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Predictions › Belgium › OH Leuven vs Lommel SK
Belgian Pro LeagueSat 24 Oct, 16:15 Belgium time

OH Leuven vs Lommel SK prediction

King Power at Den Dreef Stadion

OH LeuvenHome
1.25 : 1.38
expected goals
Lommel SKAway
33%OH Leuven
28%Draw
39%Lommel SK
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.34

Quick answer

Our prediction for OH Leuven vs Lommel SK is Lommel SK to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.34.

Prediction
Lommel SK to win
Chance
39%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
OH Leuven 1.3, Lommel SK 1.4
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.34
Both teams to score
54%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
75% chanceFair price 1.341 unit
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
13% chanceFair price 7.581 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives OH Leuven 33%, the draw 28% and Lommel SK 39%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    OH Leuven took 5 points from their last 5 games and Lommel SK took 7 from 5. Lommel SK come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    OH Leuven won 3 of their last 10 games at home. Lommel SK won 2 of their last 4 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    OH Leuven score 0.9 goals a game and let in 1.6. Lommel SK score 1.1 and let in 1.1. Over 2.5 goals landed in 8 of OH Leuven games and 3 of Lommel SK games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • OH Leuvenrecent form-1%
  • Lommel SKrecent form-1%
OH Leuven form D W D L LLommel SK form D D L L WHome edge in this league 16% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

OH Leuven vs Lommel SK: Lommel SK shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

OH Leuven host Lommel SK in the Belgian Pro League on Sat 24 Oct, 16:15 at King Power at Den Dreef Stadion. Our prediction for OH Leuven vs Lommel SK is Lommel SK to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.34.

OH Leuven form

OH Leuven have 4 wins, 5 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 18 goals scored and 31 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, W, D, L, L, newest first.

Lommel SK form

Lommel SK have 3 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses in their last 8 games, with 9 goals scored and 9 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from 4. Their last 5 results read W, D, L, L, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect OH Leuven to score about 1.3 goals and Lommel SK about 1.4. That points to Lommel SK to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.34. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.58.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

OH LeuvenLommel SK
Games played208
Wins43
Draws52
Losses113
Goals scored189
Goals conceded319
Scored per game0.91.1
Conceded per game1.61.1
Home record3W 1D 6L1W 1D 2L
Away record1W 4D 5L2W 1D 1L
Clean sheets25%38%
Both teams scored40%25%
Over 2.5 goals40%38%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals74%1.34
Over 2.5 goals49%2.05
Over 3.5 goals27%3.71
Both teams to score54%1.85
OH Leuven or Draw61%1.64
Lommel SK or Draw67%1.50
OH Leuven to win and Over 2.519%5.19
Lommel SK to win and Over 2.523%4.34
OH Leuven clean sheet25%3.96
Lommel SK clean sheet29%3.49

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.2%
0-19.2%
1-28.6%
1-08.3%
0-08.0%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win OH Leuven vs Lommel SK?

Our prediction for OH Leuven vs Lommel SK is Lommel SK to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.34.

What is the score prediction for OH Leuven vs Lommel SK?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-1 and 1-2. We expect OH Leuven to score 1.3 goals and Lommel SK 1.4.

Will both teams score in OH Leuven vs Lommel SK?

Both teams to score has a 54% chance. Both sides scored in 8 of OH Leuven last 20 games and 2 of Lommel SK last 8.

How are OH Leuven playing?

OH Leuven have 4 wins, 5 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 18 goals scored and 31 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, W, D, L, L, newest first.

How are Lommel SK playing?

Lommel SK have 3 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses in their last 8 games, with 9 goals scored and 9 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from 4. Their last 5 results read W, D, L, L, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for OH Leuven vs Lommel SK?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.34, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in OH Leuven against Lommel SK. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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