Predictions › India › NorthEast United FC vs Kerala Blasters FC

Indian Super LeagueSun 18 Oct, 19:30 India time

NorthEast United FC vs Kerala Blasters FC prediction

Indira Gandhi Stadium

NorthEast United FCHome

1.41 : 1.29

expected goals

Kerala Blasters FCAway

39%NorthEast

27%Draw

34%Kerala

Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals

1.33

Quick answer

Our prediction for NorthEast United FC vs Kerala Blasters FC is NorthEast United FC to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.33.

Prediction: NorthEast United FC to win
Chance: 39%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: NorthEast United FC 1.4, Kerala Blasters FC 1.3
Best bet: Over 1.5 goals at 1.33
Both teams to score: 56%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals

75% chanceFair price 1.332 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1

13% chanceFair price 7.721 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives NorthEast United FC 39%, the draw 27% and Kerala Blasters FC 34%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.
2
Recent form
NorthEast United FC took 9 points from their last 5 games and Kerala Blasters FC took 13 from 5. Kerala Blasters FC come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
NorthEast United FC won 4 of their last 8 games at home. Kerala Blasters FC won 1 of their last 4 on the road.
4
Goals
NorthEast United FC score 1.2 goals a game and let in 1.6. Kerala Blasters FC score 1.2 and let in 1.3. Over 2.5 goals landed in 6 of NorthEast United FC games and 6 of Kerala Blasters FC games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 1 meeting, NorthEast United FC won 0 and Kerala Blasters FC won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended Kerala Blasters FC 1, NorthEast United FC 1.
6
The safest bet
Over 1.5 goals has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

NorthEastrecent form+1%
Keralarecent form+6%
NorthEastrest between games-3%
Keralarest between games-3%

NorthEast form W W W L LKerala form W W W W DHome edge in this league 22% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

NorthEast United FC vs Kerala Blasters FC: NorthEast United FC shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

NorthEast United FC host Kerala Blasters FC in the Indian Super League on Sun 18 Oct, 19:30 at Indira Gandhi Stadium. Our prediction for NorthEast United FC vs Kerala Blasters FC is NorthEast United FC to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.33.

NorthEast United FC form

NorthEast United FC have 4 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses in their last 13 games, with 16 goals scored and 21 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, L, newest first.

Kerala Blasters FC form

Kerala Blasters FC have 5 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses in their last 13 games, with 15 goals scored and 17 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 1 draw and 2 losses from 4. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. NorthEast United FC won 0, Kerala Blasters FC won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Kerala Blasters FC 1, NorthEast United FC 1.

Our call

We expect NorthEast United FC to score about 1.4 goals and Kerala Blasters FC about 1.3. That points to NorthEast United FC to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.33. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.72.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 13 games in all competitions.

	NorthEast	Kerala
Games played	13	13
Wins	4	5
Draws	4	2
Losses	5	6
Goals scored	16	15
Goals conceded	21	17
Scored per game	1.2	1.2
Conceded per game	1.6	1.3
Home record	4W 0D 4L	4W 1D 4L
Away record	0W 4D 1L	1W 1D 2L
Clean sheets	8%	8%
Both teams scored	62%	62%
Over 2.5 goals	46%	46%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	76%	1.32
Over 2.5 goals	51%	1.97
Over 3.5 goals	29%	3.49
Both teams to score	56%	1.80
NorthEast United FC or Draw	66%	1.51
Kerala Blasters FC or Draw	61%	1.64
NorthEast United FC to win and Over 2.5	24%	4.21
Kerala Blasters FC to win and Over 2.5	20%	4.98
NorthEast United FC clean sheet	28%	3.63
Kerala Blasters FC clean sheet	24%	4.10

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.9%

1-08.7%

2-18.6%

0-17.9%

1-27.9%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win NorthEast United FC vs Kerala Blasters FC?

What is the score prediction for NorthEast United FC vs Kerala Blasters FC?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 2-1. We expect NorthEast United FC to score 1.4 goals and Kerala Blasters FC 1.3.

Will both teams score in NorthEast United FC vs Kerala Blasters FC?

Both teams to score has a 56% chance. Both sides scored in 8 of NorthEast United FC last 13 games and 8 of Kerala Blasters FC last 13.

How are NorthEast United FC playing?

How are Kerala Blasters FC playing?

What happened when NorthEast United FC and Kerala Blasters FC last met?

It ended Kerala Blasters FC 1, NorthEast United FC 1. In the last 1 meeting NorthEast United FC won 0 and Kerala Blasters FC won 0.

What is the best bet for NorthEast United FC vs Kerala Blasters FC?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.33, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in NorthEast against Kerala. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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