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Predictions › United States › New York Islanders vs Dallas Stars
NHLSun 25 Oct, 18:00 United States time

New York Islanders vs Dallas Stars prediction

American Airlines Center

New York IslandersAway
2.4 : 2.9
projected goals
Dallas StarsHome
44%Islanders
56%Stars
Eagle safe pickUnder 7 goals
-385

Quick answer

Our prediction for New York Islanders vs Dallas Stars is Dallas Stars to win, with a 56% chance, but it is a close call. We project New York Islanders 2.4 and Dallas Stars 2.9. Our best bet is Under 7 goals at -385.

Prediction
Dallas Stars to win
Chance
56%
Projected score
New York Islanders 2, Dallas Stars 3
Projected total
5.3 goals
Best bet
Under 7 goals at -385

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 7 goals
79% chanceFair price -3852 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Islanders to win
41% chanceFair price +1421 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Dallas Stars 56% and New York Islanders 44%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Dallas Stars won 3 of their last 5 and New York Islanders won 3 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Dallas Stars won 5 of their last 9 games at home. New York Islanders won 1 of their last 6 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Dallas Stars score 2.5 goals a game and let in 2.4. New York Islanders score 2.5 and let in 3.3. Their recent games average 4.9 and 5.8 goals in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Dallas Stars won 0 and New York Islanders won 2. The last one ended New York Islanders 2, Dallas Stars 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 7 goals has a 79% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Starsrest between games-5%
  • Islandersrest between games-2%
  • Starsteam news-1%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

New York Islanders vs Dallas Stars: Dallas Stars shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Dallas Stars host New York Islanders in the NHL on Sun 25 Oct, 18:00 at American Airlines Center. Our prediction for New York Islanders vs Dallas Stars is Dallas Stars to win, with a 56% chance, but it is a close call. We project New York Islanders 2.4 and Dallas Stars 2.9. Our best bet is Under 7 goals at -385.

Dallas Stars form

Dallas Stars have 12 wins and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 51 goals scored and 47 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, W, newest first.

New York Islanders form

New York Islanders have 7 wins and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 50 goals scored and 65 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win and 5 losses from 6. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Dallas Stars won 0, New York Islanders won 2. Last time out it finished New York Islanders 2, Dallas Stars 1.

Our call

We expect New York Islanders to score about 2.4 goals and Dallas Stars about 2.9. That points to Dallas Stars to win. Our safest bet is Under 7 goals at -385. Our bold bet is Islanders to win at +142.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

StarsIslanders
Games played2020
Wins127
Losses813
Goals scored5150
Goals conceded4765
Scored per game2.52.5
Conceded per game2.43.3
Home record5W 4L6W 8L
Away record7W 4L1W 5L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Stars spreadCoversFair
Stars -1.534%+194
Stars -0.550%-101
Stars +0.566%-197
Total goalsOverUnder
4.563%37%
5.546%54%
6.530%70%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Stars +3.5 wins if Stars win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
NHL

Dave Hakstol in Talks for Arizona State Head Coaching Job

Arizona State is in discussions with Avalanche assistant Dave Hakstol about its head coaching vacancy, with a decision expected this week.

12 Oct 2026
NHL

Matt Duchene Out Up to Three Months for Stars

Dallas Stars forward Matt Duchene will miss up to three months after having core muscle surgery.

12 Oct 2026
NHL

ASU Appoints Former Justice To Review Hockey Player's Tragic Collapse

Arizona State has appointed former state Supreme Court chief justice Scott Bales to lead an independent review after hockey player Matthew Mayich collapsed.

3 Oct 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win New York Islanders vs Dallas Stars?

Our prediction for New York Islanders vs Dallas Stars is Dallas Stars to win, with a 56% chance, but it is a close call. We project New York Islanders 2.4 and Dallas Stars 2.9. Our best bet is Under 7 goals at -385.

What is the projected score for New York Islanders vs Dallas Stars?

We project New York Islanders 2.4 and Dallas Stars 2.9, about 5.3 goals in total.

How are Dallas Stars playing?

Dallas Stars have 12 wins and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 51 goals scored and 47 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, W, newest first.

How are New York Islanders playing?

New York Islanders have 7 wins and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 50 goals scored and 65 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win and 5 losses from 6. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, W, newest first.

What happened when Dallas Stars and New York Islanders last met?

It ended New York Islanders 2, Dallas Stars 1. In the last 2 meetings Dallas Stars won 0 and New York Islanders won 2.

What is the best bet for New York Islanders vs Dallas Stars?

Under 7 goals at -385, with a 79% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Stars against Islanders. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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