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Predictions › United States › New York Mets vs Texas Rangers
MLBTue 22 Sept, 20:05 United States time

New York Mets vs Texas Rangers prediction

Globe Life Field

New York MetsAway
4.3 : 4.4
projected runs
Texas RangersHome
49%Mets
51%Rangers
Eagle safe pickMets +2.5
-258

Quick answer

Our prediction for New York Mets vs Texas Rangers is Texas Rangers to win, with a 51% chance, but it is a close call. We project New York Mets 4.3 and Texas Rangers 4.4. Our best bet is Mets +2.5 at -258.

Prediction
Texas Rangers to win
Chance
51%
Projected score
New York Mets 4, Texas Rangers 4
Projected total
8.6 runs
Best bet
Mets +2.5 at -258

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Mets +2.5
72% chanceFair price -2581 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Texas Rangers 51% and New York Mets 49%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Texas Rangers won 2 of their last 5 and New York Mets won 4 of their last 5. New York Mets come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Texas Rangers won 5 of their last 9 games at home. New York Mets won 7 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Texas Rangers score 5.0 runs a game and let in 5.0. New York Mets score 5.6 and let in 5.1. Their recent games average 10.1 and 10.7 runs in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 3 meetings, Texas Rangers won 2 and New York Mets won 1. The last one ended New York Mets 5, Texas Rangers 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Mets +2.5 has a 72% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Rangersrest between games-5%
  • Metsrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

New York Mets vs Texas Rangers: Texas Rangers shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Texas Rangers host New York Mets in the MLB on Tue 22 Sept, 20:05 at Globe Life Field. Our prediction for New York Mets vs Texas Rangers is Texas Rangers to win, with a 51% chance, but it is a close call. We project New York Mets 4.3 and Texas Rangers 4.4. Our best bet is Mets +2.5 at -258.

Texas Rangers form

Texas Rangers have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 101 runs scored and 101 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, W, newest first.

New York Mets form

New York Mets have 11 wins and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 112 runs scored and 102 conceded. Away from home they have 7 wins and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 3 times in our records. Texas Rangers won 2, New York Mets won 1. Last time out it finished New York Mets 5, Texas Rangers 2.

Our call

We expect New York Mets to score about 4.3 runs and Texas Rangers about 4.4. That points to Texas Rangers to win. Our safest bet is Mets +2.5 at -258.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

RangersMets
Games played2020
Wins911
Losses119
Runs scored101112
Runs conceded101102
Scored per game5.05.6
Conceded per game5.05.1
Home record5W 4L4W 5L
Away record4W 7L7W 4L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Rangers spreadCoversFair
Rangers -2.529%+250
Rangers -1.537%+169
Rangers -0.546%+116
Rangers +0.556%-127
Rangers +1.565%-186
Total runsOverUnder
6.569%31%
7.560%40%
8.551%49%
9.542%58%
10.533%67%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Rangers +3.5 wins if Rangers win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win New York Mets vs Texas Rangers?

Our prediction for New York Mets vs Texas Rangers is Texas Rangers to win, with a 51% chance, but it is a close call. We project New York Mets 4.3 and Texas Rangers 4.4. Our best bet is Mets +2.5 at -258.

What is the projected score for New York Mets vs Texas Rangers?

We project New York Mets 4.3 and Texas Rangers 4.4, about 8.6 runs in total.

How are Texas Rangers playing?

Texas Rangers have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 101 runs scored and 101 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, W, newest first.

How are New York Mets playing?

New York Mets have 11 wins and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 112 runs scored and 102 conceded. Away from home they have 7 wins and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Texas Rangers and New York Mets last met?

It ended New York Mets 5, Texas Rangers 2. In the last 3 meetings Texas Rangers won 2 and New York Mets won 1.

What is the best bet for New York Mets vs Texas Rangers?

Mets +2.5 at -258, with a 72% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Rangers against Mets. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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