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Predictions › United States › North Dakota State Bison vs UNLV Rebels
College FootballSat 10 Oct, 19:00 United States time

North Dakota State Bison vs UNLV Rebels prediction

Allegiant Stadium

North Dakota State BisonAway
30.4 : 24.9
projected points
UNLV RebelsHome
66%N Dakota St
34%UNLV
Eagle safe pickUnder 65.5 points
-292

Quick answer

Our prediction for North Dakota State Bison vs UNLV Rebels is North Dakota State Bison to win, with a 66% chance. We project North Dakota State Bison 30.4 and UNLV Rebels 24.9. Our best bet is Under 65.5 points at -292.

Prediction
North Dakota State Bison to win
Chance
66%
Projected score
North Dakota State Bison 30, UNLV Rebels 25
Projected total
55.3 points
Best bet
Under 65.5 points at -292

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 65.5 points
75% chanceFair price -2921 unit
⚡

Eagle bold pick

UNLV to win
34% chanceFair price +1931 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives UNLV Rebels 34% and North Dakota State Bison 66%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    UNLV Rebels won 2 of their last 5 and North Dakota State Bison won 4 of their last 5. North Dakota State Bison come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    UNLV Rebels won 3 of their last 5 games at home. North Dakota State Bison won 6 of their last 6 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    UNLV Rebels score 30.5 points a game and let in 26.9. North Dakota State Bison score 38.5 and let in 14.3. Their recent games average 57.4 and 52.8 points in total.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Under 65.5 points has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

North Dakota State Bison vs UNLV Rebels: North Dakota State Bison are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

UNLV Rebels host North Dakota State Bison in the College Football on Sat 10 Oct, 19:00 at Allegiant Stadium. Our prediction for North Dakota State Bison vs UNLV Rebels is North Dakota State Bison to win, with a 66% chance. We project North Dakota State Bison 30.4 and UNLV Rebels 24.9. Our best bet is Under 65.5 points at -292.

UNLV Rebels form

UNLV Rebels have 9 wins and 6 losses in their last 15 games, with 457 points scored and 404 conceded. At home they have 3 wins and 2 losses from 5. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, L, newest first.

North Dakota State Bison form

North Dakota State Bison have 14 wins and 1 loss in their last 15 games, with 577 points scored and 215 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins and 0 losses from 6. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect North Dakota State Bison to score about 30.4 points and UNLV Rebels about 24.9. That points to North Dakota State Bison to win. Our safest bet is Under 65.5 points at -292. Our bold bet is UNLV to win at +193.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 15 games in all competitions.

UNLVN Dakota St
Games played1515
Wins914
Losses61
Points scored457577
Points conceded404215
Scored per game30.538.5
Conceded per game26.914.3
Home record3W 2L8W 1L
Away record6W 4L6W 0L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

UNLV spreadCoversFair
UNLV -1.533%+202
UNLV +2.543%+135
UNLV +5.550%-100
UNLV +8.557%-135
UNLV +12.567%-203
Total pointsOverUnder
48.566%34%
52.557%43%
55.549%51%
58.542%58%
62.533%67%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. UNLV +3.5 wins if UNLV win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win North Dakota State Bison vs UNLV Rebels?

Our prediction for North Dakota State Bison vs UNLV Rebels is North Dakota State Bison to win, with a 66% chance. We project North Dakota State Bison 30.4 and UNLV Rebels 24.9. Our best bet is Under 65.5 points at -292.

What is the projected score for North Dakota State Bison vs UNLV Rebels?

We project North Dakota State Bison 30.4 and UNLV Rebels 24.9, about 55.3 points in total.

How are UNLV Rebels playing?

UNLV Rebels have 9 wins and 6 losses in their last 15 games, with 457 points scored and 404 conceded. At home they have 3 wins and 2 losses from 5. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, L, newest first.

How are North Dakota State Bison playing?

North Dakota State Bison have 14 wins and 1 loss in their last 15 games, with 577 points scored and 215 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins and 0 losses from 6. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for North Dakota State Bison vs UNLV Rebels?

Under 65.5 points at -292, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in UNLV against N Dakota St. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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