Predictions › Chile › O'Higgins vs Cobresal
Chilean Primera DivisionSat 24 Oct, 23:00 Chile time

O'Higgins vs Cobresal prediction

Estadio El Teniente

O'HigginsHome
1.75 : 1.24
expected goals
CobresalAway
49%O'Higgins
25%Draw
26%Cobresal
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.27

Quick answer

Our prediction for O'Higgins vs Cobresal is O'Higgins to win, with a 49% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.27.

Prediction
O'Higgins to win
Chance
49%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
O'Higgins 1.8, Cobresal 1.2
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.27
Both teams to score
59%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
79% chanceFair price 1.272 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

O'Higgins to win and Over 2.5
31% chanceFair price 3.201 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives O'Higgins 49%, the draw 25% and Cobresal 26%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    O'Higgins took 3 points from their last 5 games and Cobresal took 8 from 5. Cobresal come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    O'Higgins won 3 of their last 8 games at home. Cobresal won 0 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    O'Higgins score 1.1 goals a game and let in 1.6. Cobresal score 1.4 and let in 2.1. Over 2.5 goals landed in 9 of O'Higgins games and 12 of Cobresal games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, O'Higgins won 1 and Cobresal won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended Cobresal 2, O'Higgins 3.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 79% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • O'Higginsrecent form+6%
  • Cobresalrecent form+1%
O'Higgins form D W W W WCobresal form D W L W DHome edge in this league 29% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

O'Higgins vs Cobresal: O'Higgins are favourites

The big picture

O'Higgins host Cobresal in the Chilean Primera Division on Sat 24 Oct, 23:00 at Estadio El Teniente. Our prediction for O'Higgins vs Cobresal is O'Higgins to win, with a 49% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.27.

O'Higgins form

O'Higgins have 6 wins, 3 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 32 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 0 draws and 5 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, L, newest first.

Cobresal form

Cobresal have 4 wins, 3 draws and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 42 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 2 draws and 8 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, W, L, W, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. O'Higgins won 1, Cobresal won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Cobresal 2, O'Higgins 3.

Our call

We expect O'Higgins to score about 1.8 goals and Cobresal about 1.2. That points to O'Higgins to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.27. Our bold bet is O'Higgins to win and Over 2.5 at 3.20.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

O'HigginsCobresal
Games played2020
Wins64
Draws33
Losses1113
Goals scored2227
Goals conceded3242
Scored per game1.11.4
Conceded per game1.62.1
Home record3W 0D 5L4W 1D 5L
Away record3W 3D 6L0W 2D 8L
Clean sheets15%15%
Both teams scored45%50%
Over 2.5 goals45%60%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals81%1.24
Over 2.5 goals57%1.74
Over 3.5 goals35%2.86
Both teams to score59%1.69
O'Higgins or Draw74%1.36
Cobresal or Draw51%1.95
O'Higgins to win and Over 2.533%3.04
Cobresal to win and Over 2.517%5.89
O'Higgins clean sheet29%3.45
Cobresal clean sheet17%5.75

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.6%
2-19.6%
1-08.2%
2-07.7%
1-26.8%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win O'Higgins vs Cobresal?

Our prediction for O'Higgins vs Cobresal is O'Higgins to win, with a 49% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.27.

What is the score prediction for O'Higgins vs Cobresal?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-0. We expect O'Higgins to score 1.8 goals and Cobresal 1.2.

Will both teams score in O'Higgins vs Cobresal?

Both teams to score has a 59% chance. Both sides scored in 9 of O'Higgins last 20 games and 10 of Cobresal last 20.

How are O'Higgins playing?

O'Higgins have 6 wins, 3 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 32 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 0 draws and 5 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, L, newest first.

How are Cobresal playing?

Cobresal have 4 wins, 3 draws and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 42 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 2 draws and 8 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, W, L, W, D, newest first.

What happened when O'Higgins and Cobresal last met?

It ended Cobresal 2, O'Higgins 3. In the last 1 meeting O'Higgins won 1 and Cobresal won 0.

What is the best bet for O'Higgins vs Cobresal?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.27, with a 79% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in O'Higgins against Cobresal. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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