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
- We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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- Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
- No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
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