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Predictions › Chile › O'Higgins vs Ñublense
Chilean Primera DivisionSat 31 Oct, 23:00 Chile time

O'Higgins vs Ñublense prediction

Estadio El Teniente

O'HigginsHome
1.60 : 1.03
expected goals
ÑublenseAway
50%O'Higgins
26%Draw
24%Ñublense
Eagle safe pickO'Higgins or Draw
1.30

Quick answer

Our prediction for O'Higgins vs Ñublense is O'Higgins to win, with a 50% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is O'Higgins or Draw at 1.30.

Prediction
O'Higgins to win
Chance
50%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
O'Higgins 1.6, Ñublense 1.0
Best bet
O'Higgins or Draw at 1.30
Both teams to score
52%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

O'Higgins or Draw
77% chanceFair price 1.302 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

O'Higgins to win and Over 2.5
29% chanceFair price 3.501 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives O'Higgins 50%, the draw 26% and Ñublense 24%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    O'Higgins took 3 points from their last 5 games and Ñublense took 0 from 5. O'Higgins come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    O'Higgins won 3 of their last 8 games at home. Ñublense won 3 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    O'Higgins score 1.1 goals a game and let in 1.6. Ñublense score 1.2 and let in 1.8. Over 2.5 goals landed in 9 of O'Higgins games and 11 of Ñublense games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, O'Higgins won 2 and Ñublense won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended Ñublense 0, O'Higgins 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    O'Higgins or Draw has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • O'Higginsrecent form+6%
  • Ñublenserecent form-3%
O'Higgins form D W W W WÑublense form D W L L LHome edge in this league 29% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

O'Higgins vs Ñublense: O'Higgins are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

O'Higgins host Ñublense in the Chilean Primera Division on Sat 31 Oct, 23:00 at Estadio El Teniente. Our prediction for O'Higgins vs Ñublense is O'Higgins to win, with a 50% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is O'Higgins or Draw at 1.30.

O'Higgins form

O'Higgins have 6 wins, 3 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 32 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 0 draws and 5 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, L, newest first.

Ñublense form

Ñublense have 6 wins, 6 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 24 goals scored and 35 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. O'Higgins won 2, Ñublense won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Ñublense 0, O'Higgins 2.

Our call

We expect O'Higgins to score about 1.6 goals and Ñublense about 1.0. That points to O'Higgins to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is O'Higgins or Draw at 1.30. Our bold bet is O'Higgins to win and Over 2.5 at 3.50.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

O'HigginsÑublense
Games played2020
Wins66
Draws36
Losses118
Goals scored2224
Goals conceded3235
Scored per game1.11.2
Conceded per game1.61.8
Home record3W 0D 5L3W 3D 4L
Away record3W 3D 6L3W 3D 4L
Clean sheets15%25%
Both teams scored45%55%
Over 2.5 goals45%55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals74%1.34
Over 2.5 goals49%2.05
Over 3.5 goals27%3.71
Both teams to score52%1.93
O'Higgins or Draw76%1.31
Ñublense or Draw50%2.00
O'Higgins to win and Over 2.530%3.35
Ñublense to win and Over 2.513%7.63
O'Higgins clean sheet36%2.79
Ñublense clean sheet20%4.95

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.6%
1-010.9%
2-19.5%
2-09.3%
0-07.9%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win O'Higgins vs Ñublense?

Our prediction for O'Higgins vs Ñublense is O'Higgins to win, with a 50% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is O'Higgins or Draw at 1.30.

What is the score prediction for O'Higgins vs Ñublense?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 2-1. We expect O'Higgins to score 1.6 goals and Ñublense 1.0.

Will both teams score in O'Higgins vs Ñublense?

Both teams to score has a 52% chance. Both sides scored in 9 of O'Higgins last 20 games and 11 of Ñublense last 20.

How are O'Higgins playing?

O'Higgins have 6 wins, 3 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 32 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 0 draws and 5 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, L, newest first.

How are Ñublense playing?

Ñublense have 6 wins, 6 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 24 goals scored and 35 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

What happened when O'Higgins and Ñublense last met?

It ended Ñublense 0, O'Higgins 2. In the last 2 meetings O'Higgins won 2 and Ñublense won 0.

What is the best bet for O'Higgins vs Ñublense?

O'Higgins or Draw at 1.30, with a 77% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in O'Higgins against Ñublense. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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