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Predictions › Argentina › Newell's Old Boys vs Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero)
Argentina Liga ProfesionalMon 19 Oct, 22:00 Argentina time

Newell's Old Boys vs Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) prediction

Marcelo Bielsa

Newell's Old BoysHome
1.19 : 0.60
expected goals
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero)Away
50%Newell's
32%Draw
18%C. Córdoba (SE)
Eagle safe pickNewell's Old Boys or Draw
1.26

Quick answer

Our prediction for Newell's Old Boys vs Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) is Newell's Old Boys to win, with a 50% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Newell's Old Boys or Draw at 1.26.

Prediction
Newell's Old Boys to win
Chance
50%
Most likely score
1-0
Expected goals
Newell's Old Boys 1.2, Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) 0.6
Best bet
Newell's Old Boys or Draw at 1.26
Both teams to score
32%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Newell's Old Boys or Draw
79% chanceFair price 1.262 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-0
19% chanceFair price 5.231 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Newell's Old Boys 50%, the draw 32% and Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) 18%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Newell's Old Boys took 7 points from their last 5 games and Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) took 3 from 5. Newell's Old Boys come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Newell's Old Boys won 4 of their last 11 games at home. Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) won 1 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Newell's Old Boys score 1.1 goals a game and let in 1.1. Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) score 0.8 and let in 1.6. Over 2.5 goals landed in 6 of Newell's Old Boys games and 8 of Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Newell's Old Boys won 1 and Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) 1, Newell's Old Boys 3.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Newell's Old Boys or Draw has a 79% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Newell'srecent form+1%
  • C. Córdoba (SE)recent form-3%
Newell's form D W D D DC. Córdoba (SE) form D D L L DHome edge in this league 25% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Newell's Old Boys vs Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero): Newell's Old Boys are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Newell's Old Boys host Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) in the Argentina Liga Profesional on Mon 19 Oct, 22:00 at Marcelo Bielsa. Our prediction for Newell's Old Boys vs Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) is Newell's Old Boys to win, with a 50% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Newell's Old Boys or Draw at 1.26.

Newell's Old Boys form

Newell's Old Boys have 7 wins, 9 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 21 goals scored and 21 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 6 draws and 1 loss from 11. Their last 5 results read D, W, D, D, D, newest first.

Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) form

Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) have 4 wins, 5 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 16 goals scored and 31 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 4 draws and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, D, L, L, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Newell's Old Boys won 1, Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) 1, Newell's Old Boys 3.

Our call

We expect Newell's Old Boys to score about 1.2 goals and Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) about 0.6. That points to Newell's Old Boys to win, with 1-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Newell's Old Boys or Draw at 1.26. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-0 at 5.23.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Newell'sC. Córdoba (SE)
Games played2020
Wins74
Draws95
Losses411
Goals scored2116
Goals conceded2131
Scored per game1.10.8
Conceded per game1.11.6
Home record4W 6D 1L3W 1D 5L
Away record3W 3D 3L1W 4D 6L
Clean sheets35%20%
Both teams scored50%45%
Over 2.5 goals30%40%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals54%1.85
Over 2.5 goals27%3.75
Over 3.5 goals11%9.34
Both teams to score32%3.11
Newell's Old Boys or Draw82%1.22
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) or Draw50%1.99
Newell's Old Boys to win and Over 2.519%5.35
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) to win and Over 2.56%17.66
Newell's Old Boys clean sheet55%1.82
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) clean sheet30%3.28

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-019.1%
0-017.4%
1-112.6%
2-011.8%
0-19.3%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Newell's Old Boys vs Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero)?

Our prediction for Newell's Old Boys vs Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) is Newell's Old Boys to win, with a 50% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Newell's Old Boys or Draw at 1.26.

What is the score prediction for Newell's Old Boys vs Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero)?

1-0 is the most likely score, followed by 0-0 and 1-1. We expect Newell's Old Boys to score 1.2 goals and Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) 0.6.

Will both teams score in Newell's Old Boys vs Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero)?

Both teams to score has a 32% chance. Both sides scored in 10 of Newell's Old Boys last 20 games and 9 of Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) last 20.

How are Newell's Old Boys playing?

Newell's Old Boys have 7 wins, 9 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 21 goals scored and 21 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 6 draws and 1 loss from 11. Their last 5 results read D, W, D, D, D, newest first.

How are Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) playing?

Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) have 4 wins, 5 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 16 goals scored and 31 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 4 draws and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, D, L, L, D, newest first.

What happened when Newell's Old Boys and Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) last met?

It ended Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) 1, Newell's Old Boys 3. In the last 1 meeting Newell's Old Boys won 1 and Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) won 0.

What is the best bet for Newell's Old Boys vs Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero)?

Newell's Old Boys or Draw at 1.26, with a 79% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Newell's against C. Córdoba (SE). A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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