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Predictions › United States › New York Islanders vs Ottawa Senators
NHLThu 15 Oct, 19:00 United States time

New York Islanders vs Ottawa Senators prediction

Canadian Tire Centre

New York IslandersAway
2.5 : 3.0
projected goals
Ottawa SenatorsHome
45%Islanders
55%Senators
Eagle safe pickOver 4 goals
-327

Quick answer

Our prediction for New York Islanders vs Ottawa Senators is Ottawa Senators to win, with a 55% chance, but it is a close call. We project New York Islanders 2.5 and Ottawa Senators 3.0. Our best bet is Over 4 goals at -327.

Prediction
Ottawa Senators to win
Chance
55%
Projected score
New York Islanders 3, Ottawa Senators 3
Projected total
5.5 goals
Best bet
Over 4 goals at -327

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 4 goals
77% chanceFair price -3272 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Islanders to win
38% chanceFair price +1621 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Ottawa Senators 55% and New York Islanders 45%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Ottawa Senators won 3 of their last 5 and New York Islanders won 2 of their last 5. Ottawa Senators come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Ottawa Senators won 6 of their last 10 games at home. New York Islanders won 1 of their last 7 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Ottawa Senators score 2.9 goals a game and let in 2.8. New York Islanders score 2.4 and let in 3.3. Their recent games average 5.7 and 5.7 goals in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 3 meetings, Ottawa Senators won 2 and New York Islanders won 1. The last one ended New York Islanders 0, Ottawa Senators 3.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 4 goals has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Senatorsrest between games-5%
  • Islandersrest between games-2%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

New York Islanders vs Ottawa Senators: Ottawa Senators shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Ottawa Senators host New York Islanders in the NHL on Thu 15 Oct, 19:00 at Canadian Tire Centre. Our prediction for New York Islanders vs Ottawa Senators is Ottawa Senators to win, with a 55% chance, but it is a close call. We project New York Islanders 2.5 and Ottawa Senators 3.0. Our best bet is Over 4 goals at -327.

Ottawa Senators form

Ottawa Senators have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 57 goals scored and 56 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, L, newest first.

New York Islanders form

New York Islanders have 6 wins and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 47 goals scored and 66 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win and 6 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 3 times in our records. Ottawa Senators won 2, New York Islanders won 1. Last time out it finished New York Islanders 0, Ottawa Senators 3.

Our call

We expect New York Islanders to score about 2.5 goals and Ottawa Senators about 3.0. That points to Ottawa Senators to win. Our safest bet is Over 4 goals at -327. Our bold bet is Islanders to win at +162.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

SenatorsIslanders
Games played2020
Wins96
Losses1114
Goals scored5747
Goals conceded5666
Scored per game2.92.4
Conceded per game2.83.3
Home record6W 4L5W 8L
Away record3W 7L1W 6L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Senators spreadCoversFair
Senators -1.534%+198
Senators -0.550%+101
Senators +0.566%-193
Total goalsOverUnder
4.567%33%
5.550%50%
6.533%67%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Senators +3.5 wins if Senators win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
NHL

New York Islanders Add Defenseman Logan Stanley On One Year Deal

The New York Islanders have signed defenseman Logan Stanley to a one year contract just days before their season opener against Toronto.

27 Sept 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win New York Islanders vs Ottawa Senators?

Our prediction for New York Islanders vs Ottawa Senators is Ottawa Senators to win, with a 55% chance, but it is a close call. We project New York Islanders 2.5 and Ottawa Senators 3.0. Our best bet is Over 4 goals at -327.

What is the projected score for New York Islanders vs Ottawa Senators?

We project New York Islanders 2.5 and Ottawa Senators 3.0, about 5.5 goals in total.

How are Ottawa Senators playing?

Ottawa Senators have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 57 goals scored and 56 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, L, newest first.

How are New York Islanders playing?

New York Islanders have 6 wins and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 47 goals scored and 66 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win and 6 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, W, newest first.

What happened when Ottawa Senators and New York Islanders last met?

It ended New York Islanders 0, Ottawa Senators 3. In the last 3 meetings Ottawa Senators won 2 and New York Islanders won 1.

What is the best bet for New York Islanders vs Ottawa Senators?

Over 4 goals at -327, with a 77% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Senators against Islanders. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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