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Predictions › Greece › OFI Crete vs PAOK
Greek Super LeagueSun 25 Oct, 18:00 Greece time

OFI Crete vs PAOK prediction

Pankritio Stadium

OFI CreteHome
1.57 : 1.51
expected goals
PAOKAway
39%OFI Crete
25%Draw
36%PAOK
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.24

Quick answer

Our prediction for OFI Crete vs PAOK is OFI Crete to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.24.

Prediction
OFI Crete to win
Chance
39%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
OFI Crete 1.6, PAOK 1.5
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.24
Both teams to score
62%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
80% chanceFair price 1.242 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
12% chanceFair price 8.661 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives OFI Crete 39%, the draw 25% and PAOK 36%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    OFI Crete took 7 points from their last 5 games and PAOK took 9 from 5. PAOK come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    OFI Crete won 6 of their last 10 games at home. PAOK won 3 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    OFI Crete score 1.4 goals a game and let in 1.4. PAOK score 1.6 and let in 1.1. Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 of OFI Crete games and 12 of PAOK games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, OFI Crete won 0 and PAOK won 2 with 0 draws. The last one ended PAOK 3, OFI Crete 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 80% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • OFI Creterecent form+1%
  • PAOKrecent form+3%
OFI Crete form D L D W WPAOK form D W W L WHome edge in this league 26% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

OFI Crete vs PAOK: OFI Crete shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

OFI Crete host PAOK in the Greek Super League on Sun 25 Oct, 18:00 at Pankritio Stadium. Our prediction for OFI Crete vs PAOK is OFI Crete to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.24.

OFI Crete form

OFI Crete have 8 wins, 3 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 29 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, W, W, newest first.

PAOK form

PAOK have 8 wins, 6 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 32 goals scored and 23 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. OFI Crete won 0, PAOK won 2 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished PAOK 3, OFI Crete 0.

Our call

We expect OFI Crete to score about 1.6 goals and PAOK about 1.5. That points to OFI Crete to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.24. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 8.66.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

OFI CretePAOK
Games played2020
Wins88
Draws36
Losses96
Goals scored2732
Goals conceded2923
Scored per game1.41.6
Conceded per game1.41.1
Home record6W 1D 3L5W 2D 2L
Away record2W 2D 6L3W 4D 4L
Clean sheets35%30%
Both teams scored45%60%
Over 2.5 goals50%60%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals82%1.22
Over 2.5 goals59%1.68
Over 3.5 goals37%2.70
Both teams to score62%1.60
OFI Crete or Draw64%1.56
PAOK or Draw61%1.63
OFI Crete to win and Over 2.527%3.76
PAOK to win and Over 2.524%4.09
OFI Crete clean sheet22%4.51
PAOK clean sheet21%4.82

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.6%
2-18.6%
1-28.2%
1-06.6%
2-26.5%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win OFI Crete vs PAOK?

Our prediction for OFI Crete vs PAOK is OFI Crete to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.24.

What is the score prediction for OFI Crete vs PAOK?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-2. We expect OFI Crete to score 1.6 goals and PAOK 1.5.

Will both teams score in OFI Crete vs PAOK?

Both teams to score has a 62% chance. Both sides scored in 9 of OFI Crete last 20 games and 12 of PAOK last 20.

How are OFI Crete playing?

OFI Crete have 8 wins, 3 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 29 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, W, W, newest first.

How are PAOK playing?

PAOK have 8 wins, 6 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 32 goals scored and 23 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, W, newest first.

What happened when OFI Crete and PAOK last met?

It ended PAOK 3, OFI Crete 0. In the last 2 meetings OFI Crete won 0 and PAOK won 2.

What is the best bet for OFI Crete vs PAOK?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.24, with a 80% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in OFI Crete against PAOK. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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