Predictions › United States › Ohio Bobcats vs Kent State Golden Flashes
College FootballSat 3 Oct, 15:30 United States time

Ohio Bobcats vs Kent State Golden Flashes prediction

Zoeller Field at Dix Stadium

Ohio BobcatsAway
26.9 : 23.9
projected points
Kent State Golden FlashesHome
64%Ohio
36%Kent State
Eagle safe pickKent State +14
-312

Quick answer

Our prediction for Ohio Bobcats vs Kent State Golden Flashes is Ohio Bobcats to win, with a 64% chance. We project Ohio Bobcats 26.9 and Kent State Golden Flashes 23.9. Our best bet is Kent State +14 at -312.

Prediction
Ohio Bobcats to win
Chance
64%
Projected score
Ohio Bobcats 27, Kent State Golden Flashes 24
Projected total
50.8 points
Best bet
Kent State +14 at -312

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Kent State +14
76% chanceFair price -3122 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Kent State Golden Flashes 36% and Ohio Bobcats 64%. The bookmakers agree and make Ohio Bobcats the favourite at -192.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Kent State Golden Flashes won 3 of their last 5 and Ohio Bobcats won 3 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Kent State Golden Flashes won 4 of their last 6 games at home. Ohio Bobcats won 2 of their last 7 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Kent State Golden Flashes score 20.4 points a game and let in 33.4. Ohio Bobcats score 28.9 and let in 24.3. Their recent games average 53.8 and 53.3 points in total, and the market line is 50.5.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Kent State +14 has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Kent Staterest between games-5%
  • Ohiorest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Ohio Bobcats vs Kent State Golden Flashes: Ohio Bobcats are favourites

The big picture

Kent State Golden Flashes host Ohio Bobcats in the College Football on Sat 3 Oct, 15:30 at Zoeller Field at Dix Stadium. Our prediction for Ohio Bobcats vs Kent State Golden Flashes is Ohio Bobcats to win, with a 64% chance. We project Ohio Bobcats 26.9 and Kent State Golden Flashes 23.9. Our best bet is Kent State +14 at -312.

Kent State Golden Flashes form

Kent State Golden Flashes have 6 wins and 8 losses in their last 14 games, with 285 points scored and 468 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 2 losses from 6. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, W, newest first.

Ohio Bobcats form

Ohio Bobcats have 10 wins and 5 losses in their last 15 games, with 434 points scored and 365 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 5 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Ohio Bobcats to score about 26.9 points and Kent State Golden Flashes about 23.9. That points to Ohio Bobcats to win. Our safest bet is Kent State +14 at -312.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 15 games in all competitions.

Kent StateOhio
Games played1415
Wins610
Losses85
Points scored285434
Points conceded468365
Scored per game20.428.9
Conceded per game33.424.3
Home record4W 2L8W 0L
Away record2W 6L2W 5L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against Draft Kings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Kent State to win36%+179+160-6.7%
Ohio to win59%-145-192-9.9%
Kent State +450%+101-118-8.3%
Ohio -444%+127-102-12.6%
Over 50.5 points48%+110-112-9.9%
Under 50.5 points46%+117-108-11.1%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Kent State spreadCoversFair
Kent State -4.532%+211
Kent State -0.542%+141
Kent State +2.549%+104
Kent State +5.556%-129
Kent State +9.566%-194
Total pointsOverUnder
43.568%32%
47.558%42%
50.551%49%
53.543%57%
57.534%66%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Kent State +3.5 wins if Kent State win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win Ohio Bobcats vs Kent State Golden Flashes?

Our prediction for Ohio Bobcats vs Kent State Golden Flashes is Ohio Bobcats to win, with a 64% chance. We project Ohio Bobcats 26.9 and Kent State Golden Flashes 23.9. Our best bet is Kent State +14 at -312.

What is the projected score for Ohio Bobcats vs Kent State Golden Flashes?

We project Ohio Bobcats 26.9 and Kent State Golden Flashes 23.9, about 50.8 points in total.

How are Kent State Golden Flashes playing?

Kent State Golden Flashes have 6 wins and 8 losses in their last 14 games, with 285 points scored and 468 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 2 losses from 6. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, W, newest first.

How are Ohio Bobcats playing?

Ohio Bobcats have 10 wins and 5 losses in their last 15 games, with 434 points scored and 365 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 5 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for Ohio Bobcats vs Kent State Golden Flashes?

Kent State +14 at -312, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Kent State against Ohio. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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