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Predictions › Australia › Newcastle Jets vs Macarthur FC
A-LeagueSat 24 Oct, 04:00 Australia time

Newcastle Jets vs Macarthur FC prediction

McDonald Jones Stadium

Newcastle JetsHome
1.99 : 1.24
expected goals
Macarthur FCAway
54%Newcastle Jets
23%Draw
23%Macarthur
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.22

Quick answer

Our prediction for Newcastle Jets vs Macarthur FC is Newcastle Jets to win, with a 54% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.22.

Prediction
Newcastle Jets to win
Chance
54%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Newcastle Jets 2.0, Macarthur FC 1.2
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.22
Both teams to score
62%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
82% chanceFair price 1.222 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Newcastle Jets to win and Over 2.5
39% chanceFair price 2.581 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Newcastle Jets 54%, the draw 23% and Macarthur FC 23%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Newcastle Jets took 7 points from their last 5 games and Macarthur FC took 9 from 5. Macarthur FC come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Newcastle Jets won 6 of their last 10 games at home. Macarthur FC won 3 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Newcastle Jets score 2.1 goals a game and let in 1.2. Macarthur FC score 1.6 and let in 1.9. Over 2.5 goals landed in 13 of Newcastle Jets games and 13 of Macarthur FC games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 3 meetings, Newcastle Jets won 1 and Macarthur FC won 2 with 0 draws. The last one ended Macarthur FC 3, Newcastle Jets 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 82% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Newcastle Jetsrecent form-1%
  • Macarthurrecent form+1%
  • Newcastle Jetsrest between games-3%
  • Macarthurrest between games-3%
Newcastle Jets form D L L D WMacarthur form W L L W WHome edge in this league 15% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Newcastle Jets vs Macarthur FC: Newcastle Jets are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Newcastle Jets host Macarthur FC in the A-League on Sat 24 Oct, 04:00 at McDonald Jones Stadium. Our prediction for Newcastle Jets vs Macarthur FC is Newcastle Jets to win, with a 54% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.22.

Newcastle Jets form

Newcastle Jets have 12 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 43 goals scored and 24 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, D, W, D, D, newest first.

Macarthur FC form

Macarthur FC have 7 wins, 6 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 33 goals scored and 37 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 3 times in our records. Newcastle Jets won 1, Macarthur FC won 2 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Macarthur FC 3, Newcastle Jets 2.

Our call

We expect Newcastle Jets to score about 2.0 goals and Macarthur FC about 1.2. That points to Newcastle Jets to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.22. Our bold bet is Newcastle Jets to win and Over 2.5 at 2.58.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Newcastle JetsMacarthur
Games played2020
Wins127
Draws56
Losses37
Goals scored4333
Goals conceded2437
Scored per game2.11.6
Conceded per game1.21.9
Home record6W 2D 2L4W 3D 3L
Away record6W 3D 1L3W 3D 4L
Clean sheets25%15%
Both teams scored75%70%
Over 2.5 goals65%65%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals84%1.19
Over 2.5 goals63%1.60
Over 3.5 goals40%2.47
Both teams to score62%1.61
Newcastle Jets or Draw77%1.30
Macarthur FC or Draw46%2.18
Newcastle Jets to win and Over 2.539%2.56
Macarthur FC to win and Over 2.516%6.39
Newcastle Jets clean sheet29%3.46
Macarthur FC clean sheet14%7.30

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-110.4%
2-19.7%
2-07.8%
1-07.3%
3-16.4%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Newcastle Jets vs Macarthur FC?

Our prediction for Newcastle Jets vs Macarthur FC is Newcastle Jets to win, with a 54% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.22.

What is the score prediction for Newcastle Jets vs Macarthur FC?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 2-0. We expect Newcastle Jets to score 2.0 goals and Macarthur FC 1.2.

Will both teams score in Newcastle Jets vs Macarthur FC?

Both teams to score has a 62% chance. Both sides scored in 15 of Newcastle Jets last 20 games and 14 of Macarthur FC last 20.

How are Newcastle Jets playing?

Newcastle Jets have 12 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 43 goals scored and 24 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, D, W, D, D, newest first.

How are Macarthur FC playing?

Macarthur FC have 7 wins, 6 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 33 goals scored and 37 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Newcastle Jets and Macarthur FC last met?

It ended Macarthur FC 3, Newcastle Jets 2. In the last 3 meetings Newcastle Jets won 1 and Macarthur FC won 2.

What is the best bet for Newcastle Jets vs Macarthur FC?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.22, with a 82% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Newcastle Jets against Macarthur. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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