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Predictions › Greece › OFI Crete vs Asteras Tripoli
Greek Super LeagueSun 20 Sept, 16:00 Greece time

OFI Crete vs Asteras Tripoli prediction

Pankritio Stadium

OFI CreteHome
1.70 : 0.71
expected goals
Asteras TripoliAway
61%OFI Crete
25%Draw
15%Asteras Trip
Eagle safe pickOFI Crete draw no bet
1.22

Quick answer

Our prediction for OFI Crete vs Asteras Tripoli is OFI Crete to win, with a 61% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is OFI Crete draw no bet at 1.22.

Prediction
OFI Crete to win
Chance
61%
Most likely score
1-0
Expected goals
OFI Crete 1.7, Asteras Tripoli 0.7
Best bet
OFI Crete draw no bet at 1.22
Both teams to score
42%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

OFI Crete draw no bet
82% chanceFair price 1.222 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

OFI Crete to win and Over 2.5
31% chanceFair price 3.231 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives OFI Crete 61%, the draw 25% and Asteras Tripoli 15%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    OFI Crete took 12 points from their last 5 games and Asteras Tripoli took 4 from 5. OFI Crete come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    OFI Crete won 7 of their last 10 games at home. Asteras Tripoli won 1 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    OFI Crete score 1.5 goals a game and let in 1.4. Asteras Tripoli score 1.1 and let in 1.3. Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 of OFI Crete games and 9 of Asteras Tripoli games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, OFI Crete won 1 and Asteras Tripoli won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended OFI Crete 4, Asteras Tripoli 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    OFI Crete draw no bet has a 82% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • OFI Creterecent form+4%
  • Asteras Triprecent form-3%
  • OFI Creterest between games-5%
OFI Crete form W W L W WAsteras Trip form L L L W DHome edge in this league 25% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

OFI Crete vs Asteras Tripoli: OFI Crete are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

OFI Crete host Asteras Tripoli in the Greek Super League on Sun 20 Sept, 16:00 at Pankritio Stadium. Our prediction for OFI Crete vs Asteras Tripoli is OFI Crete to win, with a 61% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is OFI Crete draw no bet at 1.22.

OFI Crete form

OFI Crete have 10 wins, 3 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 30 goals scored and 27 conceded. At home they have 7 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, W, newest first.

Asteras Tripoli form

Asteras Tripoli have 6 wins, 5 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 21 goals scored and 25 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 4 draws and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. OFI Crete won 1, Asteras Tripoli won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished OFI Crete 4, Asteras Tripoli 0.

Our call

We expect OFI Crete to score about 1.7 goals and Asteras Tripoli about 0.7. That points to OFI Crete to win, with 1-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is OFI Crete draw no bet at 1.22. Our bold bet is OFI Crete to win and Over 2.5 at 3.23.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

OFI CreteAsteras Trip
Games played2020
Wins106
Draws35
Losses79
Goals scored3021
Goals conceded2725
Scored per game1.51.1
Conceded per game1.41.3
Home record7W 0D 3L5W 1D 5L
Away record3W 3D 4L1W 4D 4L
Clean sheets35%25%
Both teams scored50%55%
Over 2.5 goals50%45%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals70%1.43
Over 2.5 goals43%2.30
Over 3.5 goals22%4.45
Both teams to score42%2.36
OFI Crete or Draw85%1.17
Asteras Tripoli or Draw39%2.53
OFI Crete to win and Over 2.533%3.03
Asteras Tripoli to win and Over 2.57%15.00
OFI Crete clean sheet49%2.04
Asteras Tripoli clean sheet18%5.49

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-014.6%
2-012.9%
1-111.5%
0-09.6%
2-19.2%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win OFI Crete vs Asteras Tripoli?

Our prediction for OFI Crete vs Asteras Tripoli is OFI Crete to win, with a 61% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is OFI Crete draw no bet at 1.22.

What is the score prediction for OFI Crete vs Asteras Tripoli?

1-0 is the most likely score, followed by 2-0 and 1-1. We expect OFI Crete to score 1.7 goals and Asteras Tripoli 0.7.

Will both teams score in OFI Crete vs Asteras Tripoli?

Both teams to score has a 42% chance. Both sides scored in 10 of OFI Crete last 20 games and 11 of Asteras Tripoli last 20.

How are OFI Crete playing?

OFI Crete have 10 wins, 3 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 30 goals scored and 27 conceded. At home they have 7 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, W, newest first.

How are Asteras Tripoli playing?

Asteras Tripoli have 6 wins, 5 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 21 goals scored and 25 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 4 draws and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, D, newest first.

What happened when OFI Crete and Asteras Tripoli last met?

It ended OFI Crete 4, Asteras Tripoli 0. In the last 2 meetings OFI Crete won 1 and Asteras Tripoli won 1.

What is the best bet for OFI Crete vs Asteras Tripoli?

OFI Crete draw no bet at 1.22, with a 82% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in OFI Crete against Asteras Trip. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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  • Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
  • No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
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