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Predictions › United Kingdom › Norwich City vs Portsmouth
ChampionshipSat 17 Oct, 15:00 United Kingdom time

Norwich City vs Portsmouth prediction

Carrow Road

Norwich CityHome
1.75 : 1.31
expected goals
PortsmouthAway
47%Norwich City
25%Draw
28%Portsmouth
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1/4

Quick answer

Our prediction for Norwich City vs Portsmouth is Norwich City to win, with a 47% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/4.

Prediction
Norwich City to win
Chance
47%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Norwich City 1.8, Portsmouth 1.3
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1/4
Both teams to score
61%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
79% chanceFair price 1/42 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Norwich City to win and Over 2.5
32% chanceFair price 85/401 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Norwich City 47%, the draw 25% and Portsmouth 28%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Norwich City took 6 points from their last 5 games and Portsmouth took 5 from 5. Norwich City come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Norwich City won 4 of their last 9 games at home. Portsmouth won 3 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Norwich City score 1.7 goals a game and let in 1.8. Portsmouth score 1.3 and let in 1.6. Over 2.5 goals landed in 14 of Norwich City games and 10 of Portsmouth games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Norwich City won 0 and Portsmouth won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended Norwich City 1, Portsmouth 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 79% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Norwich Cityrecent form-1%
  • Portsmouthrecent form-1%
Norwich City form L L L W WPortsmouth form D D W L LHome edge in this league 20% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Norwich City vs Portsmouth: Norwich City are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Norwich City host Portsmouth in the Championship on Sat 17 Oct, 15:00 at Carrow Road. Our prediction for Norwich City vs Portsmouth is Norwich City to win, with a 47% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/4.

Norwich City form

Norwich City have 9 wins, 2 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 34 goals scored and 35 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, W, newest first.

Portsmouth form

Portsmouth have 6 wins, 6 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 33 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, D, W, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Norwich City won 0, Portsmouth won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Norwich City 1, Portsmouth 1.

Our call

We expect Norwich City to score about 1.8 goals and Portsmouth about 1.3. That points to Norwich City to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/4. Our bold bet is Norwich City to win and Over 2.5 at 85/40.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Norwich CityPortsmouth
Games played2020
Wins96
Draws26
Losses98
Goals scored3425
Goals conceded3533
Scored per game1.71.3
Conceded per game1.81.6
Home record4W 2D 3L3W 3D 4L
Away record5W 0D 6L3W 3D 4L
Clean sheets5%25%
Both teams scored70%65%
Over 2.5 goals70%50%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals82%2/9
Over 2.5 goals59%4/6
Over 3.5 goals37%7/4
Both teams to score61%8/13
Norwich City or Draw72%2/5
Portsmouth or Draw53%10/11
Norwich City to win and Over 2.533%85/40
Portsmouth to win and Over 2.519%9/2
Norwich City clean sheet27%11/4
Portsmouth clean sheet17%5/1

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.4%
2-19.4%
1-07.6%
2-07.2%
1-27.0%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Norwich City vs Portsmouth?

Our prediction for Norwich City vs Portsmouth is Norwich City to win, with a 47% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/4.

What is the score prediction for Norwich City vs Portsmouth?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-0. We expect Norwich City to score 1.8 goals and Portsmouth 1.3.

Will both teams score in Norwich City vs Portsmouth?

Both teams to score has a 61% chance. Both sides scored in 14 of Norwich City last 20 games and 13 of Portsmouth last 20.

How are Norwich City playing?

Norwich City have 9 wins, 2 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 34 goals scored and 35 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, W, newest first.

How are Portsmouth playing?

Portsmouth have 6 wins, 6 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 33 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, D, W, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Norwich City and Portsmouth last met?

It ended Norwich City 1, Portsmouth 1. In the last 1 meeting Norwich City won 0 and Portsmouth won 0.

What is the best bet for Norwich City vs Portsmouth?

Over 1.5 goals at 1/4, with a 79% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Norwich City against Portsmouth. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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