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Predictions › United States › New York City FC vs Atlanta United FC
MLSWed 28 Oct, 19:30 United States time

New York City FC vs Atlanta United FC prediction

Yankee Stadium

New York City FCHome
1.23 : 1.20
expected goals
Atlanta United FCAway
36%NYCFC
29%Draw
35%Atlanta
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
-342

Quick answer

Our prediction for New York City FC vs Atlanta United FC is New York City FC to win, with a 36% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at -342.

Prediction
New York City FC to win
Chance
36%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
New York City FC 1.2, Atlanta United FC 1.2
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at -342
Both teams to score
50%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
77% chanceFair price -3422 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
14% chanceFair price +6261 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives New York City FC 36%, the draw 29% and Atlanta United FC 35%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    New York City FC took 2 points from their last 5 games and Atlanta United FC took 7 from 5. Atlanta United FC come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    New York City FC won 2 of their last 9 games at home. Atlanta United FC won 3 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    New York City FC score 1.2 goals a game and let in 1.3. Atlanta United FC score 1.4 and let in 1.7. Over 2.5 goals landed in 9 of New York City FC games and 14 of Atlanta United FC games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, New York City FC won 0 and Atlanta United FC won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended Atlanta United FC 2, New York City FC 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • NYCFCrecent form-4%
  • Atlantarecent form+1%
  • NYCFCrest between games-5%
  • Atlantarest between games-5%
NYCFC form D L L D LAtlanta form D W L D WHome edge in this league 26% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

New York City FC vs Atlanta United FC: New York City FC shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

New York City FC host Atlanta United FC in the MLS on Wed 28 Oct, 19:30 at Yankee Stadium. Our prediction for New York City FC vs Atlanta United FC is New York City FC to win, with a 36% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at -342.

New York City FC form

New York City FC have 5 wins, 7 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 24 goals scored and 25 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, D, L, newest first.

Atlanta United FC form

Atlanta United FC have 6 wins, 5 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 34 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, D, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. New York City FC won 0, Atlanta United FC won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Atlanta United FC 2, New York City FC 2.

Our call

We expect New York City FC to score about 1.2 goals and Atlanta United FC about 1.2. That points to New York City FC to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at -342. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at +626.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

NYCFCAtlanta
Games played2020
Wins56
Draws75
Losses89
Goals scored2428
Goals conceded2534
Scored per game1.21.4
Conceded per game1.31.7
Home record2W 3D 4L3W 1D 5L
Away record3W 4D 4L3W 4D 4L
Clean sheets20%15%
Both teams scored65%70%
Over 2.5 goals45%70%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals70%-239
Over 2.5 goals44%+129
Over 3.5 goals23%+341
Both teams to score50%-101
New York City FC or Draw65%-187
Atlanta United FC or Draw64%-177
New York City FC to win and Over 2.519%+416
Atlanta United FC to win and Over 2.519%+435
New York City FC clean sheet30%+232
Atlanta United FC clean sheet29%+240

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.8%
1-010.0%
0-19.8%
0-09.6%
2-18.0%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news
MLS

Messi Doubles Up in Atlanta as Inter Miami Cruise to 3-1 Win

Lionel Messi scored twice in four minutes to lead Inter Miami past Atlanta United 3-1 on Saturday.

18 hours ago
MLS

Inter Miami Clinch Playoff Berth With 2-0 Win Over NYCFC

Inter Miami secured a 2026 MLS playoff berth on Wednesday with a 2-0 victory against New York City FC.

15 Oct 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win New York City FC vs Atlanta United FC?

Our prediction for New York City FC vs Atlanta United FC is New York City FC to win, with a 36% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at -342.

What is the score prediction for New York City FC vs Atlanta United FC?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 0-1. We expect New York City FC to score 1.2 goals and Atlanta United FC 1.2.

Will both teams score in New York City FC vs Atlanta United FC?

Both teams to score has a 50% chance. Both sides scored in 13 of New York City FC last 20 games and 14 of Atlanta United FC last 20.

How are New York City FC playing?

New York City FC have 5 wins, 7 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 24 goals scored and 25 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, D, L, newest first.

How are Atlanta United FC playing?

Atlanta United FC have 6 wins, 5 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 34 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, D, W, newest first.

What happened when New York City FC and Atlanta United FC last met?

It ended Atlanta United FC 2, New York City FC 2. In the last 1 meeting New York City FC won 0 and Atlanta United FC won 0.

What is the best bet for New York City FC vs Atlanta United FC?

Under 3.5 goals at -342, with a 77% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in NYCFC against Atlanta. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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