Predictions › United States › New York Rangers vs Calgary Flames
NHLWed 11 Nov, 19:30 United States time

New York Rangers vs Calgary Flames prediction

Scotiabank Saddledome

New York RangersAway
2.7 : 3.0
projected goals
Calgary FlamesHome
49%Rangers
51%Flames
Eagle safe pickOver 4 goals
-431

Quick answer

Our prediction for New York Rangers vs Calgary Flames is Calgary Flames to win, with a 51% chance, but it is a close call. We project New York Rangers 2.7 and Calgary Flames 3.0. Our best bet is Over 4 goals at -431.

Prediction
Calgary Flames to win
Chance
51%
Projected score
New York Rangers 3, Calgary Flames 3
Projected total
5.8 goals
Best bet
Over 4 goals at -431

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 4 goals
81% chanceFair price -4312 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Rangers to win
42% chanceFair price +1381 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Calgary Flames 51% and New York Rangers 49%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Calgary Flames won 3 of their last 5 and New York Rangers won 1 of their last 5. Calgary Flames come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Calgary Flames won 7 of their last 12 games at home. New York Rangers won 3 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Calgary Flames score 2.5 goals a game and let in 3.5. New York Rangers score 3.2 and let in 3.0. Their recent games average 5.9 and 6.2 goals in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Calgary Flames won 1 and New York Rangers won 1. The last one ended New York Rangers 4, Calgary Flames 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 4 goals has a 81% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Flamesrest between games-5%
  • Rangersrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

New York Rangers vs Calgary Flames: Calgary Flames shade it

The big picture

Calgary Flames host New York Rangers in the NHL on Wed 11 Nov, 19:30 at Scotiabank Saddledome. Our prediction for New York Rangers vs Calgary Flames is Calgary Flames to win, with a 51% chance, but it is a close call. We project New York Rangers 2.7 and Calgary Flames 3.0. Our best bet is Over 4 goals at -431.

Calgary Flames form

Calgary Flames have 8 wins and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 49 goals scored and 69 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 5 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, W, newest first.

New York Rangers form

New York Rangers have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 64 goals scored and 59 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Calgary Flames won 1, New York Rangers won 1. Last time out it finished New York Rangers 4, Calgary Flames 0.

Our call

We expect New York Rangers to score about 2.7 goals and Calgary Flames about 3.0. That points to Calgary Flames to win. Our safest bet is Over 4 goals at -431. Our bold bet is Rangers to win at +138.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

FlamesRangers
Games played2020
Wins810
Losses1210
Goals scored4964
Goals conceded6959
Scored per game2.53.2
Conceded per game3.53.0
Home record7W 5L7W 3L
Away record1W 7L3W 7L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Flames spreadCoversFair
Flames -1.531%+219
Flames -0.547%+112
Flames +0.564%-175
Total goalsOverUnder
4.571%29%
5.555%45%
6.538%62%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Flames +3.5 wins if Flames win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win New York Rangers vs Calgary Flames?

Our prediction for New York Rangers vs Calgary Flames is Calgary Flames to win, with a 51% chance, but it is a close call. We project New York Rangers 2.7 and Calgary Flames 3.0. Our best bet is Over 4 goals at -431.

What is the projected score for New York Rangers vs Calgary Flames?

We project New York Rangers 2.7 and Calgary Flames 3.0, about 5.8 goals in total.

How are Calgary Flames playing?

Calgary Flames have 8 wins and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 49 goals scored and 69 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 5 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, W, newest first.

How are New York Rangers playing?

New York Rangers have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 64 goals scored and 59 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, W, newest first.

What happened when Calgary Flames and New York Rangers last met?

It ended New York Rangers 4, Calgary Flames 0. In the last 2 meetings Calgary Flames won 1 and New York Rangers won 1.

What is the best bet for New York Rangers vs Calgary Flames?

Over 4 goals at -431, with a 81% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Flames against Rangers. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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