Predictions › United States › Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs BYU Cougars
College FootballSat 17 Oct, 19:30 United States time

Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs BYU Cougars prediction

LaVell Edwards Stadium

Notre Dame Fighting IrishAway
30.5 : 19.0
projected points
BYU CougarsHome
80%Notre Dame
20%BYU
Eagle safe pickBYU +22.5
-308

Quick answer

Our prediction for Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs BYU Cougars is Notre Dame Fighting Irish to win, with a 80% chance. We project Notre Dame Fighting Irish 30.5 and BYU Cougars 19.0. Our best bet is BYU +22.5 at -308.

Prediction
Notre Dame Fighting Irish to win
Chance
80%
Projected score
Notre Dame Fighting Irish 30, BYU Cougars 19
Projected total
49.5 points
Best bet
BYU +22.5 at -308

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

BYU +22.5
76% chanceFair price -3082 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives BYU Cougars 20% and Notre Dame Fighting Irish 80%. The bookmakers agree and make Notre Dame Fighting Irish the favourite at -549.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    BYU Cougars won 5 of their last 5 and Notre Dame Fighting Irish won 5 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    BYU Cougars won 7 of their last 7 games at home. Notre Dame Fighting Irish won 6 of their last 6 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    BYU Cougars score 30.8 points a game and let in 20.1. Notre Dame Fighting Irish score 42.9 and let in 15.2. Their recent games average 50.9 and 58.1 points in total, and the market line is 48.5.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    BYU +22.5 has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Notre Dameteam news-1%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs BYU Cougars: Notre Dame Fighting Irish are favourites

The big picture

BYU Cougars host Notre Dame Fighting Irish in the College Football on Sat 17 Oct, 19:30 at LaVell Edwards Stadium. Our prediction for Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs BYU Cougars is Notre Dame Fighting Irish to win, with a 80% chance. We project Notre Dame Fighting Irish 30.5 and BYU Cougars 19.0. Our best bet is BYU +22.5 at -308.

BYU Cougars form

BYU Cougars have 14 wins and 2 losses in their last 16 games, with 493 points scored and 322 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 0 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Notre Dame Fighting Irish form

Notre Dame Fighting Irish have 15 wins and 1 loss in their last 16 games, with 686 points scored and 243 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins and 0 losses from 6. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Notre Dame Fighting Irish to score about 30.5 points and BYU Cougars about 19.0. That points to Notre Dame Fighting Irish to win. Our safest bet is BYU +22.5 at -308.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 16 games in all competitions.

BYUNotre Dame
Games played1616
Wins1415
Losses21
Points scored493686
Points conceded322243
Scored per game30.842.9
Conceded per game20.115.2
Home record7W 0L9W 1L
Away record7W 2L6W 0L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
BYU to win20%+405+410+1.1%
Notre Dame to win77%-340-549-8.7%
BYU +12.549%+104-105-4.1%
Notre Dame -12.544%+127-115-17.4%
Over 48.5 points49%+104-110-6.5%
Under 48.5 points44%+126-110-15.5%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

BYU spreadCoversFair
BYU +4.533%+201
BYU +8.543%+134
BYU +11.550%-101
BYU +14.558%-136
BYU +18.567%-204
Total pointsOverUnder
42.567%33%
46.557%43%
49.550%50%
52.543%57%
56.533%67%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. BYU +3.5 wins if BYU win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs BYU Cougars?

Our prediction for Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs BYU Cougars is Notre Dame Fighting Irish to win, with a 80% chance. We project Notre Dame Fighting Irish 30.5 and BYU Cougars 19.0. Our best bet is BYU +22.5 at -308.

What is the projected score for Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs BYU Cougars?

We project Notre Dame Fighting Irish 30.5 and BYU Cougars 19.0, about 49.5 points in total.

How are BYU Cougars playing?

BYU Cougars have 14 wins and 2 losses in their last 16 games, with 493 points scored and 322 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 0 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

How are Notre Dame Fighting Irish playing?

Notre Dame Fighting Irish have 15 wins and 1 loss in their last 16 games, with 686 points scored and 243 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins and 0 losses from 6. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs BYU Cougars?

BYU +22.5 at -308, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in BYU against Notre Dame. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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