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Predictions › United States › Northwestern Wildcats vs Michigan State Spartans
College FootballSat 17 Oct, 12:00 United States time

Northwestern Wildcats vs Michigan State Spartans prediction

Spartan Stadium

Northwestern WildcatsAway
22.0 : 27.0
projected points
Michigan State SpartansHome
39%Northwestern
61%Michigan St
Eagle safe pickNorthwestern +15.5
-301

Quick answer

Our prediction for Northwestern Wildcats vs Michigan State Spartans is Michigan State Spartans to win, with a 61% chance. We project Northwestern Wildcats 22.0 and Michigan State Spartans 27.0. Our best bet is Northwestern +15.5 at -301.

Prediction
Michigan State Spartans to win
Chance
61%
Projected score
Northwestern Wildcats 22, Michigan State Spartans 27
Projected total
48.9 points
Best bet
Northwestern +15.5 at -301

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Northwestern +15.5
75% chanceFair price -3012 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Northwestern to win
36% chanceFair price +1821 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Michigan State Spartans 61% and Northwestern Wildcats 39%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Michigan State Spartans won 2 of their last 5 and Northwestern Wildcats won 4 of their last 5. Northwestern Wildcats come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Michigan State Spartans won 4 of their last 8 games at home. Northwestern Wildcats won 1 of their last 5 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Michigan State Spartans score 21.4 points a game and let in 28.6. Northwestern Wildcats score 26.1 and let in 19.7. Their recent games average 50.0 and 45.7 points in total.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Northwestern +15.5 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Northwestern Wildcats vs Michigan State Spartans: Michigan State Spartans are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Michigan State Spartans host Northwestern Wildcats in the College Football on Sat 17 Oct, 12:00 at Spartan Stadium. Our prediction for Northwestern Wildcats vs Michigan State Spartans is Michigan State Spartans to win, with a 61% chance. We project Northwestern Wildcats 22.0 and Michigan State Spartans 27.0. Our best bet is Northwestern +15.5 at -301.

Michigan State Spartans form

Michigan State Spartans have 4 wins and 11 losses in their last 15 games, with 321 points scored and 429 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 4 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, W, newest first.

Northwestern Wildcats form

Northwestern Wildcats have 9 wins and 6 losses in their last 15 games, with 391 points scored and 295 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win and 4 losses from 5. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Northwestern Wildcats to score about 22.0 points and Michigan State Spartans about 27.0. That points to Michigan State Spartans to win. Our safest bet is Northwestern +15.5 at -301. Our bold bet is Northwestern to win at +182.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 15 games in all competitions.

Michigan StNorthwestern
Games played1515
Wins49
Losses116
Points scored321391
Points conceded429295
Scored per game21.426.1
Conceded per game28.619.7
Home record4W 4L8W 2L
Away record0W 7L1W 4L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Michigan St spreadCoversFair
Michigan St -12.532%+213
Michigan St -8.541%+142
Michigan St -5.549%+105
Michigan St -2.556%-129
Michigan St +1.566%-192
Total pointsOverUnder
41.568%32%
45.559%41%
48.551%49%
51.544%56%
55.534%66%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Michigan St +3.5 wins if Michigan St win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
College Football

Northwestern Dominates Penn State in Historic Ryan Field Opener

Northwestern celebrated their new stadium with a dominant 34-13 victory over Penn State, led by a massive rushing performance.

3 Oct 2026
College Football

Northwestern Locks In Coach David Braun With Long Term Extension

Northwestern has agreed to a contract extension with head coach David Braun through the 2031 season.

17 Sept 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Northwestern Wildcats vs Michigan State Spartans?

Our prediction for Northwestern Wildcats vs Michigan State Spartans is Michigan State Spartans to win, with a 61% chance. We project Northwestern Wildcats 22.0 and Michigan State Spartans 27.0. Our best bet is Northwestern +15.5 at -301.

What is the projected score for Northwestern Wildcats vs Michigan State Spartans?

We project Northwestern Wildcats 22.0 and Michigan State Spartans 27.0, about 48.9 points in total.

How are Michigan State Spartans playing?

Michigan State Spartans have 4 wins and 11 losses in their last 15 games, with 321 points scored and 429 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 4 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, W, newest first.

How are Northwestern Wildcats playing?

Northwestern Wildcats have 9 wins and 6 losses in their last 15 games, with 391 points scored and 295 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win and 4 losses from 5. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for Northwestern Wildcats vs Michigan State Spartans?

Northwestern +15.5 at -301, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Michigan St against Northwestern. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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