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Predictions › United States › New York Rangers vs Toronto Maple Leafs
NHLThu 22 Oct, 19:00 United States time

New York Rangers vs Toronto Maple Leafs prediction

Scotiabank Arena

New York RangersAway
3.3 : 2.9
projected goals
Toronto Maple LeafsHome
58%Rangers
42%Maple Leafs
Eagle safe pickUnder 8 goals
-375

Quick answer

Our prediction for New York Rangers vs Toronto Maple Leafs is New York Rangers to win, with a 58% chance. We project New York Rangers 3.3 and Toronto Maple Leafs 2.9. Our best bet is Under 8 goals at -375.

Prediction
New York Rangers to win
Chance
58%
Projected score
New York Rangers 3, Toronto Maple Leafs 3
Projected total
6.3 goals
Best bet
Under 8 goals at -375

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 8 goals
79% chanceFair price -3752 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Maple Leafs to win
42% chanceFair price +1401 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Toronto Maple Leafs 42% and New York Rangers 58%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Toronto Maple Leafs won 3 of their last 5 and New York Rangers won 4 of their last 5. New York Rangers come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Toronto Maple Leafs won 4 of their last 10 games at home. New York Rangers won 3 of their last 8 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Toronto Maple Leafs score 3.1 goals a game and let in 3.8. New York Rangers score 3.4 and let in 2.1. Their recent games average 6.9 and 5.5 goals in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 3 meetings, Toronto Maple Leafs won 2 and New York Rangers won 1. The last one ended Toronto Maple Leafs 4, New York Rangers 3.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 8 goals has a 79% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Maple Leafsrest between games-2%
  • Rangersrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

New York Rangers vs Toronto Maple Leafs: New York Rangers are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Toronto Maple Leafs host New York Rangers in the NHL on Thu 22 Oct, 19:00 at Scotiabank Arena. Our prediction for New York Rangers vs Toronto Maple Leafs is New York Rangers to win, with a 58% chance. We project New York Rangers 3.3 and Toronto Maple Leafs 2.9. Our best bet is Under 8 goals at -375.

Toronto Maple Leafs form

Toronto Maple Leafs have 7 wins and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 62 goals scored and 76 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, W, newest first.

New York Rangers form

New York Rangers have 12 wins and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 68 goals scored and 43 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 5 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 3 times in our records. Toronto Maple Leafs won 2, New York Rangers won 1. Last time out it finished Toronto Maple Leafs 4, New York Rangers 3.

Our call

We expect New York Rangers to score about 3.3 goals and Toronto Maple Leafs about 2.9. That points to New York Rangers to win. Our safest bet is Under 8 goals at -375. Our bold bet is Maple Leafs to win at +140.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Maple LeafsRangers
Games played2020
Wins712
Losses138
Goals scored6268
Goals conceded7643
Scored per game3.13.4
Conceded per game3.82.1
Home record4W 6L9W 3L
Away record3W 7L3W 5L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Maple Leafs spreadCoversFair
Maple Leafs -0.535%+182
Maple Leafs +0.552%-107
Maple Leafs +1.568%-210
Total goalsOverUnder
5.563%37%
6.546%54%
7.529%71%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Maple Leafs +3.5 wins if Maple Leafs win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
NHL

New York Rangers Lose Backup Goalie Joonas Korpisalo to Injury

New York Rangers backup goalie Joonas Korpisalo is week to week with a lower body injury, forcing the team to recall Dylan Garand from the AHL.

1 Oct 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win New York Rangers vs Toronto Maple Leafs?

Our prediction for New York Rangers vs Toronto Maple Leafs is New York Rangers to win, with a 58% chance. We project New York Rangers 3.3 and Toronto Maple Leafs 2.9. Our best bet is Under 8 goals at -375.

What is the projected score for New York Rangers vs Toronto Maple Leafs?

We project New York Rangers 3.3 and Toronto Maple Leafs 2.9, about 6.3 goals in total.

How are Toronto Maple Leafs playing?

Toronto Maple Leafs have 7 wins and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 62 goals scored and 76 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, W, newest first.

How are New York Rangers playing?

New York Rangers have 12 wins and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 68 goals scored and 43 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 5 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Toronto Maple Leafs and New York Rangers last met?

It ended Toronto Maple Leafs 4, New York Rangers 3. In the last 3 meetings Toronto Maple Leafs won 2 and New York Rangers won 1.

What is the best bet for New York Rangers vs Toronto Maple Leafs?

Under 8 goals at -375, with a 79% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Maple Leafs against Rangers. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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