Predictions › France › Nice vs Stade Rennais

Ligue 1Sat 31 Oct, 16:15 France time

Nice vs Stade Rennais prediction

Allianz Riviera

NiceHome

1.49 : 1.61

expected goals

Stade RennaisAway

35%Nice

25%Draw

40%Rennes

Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals

1.23

Quick answer

Our prediction for Nice vs Stade Rennais is Stade Rennais to win, with a 40% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.23.

Prediction: Stade Rennais to win
Chance: 40%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Nice 1.5, Stade Rennais 1.6
Best bet: Over 1.5 goals at 1.23
Both teams to score: 63%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals

81% chanceFair price 1.232 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Stade Rennais to win and Over 2.5

26% chanceFair price 3.791 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Nice 35%, the draw 25% and Stade Rennais 40%. The bookmakers agree and make Stade Rennais the favourite at 2.35.
2
Recent form
Nice took 7 points from their last 5 games and Stade Rennais took 7 from 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.
3
Home and away
Nice won 2 of their last 10 games at home. Stade Rennais won 4 of their last 9 on the road.
4
Goals
Nice score 0.8 goals a game and let in 1.6. Stade Rennais score 1.9 and let in 1.5. Over 2.5 goals landed in 9 of Nice games and 16 of Stade Rennais games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 2 meetings, Nice won 1 and Stade Rennais won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Nice 0, Stade Rennais 4.
6
The safest bet
Over 1.5 goals has a 81% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nicerecent form+1%
Rennesrecent form+1%

Nice form D W W L DRennes form D W W L DHome edge in this league 22% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Nice vs Stade Rennais: Stade Rennais shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Nice host Stade Rennais in the Ligue 1 on Sat 31 Oct, 16:15 at Allianz Riviera. Our prediction for Nice vs Stade Rennais is Stade Rennais to win, with a 40% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.23.

Nice form

Nice have 3 wins, 8 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 16 goals scored and 31 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 6 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, D, newest first.

Stade Rennais form

Stade Rennais have 12 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 39 goals scored and 30 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Nice won 1, Stade Rennais won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Nice 0, Stade Rennais 4.

Our call

We expect Nice to score about 1.5 goals and Stade Rennais about 1.6. That points to Stade Rennais to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.23. Our bold bet is Stade Rennais to win and Over 2.5 at 3.79.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Nice	Rennes
Games played	20	20
Wins	3	12
Draws	8	3
Losses	9	5
Goals scored	16	39
Goals conceded	31	30
Scored per game	0.8	1.9
Conceded per game	1.6	1.5
Home record	2W 6D 2L	8W 2D 1L
Away record	1W 2D 7L	4W 1D 4L
Clean sheets	20%	30%
Both teams scored	50%	65%
Over 2.5 goals	45%	80%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

Bet	Our chance	Fair	Price	Value
Nice to win	34%	2.92	2.75	-5.7%
A Draw	24%	4.15	3.65	-12.1%
Stade Rennais to win	41%	2.44	2.35	-3.7%
Over 3.5 goals	40%	2.50	2.30	-8.0%
Under 3.5 goals	56%	1.79	1.54	-14.1%
Nice +0.5	54%	1.86	1.56	-16.5%
Stade Rennais -0.5	42%	2.37	2.20	-7.3%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	82%	1.22
Over 2.5 goals	60%	1.67
Over 3.5 goals	37%	2.67
Both teams to score	63%	1.60
Nice or Draw	60%	1.67
Stade Rennais or Draw	65%	1.53
Nice to win and Over 2.5	24%	4.22
Stade Rennais to win and Over 2.5	28%	3.62
Nice clean sheet	20%	5.00
Stade Rennais clean sheet	23%	4.42

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.5%

1-28.7%

2-18.0%

0-16.6%

2-26.5%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Nice vs Stade Rennais?

Our prediction for Nice vs Stade Rennais is Stade Rennais to win, with a 40% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.23.

What is the score prediction for Nice vs Stade Rennais?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 2-1. We expect Nice to score 1.5 goals and Stade Rennais 1.6.

Will both teams score in Nice vs Stade Rennais?

Both teams to score has a 63% chance. Both sides scored in 10 of Nice last 20 games and 13 of Stade Rennais last 20.

How are Nice playing?

How are Stade Rennais playing?

What happened when Nice and Stade Rennais last met?

It ended Nice 0, Stade Rennais 4. In the last 2 meetings Nice won 1 and Stade Rennais won 1.

What is the best bet for Nice vs Stade Rennais?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.23, with a 81% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Nice against Rennes. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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