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Predictions › United States › North Texas Mean Green vs Tulsa Golden Hurricane
College FootballThu 1 Oct, 21:00 United States time

North Texas Mean Green vs Tulsa Golden Hurricane prediction

H. A. Chapman Stadium

North Texas Mean GreenAway
27.9 : 30.2
projected points
Tulsa Golden HurricaneHome
49%North Texas
51%Tulsa
Eagle safe pickTulsa +8.5
-305

Quick answer

Our prediction for North Texas Mean Green vs Tulsa Golden Hurricane is Tulsa Golden Hurricane to win, with a 51% chance, but it is a close call. We project North Texas Mean Green 27.9 and Tulsa Golden Hurricane 30.2. Our best bet is Tulsa +8.5 at -305.

Prediction
Tulsa Golden Hurricane to win
Chance
51%
Projected score
North Texas Mean Green 28, Tulsa Golden Hurricane 30
Projected total
58.1 points
Best bet
Tulsa +8.5 at -305

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Tulsa +8.5
75% chanceFair price -3052 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Tulsa Golden Hurricane 51% and North Texas Mean Green 49%. The bookmakers agree and make Tulsa Golden Hurricane the favourite at -125.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Tulsa Golden Hurricane won 3 of their last 5 and North Texas Mean Green won 3 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Tulsa Golden Hurricane won 3 of their last 7 games at home. North Texas Mean Green won 5 of their last 8 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Tulsa Golden Hurricane score 23.1 points a game and let in 27.1. North Texas Mean Green score 44.1 and let in 28.9. Their recent games average 50.3 and 72.9 points in total, and the market line is 57.5.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Tulsa +8.5 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Tulsarest between games-5%
  • North Texasrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

North Texas Mean Green vs Tulsa Golden Hurricane: Tulsa Golden Hurricane shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Tulsa Golden Hurricane host North Texas Mean Green in the College Football on Thu 1 Oct, 21:00 at H. A. Chapman Stadium. Our prediction for North Texas Mean Green vs Tulsa Golden Hurricane is Tulsa Golden Hurricane to win, with a 51% chance, but it is a close call. We project North Texas Mean Green 27.9 and Tulsa Golden Hurricane 30.2. Our best bet is Tulsa +8.5 at -305.

Tulsa Golden Hurricane form

Tulsa Golden Hurricane have 6 wins and 8 losses in their last 14 games, with 324 points scored and 380 conceded. At home they have 3 wins and 4 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, L, newest first.

North Texas Mean Green form

North Texas Mean Green have 12 wins and 4 losses in their last 16 games, with 705 points scored and 462 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins and 3 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect North Texas Mean Green to score about 27.9 points and Tulsa Golden Hurricane about 30.2. That points to Tulsa Golden Hurricane to win. Our safest bet is Tulsa +8.5 at -305.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 16 games in all competitions.

TulsaNorth Texas
Games played1416
Wins612
Losses84
Points scored324705
Points conceded380462
Scored per game23.144.1
Conceded per game27.128.9
Home record3W 4L7W 1L
Away record3W 4L5W 3L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against Draft Kings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Tulsa to win51%-104-125-8.3%
North Texas to win43%+134+105-12.3%
Tulsa -1.549%+104-115-8.3%
North Texas +1.545%+124-105-12.7%
Over 57.5 points48%+107-112-8.3%
Under 57.5 points45%+121-108-12.7%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Tulsa spreadCoversFair
Tulsa -9.533%+205
Tulsa -5.542%+137
Tulsa -2.550%+101
Tulsa +0.557%-133
Tulsa +4.567%-199
Total pointsOverUnder
51.566%34%
55.557%43%
58.549%51%
61.542%58%
65.532%68%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Tulsa +3.5 wins if Tulsa win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win North Texas Mean Green vs Tulsa Golden Hurricane?

Our prediction for North Texas Mean Green vs Tulsa Golden Hurricane is Tulsa Golden Hurricane to win, with a 51% chance, but it is a close call. We project North Texas Mean Green 27.9 and Tulsa Golden Hurricane 30.2. Our best bet is Tulsa +8.5 at -305.

What is the projected score for North Texas Mean Green vs Tulsa Golden Hurricane?

We project North Texas Mean Green 27.9 and Tulsa Golden Hurricane 30.2, about 58.1 points in total.

How are Tulsa Golden Hurricane playing?

Tulsa Golden Hurricane have 6 wins and 8 losses in their last 14 games, with 324 points scored and 380 conceded. At home they have 3 wins and 4 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, L, newest first.

How are North Texas Mean Green playing?

North Texas Mean Green have 12 wins and 4 losses in their last 16 games, with 705 points scored and 462 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins and 3 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for North Texas Mean Green vs Tulsa Golden Hurricane?

Tulsa +8.5 at -305, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Tulsa against North Texas. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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  • Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
  • No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
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