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Predictions › Chile › Ñublense vs Coquimbo Unido
Chilean Primera DivisionSun 25 Oct, 15:30 Chile time

Ñublense vs Coquimbo Unido prediction

Estadio Municipal Oyarzún Arenas

ÑublenseHome
1.50 : 1.50
expected goals
Coquimbo UnidoAway
37%Ñublense
26%Draw
37%Coquimbo
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.26

Quick answer

Our prediction for Ñublense vs Coquimbo Unido is Ñublense to win, with a 37% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.26.

Prediction
Ñublense to win
Chance
37%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Ñublense 1.5, Coquimbo Unido 1.5
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.26
Both teams to score
61%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
79% chanceFair price 1.262 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
12% chanceFair price 8.441 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Ñublense 37%, the draw 26% and Coquimbo Unido 37%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Ñublense took 0 points from their last 5 games and Coquimbo Unido took 6 from 5. Coquimbo Unido come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Ñublense won 3 of their last 10 games at home. Coquimbo Unido won 1 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Ñublense score 1.2 goals a game and let in 1.8. Coquimbo Unido score 1.4 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of Ñublense games and 11 of Coquimbo Unido games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Ñublense won 0 and Coquimbo Unido won 1 with 1 draw. The last one ended Coquimbo Unido 1, Ñublense 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 79% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Ñublenserecent form-3%
Ñublense form D W L L LCoquimbo form D W W L LHome edge in this league 29% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Ñublense vs Coquimbo Unido: Ñublense shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Ñublense host Coquimbo Unido in the Chilean Primera Division on Sun 25 Oct, 15:30 at Estadio Municipal Oyarzún Arenas. Our prediction for Ñublense vs Coquimbo Unido is Ñublense to win, with a 37% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.26.

Ñublense form

Ñublense have 6 wins, 6 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 24 goals scored and 35 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

Coquimbo Unido form

Coquimbo Unido have 6 wins, 6 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 28 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 3 draws and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Ñublense won 0, Coquimbo Unido won 1 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Coquimbo Unido 1, Ñublense 1.

Our call

We expect Ñublense to score about 1.5 goals and Coquimbo Unido about 1.5. That points to Ñublense to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.26. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 8.44.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

ÑublenseCoquimbo
Games played2020
Wins66
Draws66
Losses88
Goals scored2428
Goals conceded3528
Scored per game1.21.4
Conceded per game1.81.4
Home record3W 3D 4L5W 3D 2L
Away record3W 3D 4L1W 3D 6L
Clean sheets25%25%
Both teams scored55%60%
Over 2.5 goals55%55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals81%1.24
Over 2.5 goals58%1.73
Over 3.5 goals35%2.82
Both teams to score61%1.64
Ñublense or Draw63%1.59
Coquimbo Unido or Draw63%1.59
Ñublense to win and Over 2.525%4.03
Coquimbo Unido to win and Over 2.525%4.03
Ñublense clean sheet22%4.50
Coquimbo Unido clean sheet22%4.50

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.9%
1-28.4%
2-18.4%
0-16.8%
1-06.8%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Ñublense vs Coquimbo Unido?

Our prediction for Ñublense vs Coquimbo Unido is Ñublense to win, with a 37% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.26.

What is the score prediction for Ñublense vs Coquimbo Unido?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 2-1. We expect Ñublense to score 1.5 goals and Coquimbo Unido 1.5.

Will both teams score in Ñublense vs Coquimbo Unido?

Both teams to score has a 61% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of Ñublense last 20 games and 12 of Coquimbo Unido last 20.

How are Ñublense playing?

Ñublense have 6 wins, 6 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 24 goals scored and 35 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

How are Coquimbo Unido playing?

Coquimbo Unido have 6 wins, 6 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 28 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 3 draws and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, W, newest first.

What happened when Ñublense and Coquimbo Unido last met?

It ended Coquimbo Unido 1, Ñublense 1. In the last 2 meetings Ñublense won 0 and Coquimbo Unido won 1.

What is the best bet for Ñublense vs Coquimbo Unido?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.26, with a 79% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Ñublense against Coquimbo. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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