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Predictions › Belgium › OH Leuven vs KV Mechelen
Belgian Pro LeagueSat 7 Nov, 17:15 Belgium time

OH Leuven vs KV Mechelen prediction

King Power at Den Dreef Stadion

OH LeuvenHome
1.47 : 1.09
expected goals
KV MechelenAway
45%OH Leuven
28%Draw
27%KV Mechelen
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.33

Quick answer

Our prediction for OH Leuven vs KV Mechelen is OH Leuven to win, with a 45% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.33.

Prediction
OH Leuven to win
Chance
45%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
OH Leuven 1.5, KV Mechelen 1.1
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.33
Both teams to score
52%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
75% chanceFair price 1.332 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

OH Leuven to win and Over 2.5
25% chanceFair price 3.941 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives OH Leuven 45%, the draw 28% and KV Mechelen 27%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    OH Leuven took 6 points from their last 5 games and KV Mechelen took 5 from 5. OH Leuven come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    OH Leuven won 3 of their last 11 games at home. KV Mechelen won 0 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    OH Leuven score 0.9 goals a game and let in 1.6. KV Mechelen score 1.0 and let in 2.3. Over 2.5 goals landed in 9 of OH Leuven games and 12 of KV Mechelen games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, OH Leuven won 0 and KV Mechelen won 0 with 2 draws. The last one ended OH Leuven 2, KV Mechelen 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • KV Mechelenrecent form-3%
OH Leuven form D D W D LKV Mechelen form D D L L DHome edge in this league 18% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

OH Leuven vs KV Mechelen: OH Leuven are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

OH Leuven host KV Mechelen in the Belgian Pro League on Sat 7 Nov, 17:15 at King Power at Den Dreef Stadion. Our prediction for OH Leuven vs KV Mechelen is OH Leuven to win, with a 45% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.33.

OH Leuven form

OH Leuven have 3 wins, 6 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 18 goals scored and 33 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, D, W, D, L, newest first.

KV Mechelen form

KV Mechelen have 3 wins, 6 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 20 goals scored and 45 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, L, L, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. OH Leuven won 0, KV Mechelen won 0 and 2 games ended level. Last time out it finished OH Leuven 2, KV Mechelen 2.

Our call

We expect OH Leuven to score about 1.5 goals and KV Mechelen about 1.1. That points to OH Leuven to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.33. Our bold bet is OH Leuven to win and Over 2.5 at 3.94.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

OH LeuvenKV Mechelen
Games played2020
Wins33
Draws66
Losses1111
Goals scored1820
Goals conceded3345
Scored per game0.91.0
Conceded per game1.62.3
Home record3W 2D 6L3W 2D 5L
Away record0W 4D 5L0W 4D 6L
Clean sheets20%15%
Both teams scored45%50%
Over 2.5 goals45%60%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals73%1.37
Over 2.5 goals47%2.12
Over 3.5 goals26%3.92
Both teams to score52%1.93
OH Leuven or Draw73%1.38
KV Mechelen or Draw55%1.82
OH Leuven to win and Over 2.526%3.83
KV Mechelen to win and Over 2.515%6.64
OH Leuven clean sheet34%2.97
KV Mechelen clean sheet23%4.34

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.1%
1-010.6%
2-19.1%
0-08.5%
2-08.3%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win OH Leuven vs KV Mechelen?

Our prediction for OH Leuven vs KV Mechelen is OH Leuven to win, with a 45% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.33.

What is the score prediction for OH Leuven vs KV Mechelen?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 2-1. We expect OH Leuven to score 1.5 goals and KV Mechelen 1.1.

Will both teams score in OH Leuven vs KV Mechelen?

Both teams to score has a 52% chance. Both sides scored in 9 of OH Leuven last 20 games and 10 of KV Mechelen last 20.

How are OH Leuven playing?

OH Leuven have 3 wins, 6 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 18 goals scored and 33 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, D, W, D, L, newest first.

How are KV Mechelen playing?

KV Mechelen have 3 wins, 6 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 20 goals scored and 45 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, L, L, D, newest first.

What happened when OH Leuven and KV Mechelen last met?

It ended OH Leuven 2, KV Mechelen 2. In the last 2 meetings OH Leuven won 0 and KV Mechelen won 0.

What is the best bet for OH Leuven vs KV Mechelen?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.33, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in OH Leuven against KV Mechelen. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
  • 18 plus only. Betting is for adults. In some countries the legal age is higher and in some it is not allowed at all. You alone are responsible for checking the law where you live.
  • Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
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