Predictions › United States › North Dakota State Bison vs Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors
College FootballSat 14 Nov, 23:00 United States time

North Dakota State Bison vs Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors prediction

Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex

North Dakota State BisonAway
22.1 : 18.9
projected points
Hawai'i Rainbow WarriorsHome
60%N Dakota St
40%Hawai'i
Eagle safe pickUnder 51.5 points
-307

Quick answer

Our prediction for North Dakota State Bison vs Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors is North Dakota State Bison to win, with a 60% chance. We project North Dakota State Bison 22.1 and Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors 18.9. Our best bet is Under 51.5 points at -307.

Prediction
North Dakota State Bison to win
Chance
60%
Projected score
North Dakota State Bison 22, Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors 19
Projected total
41.0 points
Best bet
Under 51.5 points at -307

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 51.5 points
75% chanceFair price -3072 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Hawai'i to win
40% chanceFair price +1481 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors 40% and North Dakota State Bison 60%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors won 1 of their last 5 and North Dakota State Bison won 3 of their last 5. North Dakota State Bison come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors won 6 of their last 10 games at home. North Dakota State Bison won 6 of their last 8 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors score 26.5 points a game and let in 23.8. North Dakota State Bison score 34.5 and let in 13.7. Their recent games average 50.3 and 48.1 points in total.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Under 51.5 points has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

North Dakota State Bison vs Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors: North Dakota State Bison are favourites

The big picture

Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors host North Dakota State Bison in the College Football on Sat 14 Nov, 23:00 at Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex. Our prediction for North Dakota State Bison vs Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors is North Dakota State Bison to win, with a 60% chance. We project North Dakota State Bison 22.1 and Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors 18.9. Our best bet is Under 51.5 points at -307.

Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors form

Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors have 9 wins and 9 losses in their last 18 games, with 477 points scored and 429 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, L, newest first.

North Dakota State Bison form

North Dakota State Bison have 17 wins and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 690 points scored and 273 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins and 2 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect North Dakota State Bison to score about 22.1 points and Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors about 18.9. That points to North Dakota State Bison to win. Our safest bet is Under 51.5 points at -307. Our bold bet is Hawai'i to win at +148.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Hawai'iN Dakota St
Games played1820
Wins917
Losses93
Points scored477690
Points conceded429273
Scored per game26.534.5
Conceded per game23.813.7
Home record6W 4L11W 1L
Away record3W 5L6W 2L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Hawai'i spreadCoversFair
Hawai'i -3.534%+195
Hawai'i +0.543%+130
Hawai'i +3.551%-103
Hawai'i +6.558%-140
Hawai'i +10.568%-209
Total pointsOverUnder
34.566%34%
38.556%44%
41.549%51%
44.541%59%
48.532%68%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Hawai'i +3.5 wins if Hawai'i win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win North Dakota State Bison vs Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors?

Our prediction for North Dakota State Bison vs Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors is North Dakota State Bison to win, with a 60% chance. We project North Dakota State Bison 22.1 and Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors 18.9. Our best bet is Under 51.5 points at -307.

What is the projected score for North Dakota State Bison vs Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors?

We project North Dakota State Bison 22.1 and Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors 18.9, about 41.0 points in total.

How are Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors playing?

Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors have 9 wins and 9 losses in their last 18 games, with 477 points scored and 429 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, L, newest first.

How are North Dakota State Bison playing?

North Dakota State Bison have 17 wins and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 690 points scored and 273 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins and 2 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for North Dakota State Bison vs Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors?

Under 51.5 points at -307, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Hawai'i against N Dakota St. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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