Predictions › United States › New York Rangers vs Boston Bruins
NHLTue 29 Sept, 20:00 United States time

New York Rangers vs Boston Bruins prediction

TD Garden

New York RangersAway
2.8 : 2.9
projected goals
Boston BruinsHome
51%Rangers
49%Bruins
Eagle safe pickRangers +1.5
-265

Quick answer

Our prediction for New York Rangers vs Boston Bruins is New York Rangers to win, with a 51% chance, but it is a close call. We project New York Rangers 2.8 and Boston Bruins 2.9. Our best bet is Rangers +1.5 at -265.

Prediction
New York Rangers to win
Chance
51%
Projected score
New York Rangers 3, Boston Bruins 3
Projected total
5.7 goals
Best bet
Rangers +1.5 at -265

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Rangers +1.5
74% chancePrice -265+1.2% value1 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Boston Bruins 49% and New York Rangers 51%. The bookmakers see it the other way and make Boston Bruins the favourite at -115, so take care with this one.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Boston Bruins won 2 of their last 5 and New York Rangers won 3 of their last 5. New York Rangers come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Boston Bruins won 5 of their last 9 games at home. New York Rangers won 2 of their last 7 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Boston Bruins score 2.7 goals a game and let in 2.7. New York Rangers score 3.2 and let in 2.8. Their recent games average 5.4 and 6.0 goals in total, and the market line is 5.5.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 5 meetings, Boston Bruins won 3 and New York Rangers won 2. The last one ended New York Rangers 4, Boston Bruins 3.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Rangers +1.5 has a 74% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Bruinsrest between games-2%
  • Rangersrest between games-2%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

New York Rangers vs Boston Bruins: New York Rangers shade it

The big picture

Boston Bruins host New York Rangers in the NHL on Tue 29 Sept, 20:00 at TD Garden. Our prediction for New York Rangers vs Boston Bruins is New York Rangers to win, with a 51% chance, but it is a close call. We project New York Rangers 2.8 and Boston Bruins 2.9. Our best bet is Rangers +1.5 at -265.

Boston Bruins form

Boston Bruins have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 54 goals scored and 54 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, L, newest first.

New York Rangers form

New York Rangers have 8 wins and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 64 goals scored and 56 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 5 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 5 times in our records. Boston Bruins won 3, New York Rangers won 2. Last time out it finished New York Rangers 4, Boston Bruins 3.

Our call

We expect New York Rangers to score about 2.8 goals and Boston Bruins about 2.9. That points to New York Rangers to win. Our safest bet is Rangers +1.5 at -265.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

BruinsRangers
Games played2020
Wins98
Losses1112
Goals scored5464
Goals conceded5456
Scored per game2.73.2
Conceded per game2.72.8
Home record5W 4L6W 7L
Away record4W 7L2W 5L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against Draft Kings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Bruins to win49%+106-115-9.2%
Rangers to win45%+121-105-11.8%
Bruins -1.528%+261+215-12.8%
Rangers +1.574%-278-265+1.2%
Over 5.5 goals50%+101-130-11.9%
Under 5.5 goals44%+128+110-7.8%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Bruins spreadCoversFair
Bruins -1.529%+247
Bruins -0.544%+125
Bruins +0.561%-155
Total goalsOverUnder
4.569%31%
5.553%47%
6.536%64%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Bruins +3.5 wins if Bruins win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win New York Rangers vs Boston Bruins?

Our prediction for New York Rangers vs Boston Bruins is New York Rangers to win, with a 51% chance, but it is a close call. We project New York Rangers 2.8 and Boston Bruins 2.9. Our best bet is Rangers +1.5 at -265.

What is the projected score for New York Rangers vs Boston Bruins?

We project New York Rangers 2.8 and Boston Bruins 2.9, about 5.7 goals in total.

How are Boston Bruins playing?

Boston Bruins have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 54 goals scored and 54 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, L, newest first.

How are New York Rangers playing?

New York Rangers have 8 wins and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 64 goals scored and 56 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 5 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, L, W, newest first.

What happened when Boston Bruins and New York Rangers last met?

It ended New York Rangers 4, Boston Bruins 3. In the last 5 meetings Boston Bruins won 3 and New York Rangers won 2.

What is the best bet for New York Rangers vs Boston Bruins?

Rangers +1.5 at -265, with a 74% chance. That price pays about 1.2% more than our fair price.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Bruins against Rangers. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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