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Predictions › United States › Ohio Bobcats vs Sacramento State Hornets
College FootballSat 17 Oct, 22:00 United States time

Ohio Bobcats vs Sacramento State Hornets prediction

Hornet Stadium

Ohio BobcatsAway
24.1 : 28.4
projected points
Sacramento State HornetsHome
42%Ohio
58%Sacramento St
Eagle safe pickOhio +14.5
-294

Quick answer

Our prediction for Ohio Bobcats vs Sacramento State Hornets is Sacramento State Hornets to win, with a 58% chance, but it is a close call. We project Ohio Bobcats 24.1 and Sacramento State Hornets 28.4. Our best bet is Ohio +14.5 at -294.

Prediction
Sacramento State Hornets to win
Chance
58%
Projected score
Ohio Bobcats 24, Sacramento State Hornets 28
Projected total
52.5 points
Best bet
Ohio +14.5 at -294

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Ohio +14.5
75% chanceFair price -2941 unit
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Ohio to win
37% chanceFair price +1721 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Sacramento State Hornets 58% and Ohio Bobcats 42%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Sacramento State Hornets won 1 of their last 5 and Ohio Bobcats won 3 of their last 5. Ohio Bobcats come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Sacramento State Hornets won 5 of their last 9 games at home. Ohio Bobcats won 3 of their last 8 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Sacramento State Hornets score 31.5 points a game and let in 27.9. Ohio Bobcats score 27.9 and let in 23.4. Their recent games average 59.4 and 51.4 points in total.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Ohio +14.5 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Ohio Bobcats vs Sacramento State Hornets: Sacramento State Hornets shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Sacramento State Hornets host Ohio Bobcats in the College Football on Sat 17 Oct, 22:00 at Hornet Stadium. Our prediction for Ohio Bobcats vs Sacramento State Hornets is Sacramento State Hornets to win, with a 58% chance, but it is a close call. We project Ohio Bobcats 24.1 and Sacramento State Hornets 28.4. Our best bet is Ohio +14.5 at -294.

Sacramento State Hornets form

Sacramento State Hornets have 8 wins and 7 losses in their last 15 games, with 473 points scored and 418 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, L, newest first.

Ohio Bobcats form

Ohio Bobcats have 11 wins and 5 losses in their last 16 games, with 447 points scored and 375 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 5 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Ohio Bobcats to score about 24.1 points and Sacramento State Hornets about 28.4. That points to Sacramento State Hornets to win. Our safest bet is Ohio +14.5 at -294. Our bold bet is Ohio to win at +172.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 16 games in all competitions.

Sacramento StOhio
Games played1516
Wins811
Losses75
Points scored473447
Points conceded418375
Scored per game31.527.9
Conceded per game27.923.4
Home record5W 4L8W 0L
Away record3W 3L3W 5L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Sacramento St spreadCoversFair
Sacramento St -11.533%+206
Sacramento St -7.542%+138
Sacramento St -4.550%+102
Sacramento St -1.557%-132
Sacramento St +2.566%-198
Total pointsOverUnder
45.567%33%
49.557%43%
52.550%50%
55.542%58%
59.533%67%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Sacramento St +3.5 wins if Sacramento St win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win Ohio Bobcats vs Sacramento State Hornets?

Our prediction for Ohio Bobcats vs Sacramento State Hornets is Sacramento State Hornets to win, with a 58% chance, but it is a close call. We project Ohio Bobcats 24.1 and Sacramento State Hornets 28.4. Our best bet is Ohio +14.5 at -294.

What is the projected score for Ohio Bobcats vs Sacramento State Hornets?

We project Ohio Bobcats 24.1 and Sacramento State Hornets 28.4, about 52.5 points in total.

How are Sacramento State Hornets playing?

Sacramento State Hornets have 8 wins and 7 losses in their last 15 games, with 473 points scored and 418 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, L, newest first.

How are Ohio Bobcats playing?

Ohio Bobcats have 11 wins and 5 losses in their last 16 games, with 447 points scored and 375 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 5 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Ohio Bobcats vs Sacramento State Hornets?

Ohio +14.5 at -294, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Sacramento St against Ohio. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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