Predictions › United States › New York City FC vs CF Montréal

MLSSat 31 Oct, 14:00 United States time

New York City FC vs CF Montréal prediction

Citi Field

New York City FCHome

1.96 : 1.19

expected goals

CF MontréalAway

55%NYCFC

23%Draw

22%CF Montréal

Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals

-461

Quick answer

Our prediction for New York City FC vs CF Montréal is New York City FC to win, with a 55% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at -461.

Prediction: New York City FC to win
Chance: 55%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: New York City FC 2.0, CF Montréal 1.2
Best bet: Over 1.5 goals at -461
Both teams to score: 60%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals

82% chanceFair price -4612 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

New York City FC to win and Over 2.5

39% chanceFair price +1561 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives New York City FC 55%, the draw 23% and CF Montréal 22%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.
2
Recent form
New York City FC took 2 points from their last 5 games and CF Montréal took 4 from 5. CF Montréal come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
New York City FC won 2 of their last 9 games at home. CF Montréal won 1 of their last 8 on the road.
4
Goals
New York City FC score 1.2 goals a game and let in 1.3. CF Montréal score 1.1 and let in 1.9. Over 2.5 goals landed in 9 of New York City FC games and 10 of CF Montréal games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 1 meeting, New York City FC won 0 and CF Montréal won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended CF Montréal 1, New York City FC 0.
6
The safest bet
Over 1.5 goals has a 82% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

NYCFCrecent form-4%
CF Montréalrecent form-3%

NYCFC form D L L D LCF Montréal form D L L W LHome edge in this league 26% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

New York City FC vs CF Montréal: New York City FC are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

New York City FC host CF Montréal in the MLS on Sat 31 Oct, 14:00 at Citi Field. Our prediction for New York City FC vs CF Montréal is New York City FC to win, with a 55% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at -461.

New York City FC form

New York City FC have 5 wins, 7 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 24 goals scored and 25 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, D, L, newest first.

CF Montréal form

CF Montréal have 3 wins, 7 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 37 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 2 draws and 5 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. New York City FC won 0, CF Montréal won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished CF Montréal 1, New York City FC 0.

Our call

We expect New York City FC to score about 2.0 goals and CF Montréal about 1.2. That points to New York City FC to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at -461. Our bold bet is New York City FC to win and Over 2.5 at +156.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	NYCFC	CF Montréal
Games played	20	20
Wins	5	3
Draws	7	7
Losses	8	10
Goals scored	24	22
Goals conceded	25	37
Scored per game	1.2	1.1
Conceded per game	1.3	1.9
Home record	2W 3D 4L	2W 5D 5L
Away record	3W 4D 4L	1W 2D 5L
Clean sheets	20%	10%
Both teams scored	65%	55%
Over 2.5 goals	45%	50%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	83%	-480
Over 2.5 goals	61%	-156
Over 3.5 goals	39%	+159
Both teams to score	60%	-152
New York City FC or Draw	78%	-349
CF Montréal or Draw	45%	+120
New York City FC to win and Over 2.5	39%	+159
CF Montréal to win and Over 2.5	15%	+579
New York City FC clean sheet	30%	+228
CF Montréal clean sheet	14%	+608

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-110.6%

2-19.8%

2-08.2%

1-07.8%

3-16.4%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news

MLS

Inter Miami Clinch Playoff Berth With 2-0 Win Over NYCFC

Inter Miami secured a 2026 MLS playoff berth on Wednesday with a 2-0 victory against New York City FC.

15 Oct 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win New York City FC vs CF Montréal?

Our prediction for New York City FC vs CF Montréal is New York City FC to win, with a 55% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at -461.

What is the score prediction for New York City FC vs CF Montréal?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 2-0. We expect New York City FC to score 2.0 goals and CF Montréal 1.2.

Will both teams score in New York City FC vs CF Montréal?

Both teams to score has a 60% chance. Both sides scored in 13 of New York City FC last 20 games and 11 of CF Montréal last 20.

How are New York City FC playing?

How are CF Montréal playing?

What happened when New York City FC and CF Montréal last met?

It ended CF Montréal 1, New York City FC 0. In the last 1 meeting New York City FC won 0 and CF Montréal won 1.

What is the best bet for New York City FC vs CF Montréal?

Over 1.5 goals at -461, with a 82% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in NYCFC against CF Montréal. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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