Predictions › India › NorthEast United FC vs Bengaluru FC

Indian Super LeagueFri 30 Oct, 19:30 India time

NorthEast United FC vs Bengaluru FC prediction

Indira Gandhi Stadium

NorthEast United FCHome

1.46 : 1.65

expected goals

Bengaluru FCAway

33%NorthEast

25%Draw

42%Bengaluru

Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals

1.23

Quick answer

Our prediction for NorthEast United FC vs Bengaluru FC is Bengaluru FC to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.23.

Prediction: Bengaluru FC to win
Chance: 42%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: NorthEast United FC 1.5, Bengaluru FC 1.6
Best bet: Over 1.5 goals at 1.23
Both teams to score: 63%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals

82% chanceFair price 1.232 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Bengaluru FC to win and Over 2.5

28% chanceFair price 3.611 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives NorthEast United FC 33%, the draw 25% and Bengaluru FC 42%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.
2
Recent form
NorthEast United FC took 15 points from their last 5 games and Bengaluru FC took 13 from 5. NorthEast United FC come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
NorthEast United FC won 6 of their last 10 games at home. Bengaluru FC won 5 of their last 7 on the road.
4
Goals
NorthEast United FC score 1.4 goals a game and let in 1.5. Bengaluru FC score 1.5 and let in 0.9. Over 2.5 goals landed in 7 of NorthEast United FC games and 6 of Bengaluru FC games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 1 meeting, NorthEast United FC won 0 and Bengaluru FC won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended Bengaluru FC 1, NorthEast United FC 1.
6
The safest bet
Over 1.5 goals has a 82% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

NorthEastrecent form+6%
Bengalururecent form+4%
NorthEastrest between games-2%

NorthEast form D W W W WBengaluru form D W W W DHome edge in this league 22% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

NorthEast United FC vs Bengaluru FC: Bengaluru FC shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

NorthEast United FC host Bengaluru FC in the Indian Super League on Fri 30 Oct, 19:30 at Indira Gandhi Stadium. Our prediction for NorthEast United FC vs Bengaluru FC is Bengaluru FC to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.23.

NorthEast United FC form

NorthEast United FC have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses in their last 15 games, with 21 goals scored and 22 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Bengaluru FC form

Bengaluru FC have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses in their last 15 games, with 23 goals scored and 14 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. NorthEast United FC won 0, Bengaluru FC won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Bengaluru FC 1, NorthEast United FC 1.

Our call

We expect NorthEast United FC to score about 1.5 goals and Bengaluru FC about 1.6. That points to Bengaluru FC to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.23. Our bold bet is Bengaluru FC to win and Over 2.5 at 3.61.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 15 games in all competitions.

	NorthEast	Bengaluru
Games played	15	15
Wins	6	8
Draws	4	5
Losses	5	2
Goals scored	21	23
Goals conceded	22	14
Scored per game	1.4	1.5
Conceded per game	1.5	0.9
Home record	6W 0D 4L	3W 3D 2L
Away record	0W 4D 1L	5W 2D 0L
Clean sheets	13%	40%
Both teams scored	60%	53%
Over 2.5 goals	47%	40%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	82%	1.22
Over 2.5 goals	60%	1.66
Over 3.5 goals	38%	2.65
Both teams to score	63%	1.60
NorthEast United FC or Draw	58%	1.71
Bengaluru FC or Draw	67%	1.50
NorthEast United FC to win and Over 2.5	23%	4.38
Bengaluru FC to win and Over 2.5	29%	3.48
NorthEast United FC clean sheet	19%	5.20
Bengaluru FC clean sheet	23%	4.31

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.4%

1-28.9%

2-17.9%

0-16.7%

2-26.5%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win NorthEast United FC vs Bengaluru FC?

Our prediction for NorthEast United FC vs Bengaluru FC is Bengaluru FC to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.23.

What is the score prediction for NorthEast United FC vs Bengaluru FC?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 2-1. We expect NorthEast United FC to score 1.5 goals and Bengaluru FC 1.6.

Will both teams score in NorthEast United FC vs Bengaluru FC?

Both teams to score has a 63% chance. Both sides scored in 9 of NorthEast United FC last 15 games and 8 of Bengaluru FC last 15.

How are NorthEast United FC playing?

How are Bengaluru FC playing?

What happened when NorthEast United FC and Bengaluru FC last met?

It ended Bengaluru FC 1, NorthEast United FC 1. In the last 1 meeting NorthEast United FC won 0 and Bengaluru FC won 0.

What is the best bet for NorthEast United FC vs Bengaluru FC?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.23, with a 82% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in NorthEast against Bengaluru. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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