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Predictions › United States › North Texas Mean Green vs Navy Midshipmen
College FootballSat 24 Oct, 15:30 United States time

North Texas Mean Green vs Navy Midshipmen prediction

Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium

North Texas Mean GreenAway
32.5 : 38.1
projected points
Navy MidshipmenHome
38%North Texas
62%Navy
Eagle safe pickNavy +4.5
-287

Quick answer

Our prediction for North Texas Mean Green vs Navy Midshipmen is Navy Midshipmen to win, with a 62% chance. We project North Texas Mean Green 32.5 and Navy Midshipmen 38.1. Our best bet is Navy +4.5 at -287.

Prediction
Navy Midshipmen to win
Chance
62%
Projected score
North Texas Mean Green 32, Navy Midshipmen 38
Projected total
70.6 points
Best bet
Navy +4.5 at -287

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Navy +4.5
74% chanceFair price -2871 unit
⚡

Eagle bold pick

North Texas to win
35% chanceFair price +1851 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Navy Midshipmen 62% and North Texas Mean Green 38%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Navy Midshipmen won 2 of their last 5 and North Texas Mean Green won 4 of their last 5. North Texas Mean Green come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Navy Midshipmen won 7 of their last 7 games at home. North Texas Mean Green won 6 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Navy Midshipmen score 28.4 points a game and let in 25.7. North Texas Mean Green score 44.4 and let in 28.7. Their recent games average 54.1 and 73.1 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Navy Midshipmen won 0 and North Texas Mean Green won 1. The last one ended North Texas Mean Green 31, Navy Midshipmen 17.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Navy +4.5 has a 74% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

North Texas Mean Green vs Navy Midshipmen: Navy Midshipmen are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Navy Midshipmen host North Texas Mean Green in the College Football on Sat 24 Oct, 15:30 at Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium. Our prediction for North Texas Mean Green vs Navy Midshipmen is Navy Midshipmen to win, with a 62% chance. We project North Texas Mean Green 32.5 and Navy Midshipmen 38.1. Our best bet is Navy +4.5 at -287.

Navy Midshipmen form

Navy Midshipmen have 11 wins and 5 losses in their last 16 games, with 454 points scored and 411 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 0 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, W, newest first.

North Texas Mean Green form

North Texas Mean Green have 14 wins and 4 losses in their last 18 games, with 800 points scored and 516 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Navy Midshipmen won 0, North Texas Mean Green won 1. Last time out it finished North Texas Mean Green 31, Navy Midshipmen 17.

Our call

We expect North Texas Mean Green to score about 32.5 points and Navy Midshipmen about 38.1. That points to Navy Midshipmen to win. Our safest bet is Navy +4.5 at -287. Our bold bet is North Texas to win at +185.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 18 games in all competitions.

NavyNorth Texas
Games played1618
Wins1114
Losses54
Points scored454800
Points conceded411516
Scored per game28.444.4
Conceded per game25.728.7
Home record7W 0L8W 1L
Away record4W 5L6W 3L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Navy spreadCoversFair
Navy -12.533%+200
Navy -8.543%+133
Navy -5.550%-101
Navy -2.558%-137
Navy +1.567%-205
Total pointsOverUnder
63.567%33%
67.558%42%
70.550%50%
73.543%57%
77.533%67%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Navy +3.5 wins if Navy win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win North Texas Mean Green vs Navy Midshipmen?

Our prediction for North Texas Mean Green vs Navy Midshipmen is Navy Midshipmen to win, with a 62% chance. We project North Texas Mean Green 32.5 and Navy Midshipmen 38.1. Our best bet is Navy +4.5 at -287.

What is the projected score for North Texas Mean Green vs Navy Midshipmen?

We project North Texas Mean Green 32.5 and Navy Midshipmen 38.1, about 70.6 points in total.

How are Navy Midshipmen playing?

Navy Midshipmen have 11 wins and 5 losses in their last 16 games, with 454 points scored and 411 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 0 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, W, newest first.

How are North Texas Mean Green playing?

North Texas Mean Green have 14 wins and 4 losses in their last 18 games, with 800 points scored and 516 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, W, newest first.

What happened when Navy Midshipmen and North Texas Mean Green last met?

It ended North Texas Mean Green 31, Navy Midshipmen 17. In the last 1 meeting Navy Midshipmen won 0 and North Texas Mean Green won 1.

What is the best bet for North Texas Mean Green vs Navy Midshipmen?

Navy +4.5 at -287, with a 74% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Navy against North Texas. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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