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Predictions › Europa League › NK Celje vs RB Salzburg
Europa LeagueThu 22 Oct, 19:00 UTC

NK Celje vs RB Salzburg prediction

Stadion Z'dezele

NK CeljeHome
0.98 : 1.57
expected goals
RB SalzburgAway
23%NK Celje
27%Draw
50%RB Salzburg
Eagle safe pickRB Salzburg or Draw
1.32

Quick answer

Our prediction for NK Celje vs RB Salzburg is RB Salzburg to win, with a 50% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is RB Salzburg or Draw at 1.32.

Prediction
RB Salzburg to win
Chance
50%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
NK Celje 1.0, RB Salzburg 1.6
Best bet
RB Salzburg or Draw at 1.32
Both teams to score
50%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

RB Salzburg or Draw
76% chanceFair price 1.322 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

RB Salzburg to win and Over 2.5
27% chanceFair price 3.701 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives NK Celje 23%, the draw 27% and RB Salzburg 50%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    NK Celje took 9 points from their last 5 games and RB Salzburg took 11 from 5. RB Salzburg come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    NK Celje won 3 of their last 5 games at home. RB Salzburg won 4 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    NK Celje score 1.5 goals a game and let in 1.5. RB Salzburg score 1.6 and let in 1.0. Over 2.5 goals landed in 7 of NK Celje games and 10 of RB Salzburg games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    RB Salzburg or Draw has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • NK Celjerecent form-3%
  • RB Salzburgrecent form+4%
  • NK Celjerest between games-3%
  • RB Salzburgrest between games-2%
NK Celje form L L D W LRB Salzburg form D W W D WHome edge in this league 24% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

NK Celje vs RB Salzburg: RB Salzburg are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

NK Celje host RB Salzburg in the Europa League on Thu 22 Oct, 19:00 at Stadion Z'dezele. Our prediction for NK Celje vs RB Salzburg is RB Salzburg to win, with a 50% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is RB Salzburg or Draw at 1.32.

NK Celje form

NK Celje have 6 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses in their last 11 games, with 16 goals scored and 17 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from 5. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, W, newest first.

RB Salzburg form

RB Salzburg have 9 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 33 goals scored and 20 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, W, W, D, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect NK Celje to score about 1.0 goals and RB Salzburg about 1.6. That points to RB Salzburg to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is RB Salzburg or Draw at 1.32. Our bold bet is RB Salzburg to win and Over 2.5 at 3.70.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

NK CeljeRB Salzburg
Games played1120
Wins69
Draws15
Losses46
Goals scored1633
Goals conceded1720
Scored per game1.51.6
Conceded per game1.51.0
Home record3W 1D 1L5W 1D 3L
Away record3W 0D 3L4W 4D 3L
Clean sheets27%25%
Both teams scored45%60%
Over 2.5 goals64%50%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals73%1.37
Over 2.5 goals47%2.14
Over 3.5 goals25%3.97
Both teams to score50%2.00
NK Celje or Draw50%2.02
RB Salzburg or Draw77%1.30
NK Celje to win and Over 2.512%8.24
RB Salzburg to win and Over 2.529%3.43
NK Celje clean sheet21%4.79
RB Salzburg clean sheet38%2.65

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.7%
0-111.6%
0-29.7%
1-29.4%
0-08.6%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win NK Celje vs RB Salzburg?

Our prediction for NK Celje vs RB Salzburg is RB Salzburg to win, with a 50% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is RB Salzburg or Draw at 1.32.

What is the score prediction for NK Celje vs RB Salzburg?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-1 and 0-2. We expect NK Celje to score 1.0 goals and RB Salzburg 1.6.

Will both teams score in NK Celje vs RB Salzburg?

Both teams to score has a 50% chance. Both sides scored in 5 of NK Celje last 11 games and 12 of RB Salzburg last 20.

How are NK Celje playing?

NK Celje have 6 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses in their last 11 games, with 16 goals scored and 17 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from 5. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, W, newest first.

How are RB Salzburg playing?

RB Salzburg have 9 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 33 goals scored and 20 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, W, W, D, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for NK Celje vs RB Salzburg?

RB Salzburg or Draw at 1.32, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in NK Celje against RB Salzburg. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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