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Predictions › United Kingdom › Norwich City vs Watford
ChampionshipSat 31 Oct, 12:30 United Kingdom time

Norwich City vs Watford prediction

Carrow Road

Norwich CityHome
1.69 : 0.93
expected goals
WatfordAway
55%Norwich City
25%Draw
20%Watford
Eagle safe pickNorwich City or Draw
1/4

Quick answer

Our prediction for Norwich City vs Watford is Norwich City to win, with a 55% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Norwich City or Draw at 1/4.

Prediction
Norwich City to win
Chance
55%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Norwich City 1.7, Watford 0.9
Best bet
Norwich City or Draw at 1/4
Both teams to score
50%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Norwich City or Draw
79% chanceFair price 1/42 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Norwich City to win and Over 2.5
32% chanceFair price 11/51 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Norwich City 55%, the draw 25% and Watford 20%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Norwich City took 0 points from their last 5 games and Watford took 3 from 5. Watford come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Norwich City won 4 of their last 10 games at home. Watford won 0 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Norwich City score 1.6 goals a game and let in 1.9. Watford score 0.8 and let in 2.1. Over 2.5 goals landed in 15 of Norwich City games and 10 of Watford games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Norwich City won 0 and Watford won 2 with 0 draws. The last one ended Norwich City 0, Watford 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Norwich City or Draw has a 79% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Norwich Cityrecent form-6%
  • Watfordrecent form-6%
Norwich City form D L L L LWatford form D L L L LHome edge in this league 19% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Norwich City vs Watford: Norwich City are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Norwich City host Watford in the Championship on Sat 31 Oct, 12:30 at Carrow Road. Our prediction for Norwich City vs Watford is Norwich City to win, with a 55% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Norwich City or Draw at 1/4.

Norwich City form

Norwich City have 8 wins, 1 draw and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 33 goals scored and 37 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

Watford form

Watford have 4 wins, 3 draws and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 15 goals scored and 43 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 1 draw and 8 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Norwich City won 0, Watford won 2 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Norwich City 0, Watford 1.

Our call

We expect Norwich City to score about 1.7 goals and Watford about 0.9. That points to Norwich City to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Norwich City or Draw at 1/4. Our bold bet is Norwich City to win and Over 2.5 at 11/5.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Norwich CityWatford
Games played2020
Wins84
Draws13
Losses1113
Goals scored3315
Goals conceded3743
Scored per game1.60.8
Conceded per game1.92.1
Home record4W 1D 5L4W 2D 5L
Away record4W 0D 6L0W 1D 8L
Clean sheets0%10%
Both teams scored70%50%
Over 2.5 goals75%50%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals74%1/3
Over 2.5 goals49%21/20
Over 3.5 goals27%11/4
Both teams to score50%Evens
Norwich City or Draw80%1/4
Watford or Draw45%6/5
Norwich City to win and Over 2.533%85/40
Watford to win and Over 2.511%17/2
Norwich City clean sheet39%6/4
Watford clean sheet18%9/2

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.1%
1-011.6%
2-010.4%
2-19.7%
0-08.0%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Norwich City vs Watford?

Our prediction for Norwich City vs Watford is Norwich City to win, with a 55% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Norwich City or Draw at 1/4.

What is the score prediction for Norwich City vs Watford?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 2-0. We expect Norwich City to score 1.7 goals and Watford 0.9.

Will both teams score in Norwich City vs Watford?

Both teams to score has a 50% chance. Both sides scored in 14 of Norwich City last 20 games and 10 of Watford last 20.

How are Norwich City playing?

Norwich City have 8 wins, 1 draw and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 33 goals scored and 37 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

How are Watford playing?

Watford have 4 wins, 3 draws and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 15 goals scored and 43 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 1 draw and 8 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Norwich City and Watford last met?

It ended Norwich City 0, Watford 1. In the last 2 meetings Norwich City won 0 and Watford won 2.

What is the best bet for Norwich City vs Watford?

Norwich City or Draw at 1/4, with a 79% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Norwich City against Watford. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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