Quick answer
Our prediction for New York Jets vs Los Angeles Chargers is New York Jets to win, with a 51% chance, but it is a close call. We project New York Jets 20.8 and Los Angeles Chargers 22.0. Our best bet is Over 35.5 points at -268.
- Prediction
- New York Jets to win
- Chance
- 51%
- Projected score
- New York Jets 21, Los Angeles Chargers 22
- Projected total
- 42.8 points
- Best bet
- Over 35.5 points at -268
Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.
The eagle's three picks
✓ Eagle safe pick
Over 35.5 points
73% chanceFair price -2681 unit
Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.
Why we think this
- 1
What our numbers sayThe model gives Los Angeles Chargers 49% and New York Jets 51%. The bookmakers see it the other way and make Los Angeles Chargers the favourite at -125, so take care with this one.
- 2
Recent formLos Angeles Chargers won 0 of their last 5 and New York Jets won 1 of their last 5. New York Jets come in with the better run.
- 3
Home and awayLos Angeles Chargers won 3 of their last 10 games at home. New York Jets won 2 of their last 11 on the road.
- 4
ScoringLos Angeles Chargers score 16.9 points a game and let in 22.5. New York Jets score 16.3 and let in 26.6. Their recent games average 39.5 and 42.9 points in total, and the market line is 42.5.
- 5
The safest betOver 35.5 points has a 73% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.
Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.
What moved our number
Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.
Match previewNew York Jets vs Los Angeles Chargers: New York Jets shade it
By the EagleEyeOdds desk
The big picture
Los Angeles Chargers host New York Jets in the NFL on Sun 22 Nov, 16:05 at SoFi Stadium. Our prediction for New York Jets vs Los Angeles Chargers is New York Jets to win, with a 51% chance, but it is a close call. We project New York Jets 20.8 and Los Angeles Chargers 22.0. Our best bet is Over 35.5 points at -268.
Los Angeles Chargers form
Los Angeles Chargers have 6 wins and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 339 points scored and 450 conceded. At home they have 3 wins and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.
New York Jets form
New York Jets have 4 wins and 16 losses in their last 20 games, with 326 points scored and 532 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 9 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, W, newest first.
Our call
We expect New York Jets to score about 20.8 points and Los Angeles Chargers about 22.0. That points to New York Jets to win. Our safest bet is Over 35.5 points at -268.
Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.
Team records
Last 20 games in all competitions.
Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.
Price check against Draft Kings
Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.
Spread and total at every line
Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Chargers +3.5 wins if Chargers win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.
Questions people ask
Who will win New York Jets vs Los Angeles Chargers?
Our prediction for New York Jets vs Los Angeles Chargers is New York Jets to win, with a 51% chance, but it is a close call. We project New York Jets 20.8 and Los Angeles Chargers 22.0. Our best bet is Over 35.5 points at -268.
What is the projected score for New York Jets vs Los Angeles Chargers?
We project New York Jets 20.8 and Los Angeles Chargers 22.0, about 42.8 points in total.
How are Los Angeles Chargers playing?
Los Angeles Chargers have 6 wins and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 339 points scored and 450 conceded. At home they have 3 wins and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.
How are New York Jets playing?
New York Jets have 4 wins and 16 losses in their last 20 games, with 326 points scored and 532 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 9 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, W, newest first.
What is the best bet for New York Jets vs Los Angeles Chargers?
Over 35.5 points at -268, with a 73% chance.
Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.
Important, please read before you bet
- These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Chargers against Jets. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
- We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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- Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
- No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
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