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Predictions › Denmark › Odense Boldklub vs FC Midtjylland
Danish SuperligaSat 19 Sept, 16:00 Denmark time

Odense Boldklub vs FC Midtjylland prediction

Nature Energy Park

Odense BoldklubHome
0.87 : 2.18
expected goals
FC MidtjyllandAway
13%Odense
20%Draw
67%Midtjylland
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.19

Quick answer

Our prediction for Odense Boldklub vs FC Midtjylland is FC Midtjylland to win, with a 67% chance. The most likely score is 0-2. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.19.

Prediction
FC Midtjylland to win
Chance
67%
Most likely score
0-2
Expected goals
Odense Boldklub 0.9, FC Midtjylland 2.2
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.19
Both teams to score
52%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
84% chanceFair price 1.192 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

FC Midtjylland to win and Over 2.5
43% chanceFair price 2.311 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Odense Boldklub 13%, the draw 20% and FC Midtjylland 67%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Odense Boldklub took 2 points from their last 5 games and FC Midtjylland took 9 from 5. FC Midtjylland come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Odense Boldklub won 4 of their last 10 games at home. FC Midtjylland won 5 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Odense Boldklub score 1.1 goals a game and let in 1.6. FC Midtjylland score 1.4 and let in 1.1. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of Odense Boldklub games and 10 of FC Midtjylland games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Odense Boldklub won 0 and FC Midtjylland won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Odense Boldklub 1, FC Midtjylland 4.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 84% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Odenserecent form-4%
  • Midtjyllandrecent form+4%
Odense form L D D L LMidtjylland form D W D W WHome edge in this league 16% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Odense Boldklub vs FC Midtjylland: FC Midtjylland are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Odense Boldklub host FC Midtjylland in the Danish Superliga on Sat 19 Sept, 16:00 at Nature Energy Park. Our prediction for Odense Boldklub vs FC Midtjylland is FC Midtjylland to win, with a 67% chance. The most likely score is 0-2. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.19.

Odense Boldklub form

Odense Boldklub have 5 wins, 5 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 33 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, D, L, L, newest first.

FC Midtjylland form

FC Midtjylland have 8 wins, 9 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 22 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 5 draws and 0 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, W, D, W, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Odense Boldklub won 0, FC Midtjylland won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Odense Boldklub 1, FC Midtjylland 4.

Our call

We expect Odense Boldklub to score about 0.9 goals and FC Midtjylland about 2.2. That points to FC Midtjylland to win, with 0-2 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.19. Our bold bet is FC Midtjylland to win and Over 2.5 at 2.31.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

OdenseMidtjylland
Games played2020
Wins58
Draws59
Losses103
Goals scored2328
Goals conceded3322
Scored per game1.11.4
Conceded per game1.61.1
Home record4W 1D 5L3W 4D 3L
Away record1W 4D 5L5W 5D 0L
Clean sheets15%30%
Both teams scored60%65%
Over 2.5 goals55%50%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals81%1.23
Over 2.5 goals59%1.70
Over 3.5 goals36%2.75
Both teams to score52%1.92
Odense Boldklub or Draw33%2.99
FC Midtjylland or Draw87%1.15
Odense Boldklub to win and Over 2.58%12.70
FC Midtjylland to win and Over 2.546%2.19
Odense Boldklub clean sheet11%8.81
FC Midtjylland clean sheet42%2.39

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

0-211.2%
1-29.8%
0-19.8%
1-19.5%
0-38.1%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Odense Boldklub vs FC Midtjylland?

Our prediction for Odense Boldklub vs FC Midtjylland is FC Midtjylland to win, with a 67% chance. The most likely score is 0-2. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.19.

What is the score prediction for Odense Boldklub vs FC Midtjylland?

0-2 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 0-1. We expect Odense Boldklub to score 0.9 goals and FC Midtjylland 2.2.

Will both teams score in Odense Boldklub vs FC Midtjylland?

Both teams to score has a 52% chance. Both sides scored in 12 of Odense Boldklub last 20 games and 13 of FC Midtjylland last 20.

How are Odense Boldklub playing?

Odense Boldklub have 5 wins, 5 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 33 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, D, L, L, newest first.

How are FC Midtjylland playing?

FC Midtjylland have 8 wins, 9 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 22 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 5 draws and 0 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, W, D, W, D, newest first.

What happened when Odense Boldklub and FC Midtjylland last met?

It ended Odense Boldklub 1, FC Midtjylland 4. In the last 1 meeting Odense Boldklub won 0 and FC Midtjylland won 1.

What is the best bet for Odense Boldklub vs FC Midtjylland?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.19, with a 84% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Odense against Midtjylland. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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