EagleEyeOdds eagleEagleEyeOddsToday's picks
PredictionsBest bets by countryKenyaNigeriaGhanaSouth AfricaUnited KingdomUnited StatesIndiaTanzaniaUgandaZambiaCameroonIvory CoastAll 54 countriesNewsOur recordHow Eagle 2.0 worksResponsible gambling
Predictions › Argentina › Newell's Old Boys vs Unión (Santa Fe)
Argentina Liga ProfesionalSun 1 Nov, 21:30 Argentina time

Newell's Old Boys vs Unión (Santa Fe) prediction

Marcelo Bielsa

Newell's Old BoysHome
1.50 : 0.97
expected goals
Unión (Santa Fe)Away
49%Newell's
28%Draw
24%Unión (SF)
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.30

Quick answer

Our prediction for Newell's Old Boys vs Unión (Santa Fe) is Newell's Old Boys to win, with a 49% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.30.

Prediction
Newell's Old Boys to win
Chance
49%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Newell's Old Boys 1.5, Unión (Santa Fe) 1.0
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.30
Both teams to score
49%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
77% chanceFair price 1.302 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Newell's Old Boys to win and Over 2.5
26% chanceFair price 3.831 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Newell's Old Boys 49%, the draw 28% and Unión (Santa Fe) 24%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Newell's Old Boys took 8 points from their last 5 games and Unión (Santa Fe) took 1 from 5. Newell's Old Boys come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Newell's Old Boys won 5 of their last 10 games at home. Unión (Santa Fe) won 2 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Newell's Old Boys score 1.1 goals a game and let in 1.0. Unión (Santa Fe) score 1.4 and let in 1.6. Over 2.5 goals landed in 7 of Newell's Old Boys games and 13 of Unión (Santa Fe) games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Newell's Old Boys won 1 and Unión (Santa Fe) won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Unión (Santa Fe) 2, Newell's Old Boys 3.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Unión (SF)recent form-6%
Newell's form D L D W DUnión (SF) form D L L L LHome edge in this league 24% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Newell's Old Boys vs Unión (Santa Fe): Newell's Old Boys are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Newell's Old Boys host Unión (Santa Fe) in the Argentina Liga Profesional on Sun 1 Nov, 21:30 at Marcelo Bielsa. Our prediction for Newell's Old Boys vs Unión (Santa Fe) is Newell's Old Boys to win, with a 49% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.30.

Newell's Old Boys form

Newell's Old Boys have 8 wins, 8 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 20 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 5 draws and 0 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, D, W, D, newest first.

Unión (Santa Fe) form

Unión (Santa Fe) have 6 wins, 4 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 33 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Newell's Old Boys won 1, Unión (Santa Fe) won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Unión (Santa Fe) 2, Newell's Old Boys 3.

Our call

We expect Newell's Old Boys to score about 1.5 goals and Unión (Santa Fe) about 1.0. That points to Newell's Old Boys to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.30. Our bold bet is Newell's Old Boys to win and Over 2.5 at 3.83.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Newell'sUnión (SF)
Games played2020
Wins86
Draws84
Losses410
Goals scored2228
Goals conceded2033
Scored per game1.11.4
Conceded per game1.01.6
Home record5W 5D 0L4W 1D 4L
Away record3W 3D 4L2W 3D 6L
Clean sheets35%5%
Both teams scored50%70%
Over 2.5 goals35%65%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals71%1.40
Over 2.5 goals45%2.23
Over 3.5 goals24%4.24
Both teams to score49%2.04
Newell's Old Boys or Draw76%1.31
Unión (Santa Fe) or Draw51%1.95
Newell's Old Boys to win and Over 2.527%3.67
Unión (Santa Fe) to win and Over 2.512%8.14
Newell's Old Boys clean sheet38%2.64
Unión (Santa Fe) clean sheet22%4.47

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.1%
1-011.9%
2-09.5%
2-19.2%
0-09.2%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Newell's Old Boys vs Unión (Santa Fe)?

Our prediction for Newell's Old Boys vs Unión (Santa Fe) is Newell's Old Boys to win, with a 49% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.30.

What is the score prediction for Newell's Old Boys vs Unión (Santa Fe)?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 2-0. We expect Newell's Old Boys to score 1.5 goals and Unión (Santa Fe) 1.0.

Will both teams score in Newell's Old Boys vs Unión (Santa Fe)?

Both teams to score has a 49% chance. Both sides scored in 10 of Newell's Old Boys last 20 games and 14 of Unión (Santa Fe) last 20.

How are Newell's Old Boys playing?

Newell's Old Boys have 8 wins, 8 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 20 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 5 draws and 0 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, D, W, D, newest first.

How are Unión (Santa Fe) playing?

Unión (Santa Fe) have 6 wins, 4 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 33 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Newell's Old Boys and Unión (Santa Fe) last met?

It ended Unión (Santa Fe) 2, Newell's Old Boys 3. In the last 2 meetings Newell's Old Boys won 1 and Unión (Santa Fe) won 1.

What is the best bet for Newell's Old Boys vs Unión (Santa Fe)?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.30, with a 77% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Newell's against Unión (SF). A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
  • 18 plus only. Betting is for adults. In some countries the legal age is higher and in some it is not allowed at all. You alone are responsible for checking the law where you live.
  • Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
  • No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
  • Betting can harm you. If it stops being fun, if you chase losses, or if you hide it from people close to you, stop and get help. Free and private support is available from BeGambleAware, GamCare and Gamblers Anonymous. Read our responsible gambling page for tools that block betting sites.

Full terms are on our disclaimer and terms pages.

Note: Never stake money you need for rent, food, bills or anyone who depends on you.