Predictions › Denmark › Odense Boldklub vs Brøndby IF
Danish SuperligaSun 18 Oct, 14:00 Denmark time

Odense Boldklub vs Brøndby IF prediction

Nature Energy Park

Odense BoldklubHome
1.35 : 1.37
expected goals
Brøndby IFAway
36%Odense
27%Draw
37%Brøndby
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.32

Quick answer

Our prediction for Odense Boldklub vs Brøndby IF is Brøndby IF to win, with a 37% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.32.

Prediction
Brøndby IF to win
Chance
37%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Odense Boldklub 1.4, Brøndby IF 1.4
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.32
Both teams to score
56%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
76% chanceFair price 1.322 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
13% chanceFair price 7.741 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Odense Boldklub 36%, the draw 27% and Brøndby IF 37%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Odense Boldklub took 6 points from their last 5 games and Brøndby IF took 3 from 5. Odense Boldklub come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Odense Boldklub won 4 of their last 9 games at home. Brøndby IF won 3 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Odense Boldklub score 1.1 goals a game and let in 1.4. Brøndby IF score 1.3 and let in 1.6. Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 of Odense Boldklub games and 11 of Brøndby IF games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Odense Boldklub won 0 and Brøndby IF won 2 with 0 draws. The last one ended Odense Boldklub 1, Brøndby IF 4.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Brøndbyrecent form-4%
Odense form D W L D DBrøndby form L L L L WHome edge in this league 16% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Odense Boldklub vs Brøndby IF: Brøndby IF shade it

The big picture

Odense Boldklub host Brøndby IF in the Danish Superliga on Sun 18 Oct, 14:00 at Nature Energy Park. Our prediction for Odense Boldklub vs Brøndby IF is Brøndby IF to win, with a 37% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.32.

Odense Boldklub form

Odense Boldklub have 6 wins, 5 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 29 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, W, L, D, D, newest first.

Brøndby IF form

Brøndby IF have 7 wins, 3 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 31 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Odense Boldklub won 0, Brøndby IF won 2 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Odense Boldklub 1, Brøndby IF 4.

Our call

We expect Odense Boldklub to score about 1.4 goals and Brøndby IF about 1.4. That points to Brøndby IF to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.32. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.74.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

OdenseBrøndby
Games played2020
Wins67
Draws53
Losses910
Goals scored2326
Goals conceded2931
Scored per game1.11.3
Conceded per game1.41.6
Home record4W 1D 4L4W 1D 6L
Away record2W 4D 5L3W 2D 4L
Clean sheets15%25%
Both teams scored60%50%
Over 2.5 goals50%55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals76%1.31
Over 2.5 goals51%1.96
Over 3.5 goals29%3.45
Both teams to score56%1.79
Odense Boldklub or Draw63%1.58
Brøndby IF or Draw64%1.56
Odense Boldklub to win and Over 2.522%4.58
Brøndby IF to win and Over 2.522%4.48
Odense Boldklub clean sheet25%3.92
Brøndby IF clean sheet26%3.86

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.9%
1-28.3%
0-18.3%
2-18.2%
1-08.2%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Odense Boldklub vs Brøndby IF?

Our prediction for Odense Boldklub vs Brøndby IF is Brøndby IF to win, with a 37% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.32.

What is the score prediction for Odense Boldklub vs Brøndby IF?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 0-1. We expect Odense Boldklub to score 1.4 goals and Brøndby IF 1.4.

Will both teams score in Odense Boldklub vs Brøndby IF?

Both teams to score has a 56% chance. Both sides scored in 12 of Odense Boldklub last 20 games and 10 of Brøndby IF last 20.

How are Odense Boldklub playing?

Odense Boldklub have 6 wins, 5 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 29 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, W, L, D, D, newest first.

How are Brøndby IF playing?

Brøndby IF have 7 wins, 3 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 31 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, W, newest first.

What happened when Odense Boldklub and Brøndby IF last met?

It ended Odense Boldklub 1, Brøndby IF 4. In the last 2 meetings Odense Boldklub won 0 and Brøndby IF won 2.

What is the best bet for Odense Boldklub vs Brøndby IF?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.32, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Odense against Brøndby. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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