EagleEyeOdds eagleEagleEyeOddsToday's picks
PredictionsBest bets by countryKenyaNigeriaGhanaSouth AfricaUnited KingdomUnited StatesIndiaTanzaniaUgandaZambiaCameroonIvory CoastAll 54 countriesNewsOur recordHow Eagle 2.0 worksResponsible gambling
Predictions › United Kingdom › Notts County vs Stevenage
League OneSat 21 Nov, 15:00 United Kingdom time

Notts County vs Stevenage prediction

Meadow Lane

Notts CountyHome
1.28 : 0.91
expected goals
StevenageAway
44%Notts County
30%Draw
26%Stevenage
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
2/9

Quick answer

Our prediction for Notts County vs Stevenage is Notts County to win, with a 44% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 2/9.

Prediction
Notts County to win
Chance
44%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Notts County 1.3, Stevenage 0.9
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 2/9
Both teams to score
44%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
82% chanceFair price 2/92 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
14% chanceFair price 6/11 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Notts County 44%, the draw 30% and Stevenage 26%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Notts County took 8 points from their last 5 games and Stevenage took 7 from 5. Notts County come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Notts County won 2 of their last 6 games at home. Stevenage won 3 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Notts County score 1.2 goals a game and let in 1.3. Stevenage score 1.1 and let in 1.1. Over 2.5 goals landed in 5 of Notts County games and 8 of Stevenage games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 82% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Notts Countyrecent form+4%
  • Stevenagerecent form+3%
Notts County form D W W D WStevenage form W W D L WHome edge in this league 22% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Notts County vs Stevenage: Notts County shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Notts County host Stevenage in the League One on Sat 21 Nov, 15:00 at Meadow Lane. Our prediction for Notts County vs Stevenage is Notts County to win, with a 44% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 2/9.

Notts County form

Notts County have 3 wins, 8 draws and 4 losses in their last 15 games, with 18 goals scored and 19 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 6. Their last 5 results read D, W, D, W, L, newest first.

Stevenage form

Stevenage have 8 wins, 5 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 21 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, L, W, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Notts County to score about 1.3 goals and Stevenage about 0.9. That points to Notts County to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 2/9. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 6/1.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Notts CountyStevenage
Games played1520
Wins38
Draws85
Losses47
Goals scored1823
Goals conceded1921
Scored per game1.21.1
Conceded per game1.31.1
Home record2W 2D 2L5W 1D 4L
Away record1W 6D 2L3W 4D 3L
Clean sheets13%30%
Both teams scored67%40%
Over 2.5 goals33%40%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals65%8/15
Over 2.5 goals38%13/8
Over 3.5 goals18%9/2
Both teams to score44%5/4
Notts County or Draw74%1/3
Stevenage or Draw56%4/5
Notts County to win and Over 2.522%7/2
Stevenage to win and Over 2.512%15/2
Notts County clean sheet40%6/4
Stevenage clean sheet28%13/5

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.8%
1-013.5%
0-011.9%
0-19.4%
2-09.2%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Notts County vs Stevenage?

Our prediction for Notts County vs Stevenage is Notts County to win, with a 44% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 2/9.

What is the score prediction for Notts County vs Stevenage?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 0-0. We expect Notts County to score 1.3 goals and Stevenage 0.9.

Will both teams score in Notts County vs Stevenage?

Both teams to score has a 44% chance. Both sides scored in 10 of Notts County last 15 games and 8 of Stevenage last 20.

How are Notts County playing?

Notts County have 3 wins, 8 draws and 4 losses in their last 15 games, with 18 goals scored and 19 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 6. Their last 5 results read D, W, D, W, L, newest first.

How are Stevenage playing?

Stevenage have 8 wins, 5 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 21 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, L, W, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Notts County vs Stevenage?

Under 3.5 goals at 2/9, with a 82% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Notts County against Stevenage. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
  • 18 plus only. Betting is for adults. In some countries the legal age is higher and in some it is not allowed at all. You alone are responsible for checking the law where you live.
  • Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
  • No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
  • Betting can harm you. If it stops being fun, if you chase losses, or if you hide it from people close to you, stop and get help. Free and private support is available from BeGambleAware, GamCare and Gamblers Anonymous. Read our responsible gambling page for tools that block betting sites.

Full terms are on our disclaimer and terms pages.

Note: Never stake money you need for rent, food, bills or anyone who depends on you.