Predictions › India › NorthEast United FC vs FC GOA
Indian Super LeagueSat 21 Nov, 19:30 India time

NorthEast United FC vs FC GOA prediction

Indira Gandhi Stadium

NorthEast United FCHome
1.42 : 1.19
expected goals
FC GOAAway
42%NorthEast
28%Draw
31%GOA
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.33

Quick answer

Our prediction for NorthEast United FC vs FC GOA is NorthEast United FC to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.33.

Prediction
NorthEast United FC to win
Chance
42%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
NorthEast United FC 1.4, FC GOA 1.2
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.33
Both teams to score
53%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
75% chanceFair price 1.332 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
13% chanceFair price 7.591 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives NorthEast United FC 42%, the draw 28% and FC GOA 31%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    NorthEast United FC took 11 points from their last 5 games and FC GOA took 5 from 5. NorthEast United FC come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    NorthEast United FC won 6 of their last 11 games at home. FC GOA won 3 of their last 8 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    NorthEast United FC score 1.3 goals a game and let in 1.3. FC GOA score 1.2 and let in 0.9. Over 2.5 goals landed in 7 of NorthEast United FC games and 4 of FC GOA games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, NorthEast United FC won 0 and FC GOA won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended NorthEast United FC 0, FC GOA 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • NorthEastrecent form+4%
  • GOArecent form-1%
NorthEast form W D D W WGOA form L W D D LHome edge in this league 17% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

NorthEast United FC vs FC GOA: NorthEast United FC shade it

The big picture

NorthEast United FC host FC GOA in the Indian Super League on Sat 21 Nov, 19:30 at Indira Gandhi Stadium. Our prediction for NorthEast United FC vs FC GOA is NorthEast United FC to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.33.

NorthEast United FC form

NorthEast United FC have 7 wins, 6 draws and 5 losses in their last 18 games, with 24 goals scored and 23 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, D, D, W, W, newest first.

FC GOA form

FC GOA have 6 wins, 7 draws and 4 losses in their last 17 games, with 20 goals scored and 16 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, W, D, D, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. NorthEast United FC won 0, FC GOA won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished NorthEast United FC 0, FC GOA 2.

Our call

We expect NorthEast United FC to score about 1.4 goals and FC GOA about 1.2. That points to NorthEast United FC to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.33. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.59.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 18 games in all competitions.

NorthEastGOA
Games played1817
Wins76
Draws67
Losses54
Goals scored2420
Goals conceded2316
Scored per game1.31.2
Conceded per game1.30.9
Home record6W 1D 4L3W 4D 2L
Away record1W 5D 1L3W 3D 2L
Clean sheets22%29%
Both teams scored56%59%
Over 2.5 goals39%24%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals74%1.35
Over 2.5 goals48%2.07
Over 3.5 goals27%3.76
Both teams to score53%1.87
NorthEast United FC or Draw69%1.44
FC GOA or Draw58%1.71
NorthEast United FC to win and Over 2.524%4.08
FC GOA to win and Over 2.518%5.69
NorthEast United FC clean sheet30%3.28
FC GOA clean sheet24%4.14

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.2%
1-09.7%
2-18.8%
0-08.1%
0-18.0%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win NorthEast United FC vs FC GOA?

Our prediction for NorthEast United FC vs FC GOA is NorthEast United FC to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.33.

What is the score prediction for NorthEast United FC vs FC GOA?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 2-1. We expect NorthEast United FC to score 1.4 goals and FC GOA 1.2.

Will both teams score in NorthEast United FC vs FC GOA?

Both teams to score has a 53% chance. Both sides scored in 10 of NorthEast United FC last 18 games and 10 of FC GOA last 17.

How are NorthEast United FC playing?

NorthEast United FC have 7 wins, 6 draws and 5 losses in their last 18 games, with 24 goals scored and 23 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, D, D, W, W, newest first.

How are FC GOA playing?

FC GOA have 6 wins, 7 draws and 4 losses in their last 17 games, with 20 goals scored and 16 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, W, D, D, L, newest first.

What happened when NorthEast United FC and FC GOA last met?

It ended NorthEast United FC 0, FC GOA 2. In the last 1 meeting NorthEast United FC won 0 and FC GOA won 1.

What is the best bet for NorthEast United FC vs FC GOA?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.33, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in NorthEast against GOA. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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