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Predictions › United Kingdom › Notts County vs Sheffield Wednesday
League OneTue 20 Oct, 19:45 United Kingdom time

Notts County vs Sheffield Wednesday prediction

Meadow Lane

Notts CountyHome
1.07 : 1.60
expected goals
Sheffield WednesdayAway
25%Notts County
26%Draw
49%Sheffield Wed
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1/3

Quick answer

Our prediction for Notts County vs Sheffield Wednesday is Sheffield Wednesday to win, with a 49% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/3.

Prediction
Sheffield Wednesday to win
Chance
49%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Notts County 1.1, Sheffield Wednesday 1.6
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1/3
Both teams to score
53%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
76% chanceFair price 1/32 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Sheffield Wednesday to win and Over 2.5
28% chanceFair price 13/51 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Notts County 25%, the draw 26% and Sheffield Wednesday 49%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Notts County took 2 points from their last 5 games and Sheffield Wednesday took 9 from 5. Sheffield Wednesday come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Notts County won 1 of their last 4 games at home. Sheffield Wednesday won 3 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Notts County score 1.1 goals a game and let in 1.4. Sheffield Wednesday score 1.1 and let in 1.3. Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 of Notts County games and 8 of Sheffield Wednesday games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Notts Countyrecent form-1%
  • Sheffield Wedrecent form+3%
  • Notts Countyrest between games-5%
  • Sheffield Wedrest between games-5%
Notts County form D W L L DSheffield Wed form D W W D DHome edge in this league 20% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Notts County vs Sheffield Wednesday: Sheffield Wednesday are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Notts County host Sheffield Wednesday in the League One on Tue 20 Oct, 19:45 at Meadow Lane. Our prediction for Notts County vs Sheffield Wednesday is Sheffield Wednesday to win, with a 49% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/3.

Notts County form

Notts County have 1 win, 6 draws and 3 losses in their last 10 games, with 11 goals scored and 14 conceded. At home they have 1 win, 1 draw and 2 losses from 4. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, D, D, newest first.

Sheffield Wednesday form

Sheffield Wednesday have 6 wins, 7 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 26 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, D, D, W, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Notts County to score about 1.1 goals and Sheffield Wednesday about 1.6. That points to Sheffield Wednesday to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/3. Our bold bet is Sheffield Wednesday to win and Over 2.5 at 13/5.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Notts CountySheffield Wed
Games played1020
Wins16
Draws67
Losses37
Goals scored1123
Goals conceded1426
Scored per game1.11.1
Conceded per game1.41.3
Home record1W 1D 2L3W 5D 3L
Away record0W 5D 1L3W 2D 4L
Clean sheets0%20%
Both teams scored80%55%
Over 2.5 goals40%40%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals75%1/3
Over 2.5 goals50%Evens
Over 3.5 goals28%13/5
Both teams to score53%10/11
Notts County or Draw51%10/11
Sheffield Wednesday or Draw75%1/3
Notts County to win and Over 2.514%6/1
Sheffield Wednesday to win and Over 2.530%12/5
Notts County clean sheet20%4/1
Sheffield Wednesday clean sheet34%15/8

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.6%
0-110.4%
1-29.5%
0-28.8%
0-07.6%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Notts County vs Sheffield Wednesday?

Our prediction for Notts County vs Sheffield Wednesday is Sheffield Wednesday to win, with a 49% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/3.

What is the score prediction for Notts County vs Sheffield Wednesday?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-1 and 1-2. We expect Notts County to score 1.1 goals and Sheffield Wednesday 1.6.

Will both teams score in Notts County vs Sheffield Wednesday?

Both teams to score has a 53% chance. Both sides scored in 8 of Notts County last 10 games and 11 of Sheffield Wednesday last 20.

How are Notts County playing?

Notts County have 1 win, 6 draws and 3 losses in their last 10 games, with 11 goals scored and 14 conceded. At home they have 1 win, 1 draw and 2 losses from 4. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, D, D, newest first.

How are Sheffield Wednesday playing?

Sheffield Wednesday have 6 wins, 7 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 26 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, D, D, W, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for Notts County vs Sheffield Wednesday?

Over 1.5 goals at 1/3, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Notts County against Sheffield Wed. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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