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Predictions › Chile › Ñublense vs Colo Colo
Chilean Primera DivisionSun 8 Nov, 20:00 Chile time

Ñublense vs Colo Colo prediction

Estadio Municipal Oyarzún Arenas

ÑublenseHome
1.33 : 1.63
expected goals
Colo ColoAway
31%Ñublense
26%Draw
44%Colo Colo
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.25

Quick answer

Our prediction for Ñublense vs Colo Colo is Colo Colo to win, with a 44% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.25.

Prediction
Colo Colo to win
Chance
44%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Ñublense 1.3, Colo Colo 1.6
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.25
Both teams to score
60%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
80% chanceFair price 1.252 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Colo Colo to win and Over 2.5
29% chanceFair price 3.501 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Ñublense 31%, the draw 26% and Colo Colo 44%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Ñublense took 3 points from their last 5 games and Colo Colo took 6 from 5. Colo Colo come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Ñublense won 4 of their last 10 games at home. Colo Colo won 8 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Ñublense score 1.3 goals a game and let in 1.7. Colo Colo score 2.3 and let in 1.2. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of Ñublense games and 13 of Colo Colo games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Ñublense won 0 and Colo Colo won 2 with 0 draws. The last one ended Colo Colo 6, Ñublense 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 80% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Ñublenserecent form-3%
  • Colo Colorecent form+1%
Ñublense form D L W L LColo Colo form D L W W DHome edge in this league 30% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Ñublense vs Colo Colo: Colo Colo shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Ñublense host Colo Colo in the Chilean Primera Division on Sun 8 Nov, 20:00 at Estadio Municipal Oyarzún Arenas. Our prediction for Ñublense vs Colo Colo is Colo Colo to win, with a 44% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.25.

Ñublense form

Ñublense have 7 wins, 6 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 34 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, L, newest first.

Colo Colo form

Colo Colo have 14 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses in their last 20 games, with 46 goals scored and 24 conceded. Away from home they have 8 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from 11. Their last 5 results read D, L, D, D, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Ñublense won 0, Colo Colo won 2 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Colo Colo 6, Ñublense 2.

Our call

We expect Ñublense to score about 1.3 goals and Colo Colo about 1.6. That points to Colo Colo to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.25. Our bold bet is Colo Colo to win and Over 2.5 at 3.50.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

ÑublenseColo Colo
Games played2020
Wins714
Draws64
Losses72
Goals scored2546
Goals conceded3424
Scored per game1.32.3
Conceded per game1.71.2
Home record4W 3D 3L6W 2D 1L
Away record3W 3D 4L8W 2D 1L
Clean sheets25%25%
Both teams scored55%70%
Over 2.5 goals55%65%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals80%1.25
Over 2.5 goals57%1.76
Over 3.5 goals34%2.92
Both teams to score60%1.67
Ñublense or Draw56%1.78
Colo Colo or Draw69%1.44
Ñublense to win and Over 2.520%5.05
Colo Colo to win and Over 2.529%3.44
Ñublense clean sheet20%5.08
Colo Colo clean sheet26%3.78

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.9%
1-29.1%
0-17.8%
2-17.5%
0-26.9%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Ñublense vs Colo Colo?

Our prediction for Ñublense vs Colo Colo is Colo Colo to win, with a 44% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.25.

What is the score prediction for Ñublense vs Colo Colo?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 0-1. We expect Ñublense to score 1.3 goals and Colo Colo 1.6.

Will both teams score in Ñublense vs Colo Colo?

Both teams to score has a 60% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of Ñublense last 20 games and 14 of Colo Colo last 20.

How are Ñublense playing?

Ñublense have 7 wins, 6 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 34 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, L, newest first.

How are Colo Colo playing?

Colo Colo have 14 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses in their last 20 games, with 46 goals scored and 24 conceded. Away from home they have 8 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from 11. Their last 5 results read D, L, D, D, W, newest first.

What happened when Ñublense and Colo Colo last met?

It ended Colo Colo 6, Ñublense 2. In the last 2 meetings Ñublense won 0 and Colo Colo won 2.

What is the best bet for Ñublense vs Colo Colo?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.25, with a 80% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Ñublense against Colo Colo. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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