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Predictions › United Kingdom › Newcastle United vs Everton
Premier LeagueMon 2 Nov, 20:00 United Kingdom time

Newcastle United vs Everton prediction

St. James' Park

Newcastle UnitedHome
1.54 : 1.36
expected goals
EvertonAway
41%Newcastle
26%Draw
33%Everton
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1/4

Quick answer

Our prediction for Newcastle United vs Everton is Newcastle United to win, with a 41% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/4.

Prediction
Newcastle United to win
Chance
41%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Newcastle United 1.5, Everton 1.4
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1/4
Both teams to score
59%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
79% chanceFair price 1/42 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Newcastle United to win and Over 2.5
26% chanceFair price 3/11 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Newcastle United 41%, the draw 26% and Everton 33%. The bookmakers agree and make Newcastle United the favourite at 6/5.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Newcastle United took 6 points from their last 5 games and Everton took 8 from 5. Everton come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Newcastle United won 4 of their last 10 games at home. Everton won 2 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Newcastle United score 1.4 goals a game and let in 1.8. Everton score 1.6 and let in 1.3. Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 of Newcastle United games and 11 of Everton games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Newcastle United won 1 and Everton won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Newcastle United 2, Everton 3.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 79% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Evertonrecent form+3%
Newcastle form D L W L WEverton form D D W W DHome edge in this league 23% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Newcastle United vs Everton: Newcastle United shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Newcastle United host Everton in the Premier League on Mon 2 Nov, 20:00 at St. James' Park. Our prediction for Newcastle United vs Everton is Newcastle United to win, with a 41% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/4.

Newcastle United form

Newcastle United have 7 wins, 4 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 36 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, W, newest first.

Everton form

Everton have 7 wins, 7 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 26 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, W, W, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Newcastle United won 1, Everton won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Newcastle United 2, Everton 3.

Our call

We expect Newcastle United to score about 1.5 goals and Everton about 1.4. That points to Newcastle United to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/4. Our bold bet is Newcastle United to win and Over 2.5 at 3/1.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

NewcastleEverton
Games played2020
Wins77
Draws47
Losses96
Goals scored2831
Goals conceded3626
Scored per game1.41.6
Conceded per game1.81.3
Home record4W 3D 3L5W 2D 3L
Away record3W 1D 6L2W 5D 3L
Clean sheets15%35%
Both teams scored70%50%
Over 2.5 goals60%55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Newcastle United to win41%7/56/5-9.5%
A Draw25%3/113/5-9.8%
Everton to win32%85/402/1-5.0%
Over 2.5 goals52%10/114/6-14.8%
Under 2.5 goals43%5/411/10-7.0%
Newcastle United -0.543%11/821/20-12.3%
Everton +0.552%10/118/13-16.0%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals79%1/4
Over 2.5 goals55%4/5
Over 3.5 goals33%2/1
Both teams to score59%4/6
Newcastle United or Draw67%1/2
Everton or Draw59%4/6
Newcastle United to win and Over 2.527%11/4
Everton to win and Over 2.521%7/2
Newcastle United clean sheet26%3/1
Everton clean sheet21%7/2

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.2%
2-18.9%
1-27.9%
1-07.7%
0-16.8%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news
Premier League

Everton Host Chelsea As Weekend European Soccer Kickoff Arrives

Everton take on Chelsea in the Premier League early match as action gets under way across Europe this Saturday.

17 Oct 2026
Premier League

David Moyes contract talks pause as Everton ownership sale talks begin

Contract talks for Everton manager David Moyes have slowed down following news that the club could be put up for sale.

16 Oct 2026
Premier League

Everton Up For Sale As Friedkin Group Seeks New Buyers

The Friedkin Group is looking to sell a controlling stake in Everton just months after taking over the Premier League club.

9 Oct 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Newcastle United vs Everton?

Our prediction for Newcastle United vs Everton is Newcastle United to win, with a 41% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/4.

What is the score prediction for Newcastle United vs Everton?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-2. We expect Newcastle United to score 1.5 goals and Everton 1.4.

Will both teams score in Newcastle United vs Everton?

Both teams to score has a 59% chance. Both sides scored in 14 of Newcastle United last 20 games and 10 of Everton last 20.

How are Newcastle United playing?

Newcastle United have 7 wins, 4 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 36 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, W, newest first.

How are Everton playing?

Everton have 7 wins, 7 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 26 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, W, W, D, newest first.

What happened when Newcastle United and Everton last met?

It ended Newcastle United 2, Everton 3. In the last 2 meetings Newcastle United won 1 and Everton won 1.

What is the best bet for Newcastle United vs Everton?

Over 1.5 goals at 1/4, with a 79% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Newcastle against Everton. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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