New York Knicks vs Indiana Pacers prediction

The eagle's three picks

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Eagle safe pick

Knicks +5.5

78% chanceFair price -3572 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1. 1
   What our numbers say

   The model gives Indiana Pacers 42% and New York Knicks 58%. The bookmakers agree and make New York Knicks the favourite at -125.

2. 2
   Recent form

   Indiana Pacers won 0 of their last 5 and New York Knicks won 3 of their last 5. New York Knicks come in with the better run.

3. 3
   Home and away

   Indiana Pacers won 2 of their last 11 games at home. New York Knicks won 6 of their last 10 on the road.

4. 4
   Scoring

   Indiana Pacers score 115.5 points a game and let in 117.2. New York Knicks score 107.8 and let in 108.0. Their recent games average 232.8 and 215.9 points in total, and the market line is 233.5.

5. 5
   Head to head

   In the last 4 meetings, Indiana Pacers won 1 and New York Knicks won 3. The last one ended New York Knicks 136, Indiana Pacers 110.

6. 6
   The safest bet

   Knicks +5.5 has a 78% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Price check against DraftKings

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Pacers +3.5 wins if Pacers win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.