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Predictions › India › NorthEast United FC vs Mohun Bagan Super Giant
Indian Super LeagueMon 12 Oct, 19:30 India time

NorthEast United FC vs Mohun Bagan Super Giant prediction

Indira Gandhi Stadium

NorthEast United FCHome
1.11 : 1.25
expected goals
Mohun Bagan Super GiantAway
32%NorthEast
29%Draw
39%Mohun Bagan
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.29

Quick answer

Our prediction for NorthEast United FC vs Mohun Bagan Super Giant is Mohun Bagan Super Giant to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.29.

Prediction
Mohun Bagan Super Giant to win
Chance
39%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
NorthEast United FC 1.1, Mohun Bagan Super Giant 1.3
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.29
Both teams to score
48%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
77% chanceFair price 1.292 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
14% chanceFair price 7.191 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives NorthEast United FC 32%, the draw 29% and Mohun Bagan Super Giant 39%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    NorthEast United FC took 9 points from their last 5 games and Mohun Bagan Super Giant took 9 from 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    NorthEast United FC won 4 of their last 8 games at home. Mohun Bagan Super Giant won 1 of their last 4 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    NorthEast United FC score 1.2 goals a game and let in 1.6. Mohun Bagan Super Giant score 1.8 and let in 0.7. Over 2.5 goals landed in 6 of NorthEast United FC games and 4 of Mohun Bagan Super Giant games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, NorthEast United FC won 0 and Mohun Bagan Super Giant won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended NorthEast United FC 0, Mohun Bagan Super Giant 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • NorthEastrecent form+1%
  • Mohun Baganrecent form+3%
  • NorthEastrest between games-3%
  • Mohun Baganrest between games-3%
NorthEast form W W W L LMohun Bagan form W D D D WHome edge in this league 22% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

NorthEast United FC vs Mohun Bagan Super Giant: Mohun Bagan Super Giant shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

NorthEast United FC host Mohun Bagan Super Giant in the Indian Super League on Mon 12 Oct, 19:30 at Indira Gandhi Stadium. Our prediction for NorthEast United FC vs Mohun Bagan Super Giant is Mohun Bagan Super Giant to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.29.

NorthEast United FC form

NorthEast United FC have 4 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses in their last 13 games, with 16 goals scored and 21 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, L, newest first.

Mohun Bagan Super Giant form

Mohun Bagan Super Giant have 7 wins, 5 draws and 1 loss in their last 13 games, with 23 goals scored and 9 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 3 draws and 0 losses from 4. Their last 5 results read W, D, D, D, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. NorthEast United FC won 0, Mohun Bagan Super Giant won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished NorthEast United FC 0, Mohun Bagan Super Giant 1.

Our call

We expect NorthEast United FC to score about 1.1 goals and Mohun Bagan Super Giant about 1.3. That points to Mohun Bagan Super Giant to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.29. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.19.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 13 games in all competitions.

NorthEastMohun Bagan
Games played1313
Wins47
Draws45
Losses51
Goals scored1623
Goals conceded219
Scored per game1.21.8
Conceded per game1.60.7
Home record4W 0D 4L6W 2D 1L
Away record0W 4D 1L1W 3D 0L
Clean sheets8%38%
Both teams scored62%54%
Over 2.5 goals46%31%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals69%1.45
Over 2.5 goals42%2.39
Over 3.5 goals21%4.73
Both teams to score48%2.06
NorthEast United FC or Draw61%1.63
Mohun Bagan Super Giant or Draw68%1.47
NorthEast United FC to win and Over 2.516%6.13
Mohun Bagan Super Giant to win and Over 2.520%4.95
NorthEast United FC clean sheet29%3.47
Mohun Bagan Super Giant clean sheet33%3.03

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.9%
0-111.1%
0-010.3%
1-09.7%
1-28.2%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win NorthEast United FC vs Mohun Bagan Super Giant?

Our prediction for NorthEast United FC vs Mohun Bagan Super Giant is Mohun Bagan Super Giant to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.29.

What is the score prediction for NorthEast United FC vs Mohun Bagan Super Giant?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-1 and 0-0. We expect NorthEast United FC to score 1.1 goals and Mohun Bagan Super Giant 1.3.

Will both teams score in NorthEast United FC vs Mohun Bagan Super Giant?

Both teams to score has a 48% chance. Both sides scored in 8 of NorthEast United FC last 13 games and 7 of Mohun Bagan Super Giant last 13.

How are NorthEast United FC playing?

NorthEast United FC have 4 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses in their last 13 games, with 16 goals scored and 21 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, L, newest first.

How are Mohun Bagan Super Giant playing?

Mohun Bagan Super Giant have 7 wins, 5 draws and 1 loss in their last 13 games, with 23 goals scored and 9 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 3 draws and 0 losses from 4. Their last 5 results read W, D, D, D, W, newest first.

What happened when NorthEast United FC and Mohun Bagan Super Giant last met?

It ended NorthEast United FC 0, Mohun Bagan Super Giant 1. In the last 1 meeting NorthEast United FC won 0 and Mohun Bagan Super Giant won 1.

What is the best bet for NorthEast United FC vs Mohun Bagan Super Giant?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.29, with a 77% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in NorthEast against Mohun Bagan. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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