Predictions › United States › Northwestern Wildcats vs Ohio State Buckeyes
College FootballSat 14 Nov, 12:00 United States time

Northwestern Wildcats vs Ohio State Buckeyes prediction

Ohio Stadium

Northwestern WildcatsAway
19.3 : 29.6
projected points
Ohio State BuckeyesHome
24%Northwestern
76%Ohio State
Eagle safe pickOhio State to win
-375

Quick answer

Our prediction for Northwestern Wildcats vs Ohio State Buckeyes is Ohio State Buckeyes to win, with a 76% chance. We project Northwestern Wildcats 19.3 and Ohio State Buckeyes 29.6. Our best bet is Ohio State to win at -375.

Prediction
Ohio State Buckeyes to win
Chance
76%
Projected score
Northwestern Wildcats 19, Ohio State Buckeyes 30
Projected total
49.0 points
Best bet
Ohio State to win at -375

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Ohio State to win
76% chancePrice -3751 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Ohio State Buckeyes 76% and Northwestern Wildcats 24%. The bookmakers agree and make Ohio State Buckeyes the favourite at -375.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Ohio State Buckeyes won 4 of their last 5 and Northwestern Wildcats won 4 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Ohio State Buckeyes won 9 of their last 11 games at home. Northwestern Wildcats won 2 of their last 7 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Ohio State Buckeyes score 33.9 points a game and let in 12.3. Northwestern Wildcats score 27.8 and let in 19.9. Their recent games average 46.2 and 47.7 points in total, and the market line is 48.5.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Ohio State to win has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Northwestern Wildcats vs Ohio State Buckeyes: Ohio State Buckeyes are favourites

The big picture

Ohio State Buckeyes host Northwestern Wildcats in the College Football on Sat 14 Nov, 12:00 at Ohio Stadium. Our prediction for Northwestern Wildcats vs Ohio State Buckeyes is Ohio State Buckeyes to win, with a 76% chance. We project Northwestern Wildcats 19.3 and Ohio State Buckeyes 29.6. Our best bet is Ohio State to win at -375.

Ohio State Buckeyes form

Ohio State Buckeyes have 16 wins and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 677 points scored and 247 conceded. At home they have 9 wins and 2 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Northwestern Wildcats form

Northwestern Wildcats have 12 wins and 7 losses in their last 19 games, with 528 points scored and 378 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 5 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Northwestern Wildcats to score about 19.3 points and Ohio State Buckeyes about 29.6. That points to Ohio State Buckeyes to win. Our safest bet is Ohio State to win at -375.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Ohio StateNorthwestern
Games played2019
Wins1612
Losses47
Points scored677528
Points conceded247378
Scored per game33.927.8
Conceded per game12.319.9
Home record9W 2L10W 2L
Away record7W 2L2W 5L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Ohio State to win76%-319-375-3.5%
Northwestern to win24%+311+295-4.0%
Ohio State -9.548%+108-110-8.4%
Northwestern +9.545%+122-110-14.1%
Over 48.5 points47%+111-110-9.5%
Under 48.5 points46%+119-110-12.9%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Ohio State spreadCoversFair
Ohio State -17.533%+206
Ohio State -13.542%+138
Ohio State -10.549%+102
Ohio State -7.557%-132
Ohio State -3.566%-198
Total pointsOverUnder
41.568%32%
45.559%41%
48.551%49%
51.544%56%
55.534%66%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Ohio State +3.5 wins if Ohio State win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Northwestern Wildcats vs Ohio State Buckeyes?

Our prediction for Northwestern Wildcats vs Ohio State Buckeyes is Ohio State Buckeyes to win, with a 76% chance. We project Northwestern Wildcats 19.3 and Ohio State Buckeyes 29.6. Our best bet is Ohio State to win at -375.

What is the projected score for Northwestern Wildcats vs Ohio State Buckeyes?

We project Northwestern Wildcats 19.3 and Ohio State Buckeyes 29.6, about 49.0 points in total.

How are Ohio State Buckeyes playing?

Ohio State Buckeyes have 16 wins and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 677 points scored and 247 conceded. At home they have 9 wins and 2 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, W, newest first.

How are Northwestern Wildcats playing?

Northwestern Wildcats have 12 wins and 7 losses in their last 19 games, with 528 points scored and 378 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 5 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for Northwestern Wildcats vs Ohio State Buckeyes?

Ohio State to win at -375, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Ohio State against Northwestern. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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