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College FootballSat 17 Oct, 12:00 United States time

Ohio State Buckeyes vs Indiana Hoosiers prediction

Memorial Stadium (Bloomington, IN)

Ohio State BuckeyesAway
22.9 : 25.1
projected points
Indiana HoosiersHome
52%Ohio State
48%Indiana
Eagle safe pickIndiana +8.5
-304

Quick answer

Our prediction for Ohio State Buckeyes vs Indiana Hoosiers is Ohio State Buckeyes to win, with a 52% chance, but it is a close call. We project Ohio State Buckeyes 22.9 and Indiana Hoosiers 25.1. Our best bet is Indiana +8.5 at -304.

Prediction
Ohio State Buckeyes to win
Chance
52%
Projected score
Ohio State Buckeyes 23, Indiana Hoosiers 25
Projected total
48.1 points
Best bet
Indiana +8.5 at -304

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Indiana +8.5
75% chanceFair price -3042 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Indiana Hoosiers 48% and Ohio State Buckeyes 52%. The bookmakers see it the other way and make Indiana Hoosiers the favourite at -110, so take care with this one.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Indiana Hoosiers won 5 of their last 5 and Ohio State Buckeyes won 4 of their last 5. Indiana Hoosiers come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Indiana Hoosiers won 12 of their last 12 games at home. Ohio State Buckeyes won 6 of their last 7 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Indiana Hoosiers score 42.3 points a game and let in 11.5. Ohio State Buckeyes score 35.0 and let in 10.9. Their recent games average 53.8 and 45.9 points in total, and the market line is 48.5.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Indiana Hoosiers won 1 and Ohio State Buckeyes won 0. The last one ended Ohio State Buckeyes 10, Indiana Hoosiers 13.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Indiana +8.5 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Indianateam news-1%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Ohio State Buckeyes vs Indiana Hoosiers: Ohio State Buckeyes shade it

The big picture

Indiana Hoosiers host Ohio State Buckeyes in the College Football on Sat 17 Oct, 12:00 at Memorial Stadium (Bloomington, IN). Our prediction for Ohio State Buckeyes vs Indiana Hoosiers is Ohio State Buckeyes to win, with a 52% chance, but it is a close call. We project Ohio State Buckeyes 22.9 and Indiana Hoosiers 25.1. Our best bet is Indiana +8.5 at -304.

Indiana Hoosiers form

Indiana Hoosiers have 19 wins and 0 losses in their last 19 games, with 804 points scored and 218 conceded. At home they have 12 wins and 0 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Ohio State Buckeyes form

Ohio State Buckeyes have 14 wins and 3 losses in their last 17 games, with 595 points scored and 186 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins and 1 loss from 7. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Indiana Hoosiers won 1, Ohio State Buckeyes won 0. Last time out it finished Ohio State Buckeyes 10, Indiana Hoosiers 13.

Our call

We expect Ohio State Buckeyes to score about 22.9 points and Indiana Hoosiers about 25.1. That points to Ohio State Buckeyes to win. Our safest bet is Indiana +8.5 at -304.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 19 games in all competitions.

IndianaOhio State
Games played1917
Wins1914
Losses03
Points scored804595
Points conceded218186
Scored per game42.335.0
Conceded per game11.510.9
Home record12W 0L8W 2L
Away record7W 0L6W 1L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against Draft Kings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Indiana to win48%+107-110-8.0%
Ohio State to win45%+122-110-14.0%
Indiana -1.548%+107-102-4.4%
Ohio State +1.545%+122-118-16.9%
Over 48.5 points46%+119-108-12.0%
Under 48.5 points48%+110-112-9.9%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Indiana spreadCoversFair
Indiana -9.532%+208
Indiana -5.542%+139
Indiana -2.549%+103
Indiana +0.557%-131
Indiana +4.566%-196
Total pointsOverUnder
41.566%34%
45.556%44%
48.549%51%
51.542%58%
55.532%68%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Indiana +3.5 wins if Indiana win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Ohio State Buckeyes vs Indiana Hoosiers?

Our prediction for Ohio State Buckeyes vs Indiana Hoosiers is Ohio State Buckeyes to win, with a 52% chance, but it is a close call. We project Ohio State Buckeyes 22.9 and Indiana Hoosiers 25.1. Our best bet is Indiana +8.5 at -304.

What is the projected score for Ohio State Buckeyes vs Indiana Hoosiers?

We project Ohio State Buckeyes 22.9 and Indiana Hoosiers 25.1, about 48.1 points in total.

How are Indiana Hoosiers playing?

Indiana Hoosiers have 19 wins and 0 losses in their last 19 games, with 804 points scored and 218 conceded. At home they have 12 wins and 0 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

How are Ohio State Buckeyes playing?

Ohio State Buckeyes have 14 wins and 3 losses in their last 17 games, with 595 points scored and 186 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins and 1 loss from 7. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, W, newest first.

What happened when Indiana Hoosiers and Ohio State Buckeyes last met?

It ended Ohio State Buckeyes 10, Indiana Hoosiers 13. In the last 1 meeting Indiana Hoosiers won 1 and Ohio State Buckeyes won 0.

What is the best bet for Ohio State Buckeyes vs Indiana Hoosiers?

Indiana +8.5 at -304, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Indiana against Ohio State. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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