Predictions › United States › New York Rangers vs Detroit Red Wings
NHLFri 2 Oct, 18:30 United States time

New York Rangers vs Detroit Red Wings prediction

Little Caesars Arena

New York RangersAway
3.2 : 3.3
projected goals
Detroit Red WingsHome
48%Rangers
52%Red Wings
Eagle value pickRangers +1.5
-218

Quick answer

Our prediction for New York Rangers vs Detroit Red Wings is Detroit Red Wings to win, with a 52% chance, but it is a close call. We project New York Rangers 3.2 and Detroit Red Wings 3.3. Our best bet is Rangers +1.5 at -218.

Prediction
Detroit Red Wings to win
Chance
52%
Projected score
New York Rangers 3, Detroit Red Wings 3
Projected total
6.5 goals
Best bet
Rangers +1.5 at -218

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Rangers +1.5
74% chancePrice -218+7.8% value2 units
★

Eagle value pick

Rangers +1.5
74% chancePrice -218+7.8% value2 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Detroit Red Wings 52% and New York Rangers 48%. The bookmakers agree and make Detroit Red Wings the favourite at -142.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Detroit Red Wings won 2 of their last 5 and New York Rangers won 3 of their last 5. New York Rangers come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Detroit Red Wings won 4 of their last 11 games at home. New York Rangers won 2 of their last 7 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Detroit Red Wings score 3.0 goals a game and let in 3.5. New York Rangers score 3.2 and let in 2.8. Their recent games average 6.5 and 6.0 goals in total, and the market line is 6.5.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 3 meetings, Detroit Red Wings won 1 and New York Rangers won 2. The last one ended New York Rangers 4, Detroit Red Wings 1.

  6. 6
    Where the value is

    Rangers +1.5 is priced at -218. Our fair price is -283, so the bookmaker pays about 7.8% more than it should.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Red Wingsrest between games-5%
  • Rangersrest between games-2%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

New York Rangers vs Detroit Red Wings: Detroit Red Wings shade it

The big picture

Detroit Red Wings host New York Rangers in the NHL on Fri 2 Oct, 18:30 at Little Caesars Arena. Our prediction for New York Rangers vs Detroit Red Wings is Detroit Red Wings to win, with a 52% chance, but it is a close call. We project New York Rangers 3.2 and Detroit Red Wings 3.3. Our best bet is Rangers +1.5 at -218.

Detroit Red Wings form

Detroit Red Wings have 7 wins and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 60 goals scored and 71 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 7 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, L, newest first.

New York Rangers form

New York Rangers have 8 wins and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 64 goals scored and 56 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 5 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 3 times in our records. Detroit Red Wings won 1, New York Rangers won 2. Last time out it finished New York Rangers 4, Detroit Red Wings 1.

Our call

We expect New York Rangers to score about 3.2 goals and Detroit Red Wings about 3.3. That points to Detroit Red Wings to win. Our safest bet is Rangers +1.5 at -218. Our value bet is Rangers +1.5 at -218.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Red WingsRangers
Games played2020
Wins78
Losses1312
Goals scored6064
Goals conceded7156
Scored per game3.03.2
Conceded per game3.52.8
Home record4W 7L6W 7L
Away record3W 6L2W 5L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against Draft Kings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Red Wings to win52%-108-142-11.5%
Rangers to win42%+139+120-8.0%
Red Wings -1.527%+271+180-24.5%
Rangers +1.574%-283-218+7.8%
Over 6.5 goals47%+113+114+0.3%
Under 6.5 goals47%+113-135-18.4%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Red Wings spreadCoversFair
Red Wings -1.528%+257
Red Wings -0.543%+130
Red Wings +0.560%-149
Total goalsOverUnder
5.567%33%
6.550%50%
7.533%67%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Red Wings +3.5 wins if Red Wings win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win New York Rangers vs Detroit Red Wings?

Our prediction for New York Rangers vs Detroit Red Wings is Detroit Red Wings to win, with a 52% chance, but it is a close call. We project New York Rangers 3.2 and Detroit Red Wings 3.3. Our best bet is Rangers +1.5 at -218.

What is the projected score for New York Rangers vs Detroit Red Wings?

We project New York Rangers 3.2 and Detroit Red Wings 3.3, about 6.5 goals in total.

How are Detroit Red Wings playing?

Detroit Red Wings have 7 wins and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 60 goals scored and 71 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 7 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, L, newest first.

How are New York Rangers playing?

New York Rangers have 8 wins and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 64 goals scored and 56 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 5 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, L, W, newest first.

What happened when Detroit Red Wings and New York Rangers last met?

It ended New York Rangers 4, Detroit Red Wings 1. In the last 3 meetings Detroit Red Wings won 1 and New York Rangers won 2.

What is the best bet for New York Rangers vs Detroit Red Wings?

Rangers +1.5 at -218, with a 74% chance. That price pays about 7.8% more than our fair price.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Red Wings against Rangers. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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